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Thursday, 05/08/2025 8:30 PM (ET) 
Western Conference - Second Round - Best Of 7 - Game 2 - Golden State leads series 1 games to 0.
 Gm#RecordOpenLatestML1H
 GSW
 Golden State (7)
55954-37202201.5+400101.5
 MIN
 Minnesota (6)
56053-35-10-10.5-600-6

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NBA Simulation & Power Ratings

This page features detailed power rating line projections alongside StatSharp's advanced game simulations, each offering precise projected scores and game statistics, estimated fair market lines, positive expected value percentages, and projected hit rates against both the side and total lines. Both sections clearly identify potential betting advantages by highlighting significant value edges when they occur. Use this comprehensive analysis to confidently identify the strongest wagering opportunities available.

Power Rating Projections

Compare team strength with power ratings based on recent results versus expectations. Identify potential advantages where ratings differ from the actual line.

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 Power Rating
TeamsRatingEstimateActualEdge
 GSW Golden State120 GSW (+8.5)
 MIN Minnesota120-2-10.5

Game Simulation Results

This table shows projected scores and stats from simulations, including shooting, free throws, and rebounding. Edges highlight potential advantages versus the current line.

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Average projected scores and game statistics.
 Scores, EdgesShooting   3pt ShootingFree ThrowsRebounding 
TeamsScoreEdgeH1ScoreEdge3FGM-APct.3FGM-APct.FTM-APct.Tot.OFFTO
 GSW Golden State110GSW (+7.5)Ov (+21.1)56GSW (+4)Ov (+11.2)39-8744.2%16-4336.4%17-2180.3%511414
 MIN Minnesota113 57 41-8647.5%14-3837.6%17-2277.9%531314

Simulation Line Covers

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The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
In 1000 simulated games, Golden State covered the spread 679 times, while Minnesota covered the spread 321 times.
Edge against the spread=Golden State.
In 1000 simulated games, 894 games went over the total, while 106 games went under the total.
Edge against the total=Over.
In 1000 simulated games, Minnesota won the game straight up 559 times, while Golden State won 421 times.
Edge on the money line=Golden State.
In 1000 simulated games, Golden State covered the first half line 618 times, while Minnesota covered the first half line 346 times.
Edge against the first half line=Golden State.
In 1000 simulated games, 825 games went over the first half total, while 175 games went under the first half total.
Edge against the first half total=Over.
In 1000 simulated games, Minnesota covered the 4 point teaser line 407 times, and failed to cover 593 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Golden State covered the 4 point teaser line 764 times, and failed to cover 236 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 936 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 64 failed to go over.
Edge against the 4 point teaser total=Over.
In 1000 simulated games, 157 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 843 failed to go under.
No Edge.

Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection

Trends Favoring Under.
Bet under the 1st half total in Golden State games when they attempt 21 to 26 free throws in a game.
The 1st half Under's record since the 2024 season: 35-10 (78%) with an average 1st half over/under of 115.0. (+24.0 unit$, ROI=46.4%)
The average score of these games was Warriors 55.4, Opponents 53.8.
Glossary of Terms

Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.

Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.

Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.

Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.

Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.

H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.

3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.

Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.

FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.

Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.

Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.

OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.

TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.