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| Saturday, 08/02/2025 3:00 PM (ET) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gm# | Record | Open | Latest | ML | 1H | |
 MIN | 619 | 23-6 | -6 | -4.5 | -200 | -2.5 |
 LVA | 620 | 14-13 | 164.5 | 167 | +170 | 84.5 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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Tip SheetSimulation & Ratings🔒Betting Systems🔒Team Trends🔒Team StatsSchedule & ResultsHead-to-Head🔒Coaches🔒
WNBA Simulation & Power Ratings |
This page features detailed power rating line projections alongside StatSharp's advanced game simulations, each offering precise projected scores and game statistics, estimated fair market lines, positive expected value percentages, and projected hit rates against both the side and total lines. Both sections clearly identify potential betting advantages by highlighting significant value edges when they occur. Use this comprehensive analysis to confidently identify the strongest wagering opportunities available.
Power Rating Projections |
Compare team strength with power ratings based on recent results versus expectations. Identify potential advantages where ratings differ from the actual line.
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| Power Rating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teams | Rating | Estimate | Actual | Edge |
| MIN | 89 | -4 | -4.5 | |
| LVA | 83 | LVA (+0.5) | ||
Game Simulation Results |
This table shows projected scores and stats from simulations, including shooting, free throws, and rebounding. Edges highlight potential advantages versus the current line.
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores, Edges | Shooting | 3pt Shooting | Free Throws | Rebounding | |||||||||||
| Teams | Score | Edge | H1Score | Edge | 3FGM-A | Pct. | 3FGM-A | Pct. | FTM-A | Pct. | Tot. | OFF | TO | ||
| MIN | 84 | MIN (+0.5) | 42 | MIN (+0.5) | 32-70 | 45.7% | 10-27 | 35.6% | 10-13 | 78.5% | 44 | 8 | 12 | ||
| LVA | 78 | Un (+4.7) | 40 | Un (+2.6) | 28-68 | 41.3% | 8-25 | 30.5% | 15-18 | 82.8% | 43 | 9 | 13 | ||
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| The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total. | |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Minnesota covered the spread 522 times, while Las Vegas covered the spread 478 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 605 games went under the total, while 367 games went over the total. Edge against the total=Under. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Minnesota won the game straight up 633 times, while Las Vegas won 346 times. No Edge. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Las Vegas covered the first half line 516 times, while Minnesota covered the first half line 484 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 588 games went under the first half total, while 412 games went over the first half total. Edge against the first half total=Under. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Las Vegas covered the 4 point teaser line 573 times, and failed to cover 427 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, Minnesota covered the 4 point teaser line 633 times, and failed to cover 367 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 467 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 502 failed to go over. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 716 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 263 failed to go under. No Edge. |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
| Trends Favoring Minnesota. | |
|---|---|
| Bet on Minnesota in away games on the money line when their opponents make 29% to 35% of their 3 pointers in a game. Minnesota record since the 2023 season: 13-2 (87%) with an average money line of -140. (+18.0 unit$, ROI=85.9%) The average score of these games was Lynx 80.8, Opponents 77.9. |
| Bet on Minnesota on the money line when they make 45% to 48% of their shots in a game. Minnesota record since the 2024 season: 21-4 (84%) with an average money line of -331. (+15.8 unit$, ROI=19.1%) The average score of these games was Lynx 85.0, Opponents 77.9. |
| Bet against Las Vegas on the money line in games where they attempt 62 to 68 shots. Las Vegas record since the 2024 season: 10-16 (38%) with an average money line of -306. (-43.9 unit$, ROI=-55.2%) The average score of these games was Aces 81.9, Opponents 82.8. |
| Trends Favoring Las Vegas. | |
|---|---|
| Bet against Minnesota on the 1st half line when they have the around same number of rebounds as their opponents in a game. Minnesota record on the 1st half line during the 2025 season: 1-8 (11%) with an average 1st half line of -4.0. (-7.8 unit$, ROI=-78.8%) The average 1st half score of these games was Lynx 43.3, Opponents 42.6. |
| Bet against Minnesota on the 1st half line when they attempt 12 to 16 free throws in a game. Minnesota record on the 1st half line during the 2025 season: 1-8 (11%) with an average 1st half line of -6.0. (-7.8 unit$, ROI=-78.8%) The average 1st half score of these games was Lynx 39.8, Opponents 39.1. |
| Trends Favoring Over. | |
|---|---|
| Bet over the total in Las Vegas away games when their opponents make 45% to 48% of their shots in a game. The Over's record since the 2024 season: 6-0 (100%) with an average over/under of 168.2. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was Aces 90.3, Opponents 88.7. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Minnesota away games when they make 45% to 48% of their shots in a game. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 13-0 (100%) with an average 1st half over/under of 81.5. (+13.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was Lynx 46.3, Opponents 44.8. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Minnesota away games when they make 36% to 42% of their three point attempts in a game. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 10-1 (91%) with an average 1st half over/under of 81.5. (+8.9 unit$, ROI=73.6%) The average score of these games was Lynx 46.0, Opponents 42.9. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Minnesota away games when they attempt 4 to 9 less free throws than opponents in a game. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 12-2 (86%) with an average 1st half over/under of 82.0. (+9.8 unit$, ROI=63.6%) The average score of these games was Lynx 46.1, Opponents 42.4. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Las Vegas away games when their opponents make 45% to 48% of their shots in a game. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 6-0 (100%) with an average 1st half over/under of 85.0. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was Aces 48.8, Opponents 44.5. |
Glossary of Terms
Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.
Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.
Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.
Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.
H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.
3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.
FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.
Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.
OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.
TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.