More NHL Games |
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| Wednesday, 05/07/2025 10:00 PM | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHL Playoffs - Second Round - Best Of 7 - Game 1 | |||||||
| Record | Starter | Open | Latest | ||||
| Gm# | W-L-OTL PTS | Goalie | ML | O/U | ML | O/U | |
 EDM | 55 | 52-31-5, 109 pts. | PICKARD | +105 | 6o-15 | +105 | 6o-15 |
 LVG | 56 | 54-24-10, 118 pts. | HILL | -125 | 6u-05 | -125 | 6u-05 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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NHL Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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| Teams | Actual Line | Estimated Line | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rating | Goalie | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge% | |
| EDM | 4.03 | PICKARD | +105 | 48.8% | -113 | 53.0% | EDM (+4.2%) |
| LVG | 3.72 | HILL | -125 | 55.6% | +-113 | 47.0% | |
Game Simulation Results |
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | ||||||||||
| Teams | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST |
| EDM | PICKARD | 2.06 | +105 | 48.8% | -107 | 51.6% | EDM (+2.9%) | 6o-15 | 4.0 | 30 | 3-1 | 4 | |
| LVG | HILL | 1.98 | -125 | 55.6% | +107 | 48.4% | 6u-05 | 4.0 | UN (+2.0) | 31 | 3-1 | 4 | |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
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| Trends Favoring Edmonton | |
|---|---|
 | Bet on Edmonton on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Edmonton record during the 2025 season: 36-1 (97%) with an average money line of -189. (+35.8 unit$, ROI=51.1%) The average score of these games was Oilers 3.6, Opponents 1.4. |
| Bet on Edmonton on the money line when they allow 2 goals. Edmonton record during the 2025 season: 20-0 (100%) with an average money line of -225. (+20.5 unit$, ROI=45.5%) The average score of these games was Oilers 3.7, Opponents 2.0. |
| Bet against Vegas on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Vegas record during the 2025 season: 3-21 (13%) with an average money line of -148. (-28.7 unit$, ROI=-80.6%) The average score of these games was Golden Knights 1.4, Opponents 3.2. |
| Bet against Vegas on the money line when they score 2 goals. Vegas record during the 2025 season: 2-12 (14%) with an average money line of -150. (-15.7 unit$, ROI=-74.8%) The average score of these games was Golden Knights 2.0, Opponents 3.5. |
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| Trends Favoring Vegas | |
|---|---|
| Bet against Edmonton on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Edmonton record during the 2025 season: 3-22 (12%) with an average money line of -168. (-35.8 unit$, ROI=-85.1%) The average score of these games was Oilers 1.3, Opponents 3.6. |
| Bet against Edmonton on the money line when they score 2 goals. Edmonton record during the 2025 season: 2-11 (15%) with an average money line of -187. (-19.5 unit$, ROI=-80.2%) The average score of these games was Oilers 2.0, Opponents 3.4. |
| Bet on Vegas on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Vegas record during the 2025 season: 40-4 (91%) with an average money line of -171. (+34.7 unit$, ROI=46.1%) The average score of these games was Golden Knights 3.4, Opponents 1.4. |
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| Trends Favoring Under | |
|---|---|
 | Bet under the total in Edmonton games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 30-5 (86%) with an average over/under of 6.3, money line=-107. (+25.3 unit$, ROI=64.1%) The average score of these games was Oilers 3.6, Opponents 1.4. |
| Bet under the total in Edmonton games when they allow 2 goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 16-3 (84%) with an average over/under of 6.4, money line=-103. (+13.4 unit$, ROI=65.1%) The average score of these games was Oilers 3.7, Opponents 2.0. |
| Bet under the total in Edmonton games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 19-5 (79%) with an average over/under of 6.2, money line=-106. (+14.0 unit$, ROI=52.8%) The average score of these games was Oilers 1.3, Opponents 3.6. |
| Bet under the total in Edmonton games when they score 2 goals. The Under's record since the 2024 season: 23-6 (79%) with an average over/under of 6.4, money line=-104. (+17.5 unit$, ROI=57.8%) The average score of these games was Oilers 2.0, Opponents 3.2. |
| Bet under the total in Vegas games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 35-8 (81%) with an average over/under of 6.0, money line=-107. (+27.9 unit$, ROI=59.4%) The average score of these games was Golden Knights 3.4, Opponents 1.4. |
| Bet under the total in Vegas games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 18-5 (78%) with an average over/under of 6.1, money line=-110. (+12.7 unit$, ROI=47.9%) The average score of these games was Golden Knights 1.4, Opponents 3.2. |
Teams: The competing teams in the matchup.
Goalies: The starting goaltenders for each team.
Betting Lines
ML (Money Line): The odds for each team to win the game outright.
B.E. (Break-Even %): The implied probability of winning based on the money line.
Estimated ML: The projected money line based on power ratings and goaltender performance.
Win%: The projected win probability for each team based on simulations.
Edge%: The difference between the estimated and actual betting line, indicating potential value.
Game Simulation
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on simulations.
Over/Under (O/U): The projected total goals scored in the game.
Est. O/U: The estimated over/under based on simulations.
O/U Edge: The difference between the estimated and actual over/under total.
Projected Game Stats
SOG (Shots on Goal): The projected total number of shots on goal for each team.
PP (Power Play Goals): The projected number of power play goals scored by each team.
AST (Assists): The projected total assists for each team.
Trends & Insights
Trends Favoring Team: Historical betting trends that support one team based on past performance in similar matchups.
Trends Favoring Over/Under: Historical trends indicating whether games involving these teams tend to go over or under the total.