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Monday, 07/07/2025 7:30 PM (ET) 
 Gm#RecordOpenLatestML1H
 GS
 Golden State
6219-8157158+25080
 ATL
 Atlanta
62211-7-6.5-7.5-330-4

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Tip SheetSimulation & Ratings🔒Betting Systems🔒Team Trends🔒Team StatsSchedule & ResultsHead-to-Head🔒Coaches🔒

WNBA Simulation & Power Ratings

This page features detailed power rating line projections alongside StatSharp's advanced game simulations, each offering precise projected scores and game statistics, estimated fair market lines, positive expected value percentages, and projected hit rates against both the side and total lines. Both sections clearly identify potential betting advantages by highlighting significant value edges when they occur. Use this comprehensive analysis to confidently identify the strongest wagering opportunities available.

Power Rating Projections

Compare team strength with power ratings based on recent results versus expectations. Identify potential advantages where ratings differ from the actual line.

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 Power Rating
TeamsRatingEstimateActualEdge
 GS Golden State83 GS (+2.5)
 ATL Atlanta86-5-7.5

Game Simulation Results

This table shows projected scores and stats from simulations, including shooting, free throws, and rebounding. Edges highlight potential advantages versus the current line.

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Average projected scores and game statistics.
 Scores, EdgesShooting   3pt ShootingFree ThrowsRebounding 
TeamsScoreEdgeH1ScoreEdge3FGM-APct.3FGM-APct.FTM-APct.Tot.OFFTO
 GS Golden State76GS (+3.5) 38GS (+2) 27-6839.5%9-3028.9%14-1877.7%45713
 ATL Atlanta81Un (+0.8)40Un (+1.2)28-7040.4%8-2731.3%16-2175.2%48912

Simulation Line Covers

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The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
In 1000 simulated games, Golden State covered the spread 602 times, while Atlanta covered the spread 398 times.
Edge against the spread=Golden State.
In 1000 simulated games, 510 games went under the total, while 450 games went over the total.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Atlanta won the game straight up 609 times, while Golden State won 369 times.
Edge on the money line=Golden State.
In 1000 simulated games, Golden State covered the first half line 571 times, while Atlanta covered the first half line 396 times.
Edge against the first half line=Golden State.
In 1000 simulated games, 564 games went under the first half total, while 400 games went over the first half total.
Edge against the first half total=Under.
In 1000 simulated games, Atlanta covered the 4 point teaser line 510 times, and failed to cover 490 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Golden State covered the 4 point teaser line 690 times, and failed to cover 310 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 570 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 400 failed to go over.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 643 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 335 failed to go under.
No Edge.

Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection

Trends Favoring Golden State.
Bet on Golden State on the 1st half line when they have the around same number of rebounds as their opponents in a game.
Golden State record on the 1st half line during the 2025 season: 6-0 (100%) with an average 1st half line of +3.0. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=77.9%)
The average 1st half score of these games was VALKYRIES 39.9, Opponents 37.4.
Bet on Golden State on the 1st half line when they make 29% to 35% of their three point attempts in a game.
Golden State record on the 1st half line during the 2025 season: 8-1 (89%) with an average 1st half line of +3.5. (+6.9 unit$, ROI=69.7%)
The average 1st half score of these games was VALKYRIES 41.1, Opponents 37.6.
Bet on Golden State on the 1st half line when they commit around the same number of turnovers as opponents.
Golden State record on the 1st half line during the 2025 season: 8-1 (89%) with an average 1st half line of +4.0. (+6.9 unit$, ROI=62.7%)
The average 1st half score of these games was VALKYRIES 42.7, Opponents 38.4.
Bet against Atlanta in away games on the 1st half line when they score 76 to 81 points in a game.
Atlanta record on the 1st half line since the 2024 season: 0-10 (0%) with an average 1st half line of 0.0. (-11.0 unit$, ROI=-100.0%)
The average 1st half score of these games was Dream 37.7, Opponents 42.7.
Trends Favoring Under.
Bet under the 1st half total in Atlanta games when they attempt 17 to 22 free throws in a game.
The 1st half Under's record during the 2025 season: 6-0 (100%) with an average 1st half over/under of 82.0. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%)
The average score of these games was Dream 39.0, Opponents 34.8.
Glossary of Terms

Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.

Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.

Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.

Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.

Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.

H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.

3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.

Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.

FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.

Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.

Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.

OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.

TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.