More NHL Games |
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| Tuesday, 05/06/2025 7:00 PM | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHL Playoffs - Second Round - Best Of 7 - Game 1 | |||||||
| Record | Starter | Open | Latest | ||||
| Gm# | W-L-OTL PTS | Goalie | ML | O/U | ML | O/U | |
 FLA | 53 | 51-32-4, 106 pts. | BOBROVSKY | -130 | 5.5o-10 | -125 | 5.5o+05 |
 TOR | 54 | 56-27-5, 117 pts. | STOLARZ | +110 | 5.5u-10 | +105 | 5.5u-25 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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NHL Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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| Teams | Actual Line | Estimated Line | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rating | Goalie | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge% | |
| FLA | 3.74 | BOBROVSKY | -125 | 55.6% | +124 | 44.7% | |
| TOR | 4.24 | STOLARZ | +105 | 48.8% | -124 | 55.3% | TOR (+6.6%) |
Game Simulation Results |
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | ||||||||||
| Teams | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST |
| FLA | BOBROVSKY | 1.10 | -125 | 55.6% | +385 | 20.6% | 5.5o+05 | 3.6 | 31 | 3-1 | 2 | ||
| TOR | STOLARZ | 2.51 | +105 | 48.8% | -385 | 79.4% | TOR (+30.6%) | 5.5u-25 | 3.6 | UN (+1.9) | 26 | 4-1 | 4 |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
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| Trends Favoring Toronto | |
|---|---|
 | Bet against Florida on the money line when they score 1 or less goals. Florida record during the 2025 season: 1-19 (5%) with an average money line of -153. (-28.9 unit$, ROI=-94.3%) The average score of these games was Panthers 0.8, Opponents 3.3. |
| Bet against Florida on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Florida record during the 2025 season: 7-28 (20%) with an average money line of -163. (-38.2 unit$, ROI=-66.8%) The average score of these games was Panthers 1.3, Opponents 3.1. |
| Bet on Toronto on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Toronto record during the 2025 season: 36-4 (90%) with an average money line of -162. (+32.2 unit$, ROI=49.6%) The average score of these games was Maple Leafs 3.4, Opponents 1.5. |
| Bet on Toronto on the money line when they allow 1 or less goals. Toronto record during the 2025 season: 16-1 (94%) with an average money line of -158. (+15.4 unit$, ROI=57.4%) The average score of these games was Maple Leafs 3.0, Opponents 0.7. |
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| Trends Favoring Under | |
|---|---|
 | Bet under the total in Florida games when they score 1 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 17-2 (89%) with an average over/under of 5.8, money line=-113. (+15.0 unit$, ROI=66.4%) The average score of these games was Panthers 0.8, Opponents 3.3. |
| Bet under the total in Florida games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 27-7 (79%) with an average over/under of 5.7, money line=-113. (+19.4 unit$, ROI=49.0%) The average score of these games was Panthers 1.3, Opponents 3.1. |
| Bet under the total in Toronto games when they allow 1 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 17-0 (100%) with an average over/under of 6.1, money line=-114. (+17.0 unit$, ROI=87.4%) The average score of these games was Maple Leafs 3.0, Opponents 0.7. |
| Bet under the total in Toronto games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 32-8 (80%) with an average over/under of 6.0, money line=-113. (+23.4 unit$, ROI=51.9%) The average score of these games was Maple Leafs 3.4, Opponents 1.5. |
| Bet under the total in Toronto away or ne games when they score 3 goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 9-1 (90%) with an average over/under of 6.1, money line=-118. (+8.0 unit$, ROI=68.1%) The average score of these games was Maple Leafs 3.0, Opponents 2.0. |
Teams: The competing teams in the matchup.
Goalies: The starting goaltenders for each team.
Betting Lines
ML (Money Line): The odds for each team to win the game outright.
B.E. (Break-Even %): The implied probability of winning based on the money line.
Estimated ML: The projected money line based on power ratings and goaltender performance.
Win%: The projected win probability for each team based on simulations.
Edge%: The difference between the estimated and actual betting line, indicating potential value.
Game Simulation
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on simulations.
Over/Under (O/U): The projected total goals scored in the game.
Est. O/U: The estimated over/under based on simulations.
O/U Edge: The difference between the estimated and actual over/under total.
Projected Game Stats
SOG (Shots on Goal): The projected total number of shots on goal for each team.
PP (Power Play Goals): The projected number of power play goals scored by each team.
AST (Assists): The projected total assists for each team.
Trends & Insights
Trends Favoring Team: Historical betting trends that support one team based on past performance in similar matchups.
Trends Favoring Over/Under: Historical trends indicating whether games involving these teams tend to go over or under the total.