More NHL Games |
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| Tuesday, 05/06/2025 10:00 PM | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHL Playoffs - Second Round - Best Of 7 - Game 1 | |||||||
| Record | Starter | Open | Latest | ||||
| Gm# | W-L-OTL PTS | Goalie | ML | O/U | ML | O/U | |
 CAR | 51 | 51-30-6, 108 pts. | ANDERSEN | -120 | 5.5o-20 | -125 | 5.5o-20 |
 WAS | 52 | 55-23-9, 119 pts. | THOMPSON | +100 | 5.5e-10 | +105 | 5.5e-10 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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NHL Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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| Teams | Actual Line | Estimated Line | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rating | Goalie | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge% | |
| CAR | 3.29 | ANDERSEN | -125 | 55.6% | +103 | 49.3% | |
| WAS | 3.32 | THOMPSON | +105 | 48.8% | -103 | 50.7% | WAS (+1.9%) |
Game Simulation Results |
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | ||||||||||
| Teams | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST |
| CAR | ANDERSEN | 2.15 | -125 | 55.6% | -111 | 52.7% | 5.5o-20 | 4.2 | 33 | 4-1 | 4 | ||
| WAS | THOMPSON | 2.01 | +105 | 48.8% | +111 | 47.3% | 5.5e-10 | 4.2 | UN (+1.3) | 29 | 4-1 | 4 | |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
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| Trends Favoring Carolina | |
|---|---|
 | Bet on Carolina on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Carolina record during the 2025 season: 38-1 (97%) with an average money line of -219. (+36.2 unit$, ROI=42.4%) The average score of these games was Hurricanes 3.8, Opponents 1.3. |
| Bet against Washington on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Washington record during the 2025 season: 3-23 (12%) with an average money line of -123. (-28.7 unit$, ROI=-89.5%) The average score of these games was Capitals 1.3, Opponents 3.3. |
| Bet against Washington on the money line when they score 2 goals. Washington record during the 2025 season: 2-10 (17%) with an average money line of -133. (-12.4 unit$, ROI=-77.5%) The average score of these games was Capitals 2.0, Opponents 3.3. |
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| Trends Favoring Washington | |
|---|---|
| Bet against Carolina on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Carolina record during the 2025 season: 4-26 (13%) with an average money line of -187. (-44.9 unit$, ROI=-80.0%) The average score of these games was Hurricanes 1.3, Opponents 3.4. |
| Bet against Carolina on the money line when they score 2 goals. Carolina record during the 2025 season: 4-12 (25%) with an average money line of -178. (-17.2 unit$, ROI=-60.6%) The average score of these games was Hurricanes 2.0, Opponents 3.2. |
| Bet on Washington on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Washington record during the 2025 season: 37-3 (93%) with an average money line of -144. (+34.8 unit$, ROI=60.6%) The average score of these games was Capitals 3.6, Opponents 1.4. |
| Bet on Washington on the money line when they allow 2 goals. Washington record during the 2025 season: 17-3 (85%) with an average money line of -146. (+13.3 unit$, ROI=45.5%) The average score of these games was Capitals 3.8, Opponents 2.0. |
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| Trends Favoring Under | |
|---|---|
 | Bet under the total in Carolina games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 22-4 (85%) with an average over/under of 5.9, money line=-114. (+17.2 unit$, ROI=50.4%) The average score of these games was Hurricanes 1.3, Opponents 3.4. |
| Bet under the total in Carolina games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 27-8 (77%) with an average over/under of 5.9, money line=-109. (+18.5 unit$, ROI=43.6%) The average score of these games was Hurricanes 3.8, Opponents 1.3. |
| Bet under the total in Washington games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 19-5 (79%) with an average over/under of 6.0, money line=-109. (+13.8 unit$, ROI=48.4%) The average score of these games was Capitals 1.3, Opponents 3.3. |
| Bet under the total in Washington games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 27-9 (75%) with an average over/under of 5.9, money line=-111. (+17.9 unit$, ROI=40.3%) The average score of these games was Capitals 3.6, Opponents 1.4. |
Teams: The competing teams in the matchup.
Goalies: The starting goaltenders for each team.
Betting Lines
ML (Money Line): The odds for each team to win the game outright.
B.E. (Break-Even %): The implied probability of winning based on the money line.
Estimated ML: The projected money line based on power ratings and goaltender performance.
Win%: The projected win probability for each team based on simulations.
Edge%: The difference between the estimated and actual betting line, indicating potential value.
Game Simulation
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on simulations.
Over/Under (O/U): The projected total goals scored in the game.
Est. O/U: The estimated over/under based on simulations.
O/U Edge: The difference between the estimated and actual over/under total.
Projected Game Stats
SOG (Shots on Goal): The projected total number of shots on goal for each team.
PP (Power Play Goals): The projected number of power play goals scored by each team.
AST (Assists): The projected total assists for each team.
Trends & Insights
Trends Favoring Team: Historical betting trends that support one team based on past performance in similar matchups.
Trends Favoring Over/Under: Historical trends indicating whether games involving these teams tend to go over or under the total.