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| Monday, 07/07/2025 7:30 PM (ET) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gm# | Record | Open | Latest | ML | 1H | |
 GS | 621 | 9-8 | 157 | 158 | +250 | 80 |
 ATL | 622 | 11-7 | -6.5 | -7.5 | -330 | -4 |
| Matchup Content Menu |
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Tip SheetSimulation & Ratings🔒Betting Systems🔒Team Trends🔒Team StatsSchedule & ResultsHead-to-Head🔒Coaches🔒
Your one-stop tip sheet for all the key information you need: top systems, team and coaching trends, expert simulations with value-based ratings, plus key stats, injuries, and more. Click the matchup content menu links above to dig deeper!
| Team Stats Summary Comparison |
Explore comprehensive basketball team statistics for current game conditions, including against the spread, money line, scoring, field goal percentage, and rebounds.
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| Golden State - Current Season Performance | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Against Spread | Money Line | Team | Opponent | |||||||||
| W-L | O-U | W-L | Units | Score | Half | FG Pct | Reb. | Score | Half | FG Pct | Reb. | |
| All Games | 10-6 | 5-10 | 9-8 | +18.6 | 79.0 | 40.8 | 40.2% | 46 | 77.5 | 38.0 | 39.7% | 43 |
| Road Games | 3-4 | 2-4 | 2-5 | +3 | 76.3 | 37.9 | 40.0% | 44 | 82.7 | 40.1 | 42.4% | 44 |
| vs. Eastern Conference | 5-2 | 1-4 | 4-3 | +8.3 | 79.4 | 39.4 | 37.4% | 50 | 78.6 | 38.7 | 39.2% | 45 |
| Last 5 Games | 3-2 | 1-4 | 3-2 | +1.8 | 80.6 | 42.2 | 40.2% | 51 | 72.2 | 36.0 | 35.0% | 44 |
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| Atlanta - Current Season Performance | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Against Spread | Money Line | Team | Opponent | |||||||||
| W-L | O-U | W-L | Units | Score | Half | FG Pct | Reb. | Score | Half | FG Pct | Reb. | |
| All Games | 10-7 | 11-7 | 11-7 | -5.6 | 84.1 | 39.9 | 42.9% | 46 | 78.6 | 37.8 | 43.2% | 41 |
| Home Games | 5-4 | 5-5 | 7-3 | +2.8 | 84.9 | 40.3 | 44.4% | 47 | 76.7 | 38.0 | 42.1% | 40 |
| vs. Western Conference | 3-2 | 4-2 | 3-3 | -2.8 | 81.8 | 37.3 | 41.1% | 47 | 81.3 | 38.0 | 43.5% | 40 |
| Last 5 Games | 1-3 | 4-1 | 2-3 | -5.7 | 81.8 | 41.2 | 41.5% | 49 | 81.0 | 40.2 | 43.4% | 39 |
| Recent Results and Upcoming Schedule |
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| Golden State - Recent Results and Upcoming Schedule | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team Game Stats | Opponent Stats | ||||||||||||||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU | Line | ATS | Tot. | O/U | Shots | Pct | REB | TO | Shots | Pct | REB | TO |
| 06/05/2025 |  @PHO | 77-86 | L | +6 | L | 156.5 | O | 25-60 | 41.7% | 36 | 19 | 30-65 | 46.2% | 46 | 17 |
| 06/07/2025 |  LVA | 95-68 | W | +10.5 | W | 159.5 | O | 34-71 | 47.9% | 47 | 12 | 22-62 | 35.5% | 38 | 13 |
| 06/09/2025 |  @LAS | 89-81 | W | +7 | W | 163.5 | O | 32-80 | 40.0% | 56 | 13 | 28-72 | 38.9% | 45 | 13 |
| 06/14/2025 |  SEA | 76-70 | W | +9.5 | W | 155.5 | U | 28-58 | 48.3% | 41 | 18 | 25-62 | 40.3% | 30 | 16 |
| 06/17/2025 |  @DAL | 71-80 | L | +3 | L | 164.5 | U | 24-59 | 40.7% | 40 | 16 | 29-74 | 39.2% | 51 | 11 |
| 06/19/2025 |  IND | 88-77 | W | +12 | W | 165 | P | 30-70 | 42.9% | 44 | 7 | 29-66 | 43.9% | 42 | 16 |
| 06/22/2025 |  CON | 87-63 | W | -10.5 | W | 154 | U | 28-78 | 35.9% | 65 | 9 | 20-66 | 30.3% | 43 | 13 |
| 06/25/2025 |  NYL | 78-81 | L | +9.5 | W | 163.5 | U | 28-72 | 38.9% | 50 | 10 | 26-72 | 36.1% | 44 | 8 |
| 06/27/2025 |  CHI | 83-78 | W | -8.5 | L | 156.5 | O | 26-69 | 37.7% | 52 | 9 | 26-70 | 37.1% | 50 | 11 |
| 06/29/2025 | SEA | 84-57 | W | +5.5 | W | 157.5 | U | 31-64 | 48.4% | 48 | 16 | 20-74 | 27.0% | 46 | 11 |
| 07/05/2025 |  @MIN | 71-82 | L | +9.5 | L | 156 | U | 27-65 | 41.5% | 40 | 10 | 29-64 | 45.3% | 37 | 9 |
| 07/07/2025 | @ATL | 7:30p | +7.5 | 158 | - | - | |||||||||
| 07/09/2025 | @IND | 12:00p | - | - | |||||||||||
| 07/12/2025 | @LVA | 4:00p | - | - | |||||||||||
| 07/14/2025 | PHO | 10:00p | - | - | |||||||||||
| 07/16/2025 | @SEA | 3:00p | - | - | |||||||||||
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| Atlanta - Recent Results and Upcoming Schedule | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team Game Stats | Opponent Stats | ||||||||||||||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU | Line | ATS | Tot. | O/U | Shots | Pct | REB | TO | Shots | Pct | REB | TO |
| 06/06/2025 | @CON | 76-84 | L | -10.5 | L | 159 | O | 28-68 | 41.2% | 41 | 12 | 33-66 | 50.0% | 41 | 11 |
| 06/10/2025 | IND | 77-58 | W | -5.5 | W | 161 | U | 31-66 | 47.0% | 48 | 12 | 21-58 | 36.2% | 36 | 11 |
| 06/13/2025 | CHI | 88-70 | W | -13 | W | 158.5 | U | 32-70 | 45.7% | 44 | 12 | 28-68 | 41.2% | 46 | 12 |
| 06/15/2025 |  @WAS | 89-56 | W | -4 | W | 158 | U | 31-70 | 44.3% | 46 | 6 | 18-61 | 29.5% | 46 | 13 |
| 06/17/2025 | @NYL | 81-86 | L | +8 | W | 162.5 | O | 29-67 | 43.3% | 34 | 12 | 31-71 | 43.7% | 47 | 12 |
| 06/20/2025 | WAS | 92-91 | W | -8.5 | L | 157 | O | 31-63 | 49.2% | 31 | 9 | 34-64 | 53.1% | 38 | 14 |
| 06/22/2025 | CHI | 93-80 | W | -16.5 | L | 159 | O | 28-66 | 42.4% | 46 | 9 | 27-64 | 42.2% | 40 | 9 |
| 06/24/2025 | @DAL | 55-68 | L | -9 | L | 169 | U | 15-64 | 23.4% | 46 | 9 | 25-66 | 37.9% | 53 | 8 |
| 06/27/2025 | MIN | 92-96 | L | +4 | P | 158 | O | 33-76 | 43.4% | 52 | 13 | 33-72 | 45.8% | 36 | 16 |
| 06/29/2025 | NYL | 90-81 | W | -1 | W | 166 | O | 37-70 | 52.9% | 48 | 13 | 30-68 | 44.1% | 36 | 13 |
| 07/03/2025 | SEA | 79-80 | L | -1.5 | L | 157.5 | O | 29-66 | 43.9% | 51 | 16 | 32-69 | 46.4% | 29 | 11 |
| 07/07/2025 | GS | 7:30p | -7.5 | 158 | - | - | |||||||||
| 07/11/2025 | @IND | 7:30p | - | - | |||||||||||
| 07/13/2025 | @NYL | 3:00p | - | - | |||||||||||
| 07/16/2025 | @CHI | 12:00p | - | - | |||||||||||
| Top Betting Systems |
| Betting Systems Favoring Atlanta | |
|---|---|
 | Bet on - Any team vs the money line - after having lost 3 of their last 4 games, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games. System applies to: Atlanta. System's record since 2021: 28-5 (84.8%) with an average money line of +111 (+26.2 unit$, ROI=79.2%) |
| Bet against - Road teams vs. the money line - after beating the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% after 15 or more games. System applies to: Golden State. System's record since 1997: 33-10 (76.7%) with an average money line of +107 (+25.4 unit$, ROI=59.1%) |
| Bet against - Road teams vs. the money line - after beating the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season. System applies to: Golden State. System's record since 1997: 38-12 (76%) with an average money line of +103 (+27 unit$, ROI=53.9%) |
| Bet on - Any team vs the money line - after having lost 3 of their last 4 games, with a winning record on the season. System applies to: Atlanta. System's record since 2021: 33-9 (78.6%) with an average money line of +109 (+26.9 unit$, ROI=64.0%) |
| Bet on - Any team vs the money line - off an upset loss as a home favorite, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games, after 15 or more games. System applies to: Atlanta. System's record since 2016: 45-13 (77.6%) with an average money line of -105 (+31.4 unit$, ROI=51.7%) |
| Betting Systems Favoring Under | |
|---|---|
 | Bet under - All teams where the total is 159.5 or less - a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record, in July games. System applies to: Atlanta. System's record since 1997: 141-78 (64.4%) with an average total of 144.2 (+55.2 unit$, ROI=22.9%) |
 | Bet under - Road teams where the first half total is 81 or less - off a loss against a division rival, in July games. System applies to: Golden State. System's record since 2016: 24-4 (85.7%) with an average first half total of 78.5 (+19.6 unit$, ROI=63.6%) |
| Bet under - Road teams where the first half total is 81 or less - off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival, in May, June, or July games. System applies to: Golden State. System's record since 2016: 36-12 (75%) with an average first half total of 78.8 (+22.8 unit$, ROI=43.2%) |
| Bet under - Road teams where the first half total is 81 or less - after 1 or more consecutive losses, in July games. System applies to: Golden State. System's record since 2016: 49-20 (71%) with an average first half total of 78.6 (+27 unit$, ROI=35.6%) |
| Top Team Trends |
| Trends Favoring Golden State. | |
|---|---|
| Bet against Atlanta on the money line after 2 or more consecutive overs. Atlanta record during the 2025 season: 1-4 (20%) with an average money line of -284. (-11.7 unit$, ROI=-82.4%) The average score of these games was Dream 76.0, Opponents 75.2. |
| Bet against Atlanta on the 1st half line versus the 1rst half line in home games. Atlanta record on the 1st half line since the 2024 season: 7-22 (24%) with an average 1st half line of -0.5. (-17.2 unit$, ROI=-52.1%) The average 1st half score of these games was Dream 38.0, Opponents 41.3. |
| Bet against Atlanta in away games on the 1st half line in May, June, or July games. Atlanta record on the 1st half line since the 2024 season: 4-16 (20%) with an average 1st half line of -1.0. (-13.6 unit$, ROI=-61.8%) The average 1st half score of these games was Dream 38.9, Opponents 41.8. |
| Bet against Atlanta in away games on the 1st half line after a non-conference game. Atlanta record on the 1st half line since the 2024 season: 2-11 (15%) with an average 1st half line of +0.0. (-10.1 unit$, ROI=-70.6%) The average 1st half score of these games was Dream 38.8, Opponents 44.5. |
| Bet against Atlanta in away games on the 1st half line after 2 straight games giving up 7 or less offensive rebounds. Atlanta record on the 1st half line since the 2024 season: 0-7 (0%) with an average 1st half line of -1.5. (-7.7 unit$, ROI=-100.0%) The average 1st half score of these games was Dream 36.3, Opponents 42.1. |
| Bet against Atlanta on the 1st half line after 2 or more consecutive overs. Atlanta record on the 1st half line during the 2025 season: 0-6 (0%) with an average 1st half line of -3.5. (-6.6 unit$, ROI=-100.0%) The average 1st half score of these games was Dream 35.7, Opponents 36.8. |
| Trends Favoring Atlanta. | |
|---|---|
| Bet on Atlanta in home games after allowing 80 points or more in 3 straight games. Atlanta record since the 2024 season: 8-0 (100%) ATS with an average line of +1.2. (+8.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%). The average score of these games was Dream 83.0, Opponents 72.9. |
| Bet on Atlanta in home games on the money line when playing 3 or less games in 10 days. Atlanta record since the 2024 season: 6-1 (86%) with an average money line of -185. (+9.8 unit$, ROI=75.3%) The average score of these games was Dream 79.9, Opponents 72.6. |
| Bet on Atlanta in home games on the money line after allowing 80 points or more in 3 straight games. Atlanta record since the 2024 season: 8-0 (100%) with an average money line of +118. (+14.6 unit$, ROI=182.5%) The average score of these games was Dream 83.0, Opponents 72.9. |
| Bet on Atlanta in home games on the money line after allowing 80 points or more in 2 straight games. Atlanta record since the 2023 season: 22-8 (73%) with an average money line of -150. (+20.4 unit$, ROI=45.4%) The average score of these games was Dream 83.7, Opponents 78.6. |
| Trends Favoring Under. | |
|---|---|
| Bet under the 1st half total in Atlanta games when playing 3 or less games in 10 days. The 1st half Under's record since the 2024 season: 8-1 (89%) with an average 1st half over/under of 82.0. (+6.9 unit$, ROI=69.7%) The average score of these games was Dream 35.6, Opponents 36.4. |
| Bet under the 1st half total in Atlanta games after allowing 80 points or more in 3 straight games. The 1st half Under's record since the 2024 season: 14-3 (82%) with an average 1st half over/under of 81.0. (+10.7 unit$, ROI=57.2%) The average score of these games was Dream 35.7, Opponents 36.2. |
| Key Coaching Trends |
| Key Coaching Trends Favoring Golden State. | |
|---|---|
| Bet against Karl Smesko on the 1st half line after 2 or more consecutive overs. Smesko's record on the 1st half line as coach of ATLANTA: 0-6 (0%) with an average line of -3.5. (-6.6 unit$, ROI=-100.0%) The average 1st half score of these games was ATLANTA 35.7, Opponents 36.8 |
| WNBA Game Simulation |
This table shows projected scores and stats from simulations, including shooting, free throws, and rebounding. Edges highlight potential advantages versus the current line.
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores, Edges | Shooting | 3pt Shooting | Free Throws | Rebounding | |||||||||||
| Teams | Score | Edge | H1Score | Edge | 3FGM-A | Pct. | 3FGM-A | Pct. | FTM-A | Pct. | Tot. | OFF | TO | ||
| GS | 76 | GS (+3.5) | 38 | GS (+2) | 27-68 | 39.5% | 9-30 | 28.9% | 14-18 | 77.7% | 45 | 7 | 13 | ||
| ATL | 81 | Un (+0.8) | 40 | Un (+1.2) | 28-70 | 40.4% | 8-27 | 31.3% | 16-21 | 75.2% | 48 | 9 | 12 | ||
| WNBA Power Ratings |
Compare team strength with power ratings based on recent results versus expectations. Identify potential advantages where ratings differ from the actual line.
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| Power Rating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teams | Rating | Estimate | Actual | Edge |
| GS | 83 | GS (+2.5) | ||
| ATL | 86 | -5 | -7.5 | |