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| Sunday, 08/03/2025 3:00 PM (ET) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gm# | Record | Open | Latest | ML | 1H | |
 WAS | 623 | 13-14 | 160 | 159.5 | +220 | 81 |
 ATL | 624 | 17-11 | -7.5 | -7 | -300 | -3.5 |
| Matchup Content Menu |
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Tip SheetSimulation & Ratings🔒Betting Systems🔒Team Trends🔒Team StatsSchedule & ResultsHead-to-Head🔒Coaches🔒
Your one-stop tip sheet for all the key information you need: top systems, team and coaching trends, expert simulations with value-based ratings, plus key stats, injuries, and more. Click the matchup content menu links above to dig deeper!
| Team Stats Summary Comparison |
Explore comprehensive basketball team statistics for current game conditions, including against the spread, money line, scoring, field goal percentage, and rebounds.
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| Washington - Current Season Performance | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Against Spread | Money Line | Team | Opponent | |||||||||
| W-L | O-U | W-L | Units | Score | Half | FG Pct | Reb. | Score | Half | FG Pct | Reb. | |
| All Games | 13-13 | 12-15 | 13-14 | +2.3 | 78.6 | 37.7 | 43.3% | 44 | 80.0 | 41.3 | 42.7% | 40 |
| Road Games | 6-5 | 5-7 | 4-8 | -3 | 78.2 | 35.5 | 44.2% | 44 | 81.3 | 40.8 | 43.7% | 38 |
| vs. Eastern Conference | 8-4 | 7-5 | 7-5 | +3.8 | 83.2 | 39.6 | 45.5% | 44 | 82.8 | 43.0 | 44.2% | 40 |
| Last 5 Games | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-3 | -1.6 | 79.4 | 42.0 | 44.1% | 38 | 78.6 | 42.0 | 44.1% | 39 |
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| Atlanta - Current Season Performance | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Against Spread | Money Line | Team | Opponent | |||||||||
| W-L | O-U | W-L | Units | Score | Half | FG Pct | Reb. | Score | Half | FG Pct | Reb. | |
| All Games | 15-12 | 16-11 | 17-11 | -2.3 | 84.0 | 41.6 | 43.8% | 44 | 78.9 | 37.5 | 43.2% | 40 |
| Home Games | 7-5 | 6-6 | 9-4 | +1.9 | 85.3 | 41.8 | 44.4% | 46 | 76.7 | 38.9 | 42.6% | 40 |
| vs. Eastern Conference | 8-7 | 8-7 | 9-6 | -3.8 | 84.1 | 41.5 | 43.7% | 46 | 76.9 | 36.4 | 41.7% | 42 |
| Last 5 Games | 3-2 | 3-1 | 4-1 | +4.4 | 87.6 | 47.2 | 48.8% | 39 | 79.8 | 37.4 | 46.1% | 34 |
| Recent Results and Upcoming Schedule |
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| Washington - Recent Results and Upcoming Schedule | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team Game Stats | Opponent Stats | ||||||||||||||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU | Line | ATS | Tot. | O/U | Shots | Pct | REB | TO | Shots | Pct | REB | TO |
| 06/28/2025 |  @DAL | 71-79 | L | -6 | L | 160.5 | U | 22-64 | 34.4% | 33 | 13 | 29-62 | 46.8% | 46 | 19 |
| 07/03/2025 |  @MIN | 75-92 | L | +11.5 | L | 155 | O | 27-60 | 45.0% | 48 | 20 | 37-80 | 46.3% | 33 | 6 |
| 07/08/2025 |  CHI | 81-79 | W | -7 | L | 159.5 | O | 30-71 | 42.3% | 49 | 13 | 27-60 | 45.0% | 45 | 16 |
| 07/10/2025 |  LVA | 70-68 | W | -3.5 | L | 158 | U | 27-62 | 43.5% | 44 | 16 | 27-71 | 38.0% | 41 | 11 |
| 07/13/2025 |  @SEA | 74-69 | W | +7.5 | W | 156 | U | 28-63 | 44.4% | 47 | 15 | 25-69 | 36.2% | 41 | 15 |
| 07/15/2025 |  @LAS | 80-99 | L | +1 | L | 165.5 | O | 30-69 | 43.5% | 44 | 17 | 38-71 | 53.5% | 38 | 10 |
| 07/22/2025 | LAS | 86-93 | L | -2.5 | L | 167 | O | 30-61 | 49.2% | 26 | 15 | 35-68 | 51.5% | 33 | 16 |
| 07/26/2025 | SEA | 69-58 | W | +4 | W | 155 | U | 29-66 | 43.9% | 50 | 17 | 22-67 | 32.8% | 35 | 14 |
| 07/27/2025 |  PHO | 72-88 | L | +7.5 | L | 162.5 | U | 24-63 | 38.1% | 39 | 17 | 35-68 | 51.5% | 37 | 13 |
| 07/29/2025 | CHI | 103-86 | W | -7.5 | W | 156.5 | O | 36-71 | 50.7% | 39 | 10 | 32-71 | 45.1% | 43 | 12 |
| 07/31/2025 |  GS | 67-68 | L | -4 | L | 154 | U | 26-68 | 38.2% | 38 | 6 | 22-57 | 38.6% | 45 | 14 |
| 08/03/2025 | @ATL | 3:00p | +7 | 159.5 | - | - | |||||||||
| 08/05/2025 | @CHI | 8:00p | - | - | |||||||||||
| 08/08/2025 | @MIN | 7:30p | - | - | |||||||||||
| 08/10/2025 | @DAL | 4:00p | - | - | |||||||||||
| 08/13/2025 | GS | 7:30p | - | - | |||||||||||
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| Atlanta - Recent Results and Upcoming Schedule | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team Game Stats | Opponent Stats | ||||||||||||||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU | Line | ATS | Tot. | O/U | Shots | Pct | REB | TO | Shots | Pct | REB | TO |
| 06/29/2025 |  NYL | 90-81 | W | -1 | W | 166 | O | 37-70 | 52.9% | 48 | 13 | 30-68 | 44.1% | 36 | 13 |
| 07/03/2025 | SEA | 79-80 | L | -1.5 | L | 157.5 | O | 29-66 | 43.9% | 51 | 16 | 32-69 | 46.4% | 29 | 11 |
| 07/07/2025 | GS | 90-81 | W | -7.5 | W | 158 | O | 29-66 | 43.9% | 37 | 10 | 30-63 | 47.6% | 36 | 21 |
| 07/11/2025 |  @IND | 82-99 | L | +1 | L | 167.5 | O | 30-67 | 44.8% | 36 | 11 | 35-76 | 46.1% | 47 | 11 |
| 07/13/2025 | @NYL | 72-79 | L | +6 | L | 164.5 | U | 24-64 | 37.5% | 58 | 15 | 30-78 | 38.5% | 42 | 6 |
| 07/16/2025 | @CHI | 86-49 | W | -10 | W | 158.5 | U | 31-66 | 47.0% | 51 | 10 | 18-71 | 25.4% | 44 | 13 |
| 07/22/2025 | @LVA | 72-87 | L | +1 | L | 161 | U | 25-65 | 38.5% | 31 | 19 | 31-69 | 44.9% | 34 | 11 |
| 07/23/2025 | @PHO | 90-79 | W | +7.5 | W | 164 | O | 34-68 | 50.0% | 36 | 8 | 26-67 | 38.8% | 32 | 8 |
| 07/27/2025 | @MIN | 90-86 | W | +8 | W | 159 | O | 34-65 | 52.3% | 38 | 16 | 37-66 | 56.1% | 28 | 16 |
| 07/29/2025 | GS | 75-77 | L | -8 | L | 155.5 | U | 24-64 | 37.5% | 38 | 6 | 30-63 | 47.6% | 42 | 13 |
| 07/30/2025 | @DAL | 88-85 | W | -3.5 | L | 167 | O | 33-63 | 52.4% | 38 | 12 | 34-68 | 50.0% | 30 | 8 |
| 08/01/2025 | PHO | 95-72 | W | +4.5 | W | 167 | P | 34-66 | 51.5% | 45 | 7 | 27-70 | 38.6% | 37 | 9 |
| 08/03/2025 | WAS | 3:00p | -7 | 159.5 | - | - | |||||||||
| 08/07/2025 | @CHI | 8:00p | - | - | |||||||||||
| 08/10/2025 | @PHO | 6:00p | - | - | |||||||||||
| 08/13/2025 | @SEA | 10:00p | - | - | |||||||||||
| Top Betting Systems |
| Betting Systems Favoring Washington | |
|---|---|
 | Bet against - Any team vs the money line - a good offensive team (82-86 PPG) against an average offensive team (75-82 PPG), after scoring 85 points or more in 2 straight games. System applies to: Atlanta. System's record since 2021: 41-27 (60.3%) with an average money line of +170 (+42.8 unit$, ROI=62.9%) |
 | Bet on - Any team vs. the 1rst half line - after a loss by 6 points or less against opponent after scoring 90 points or more. System applies to: Washington. System's record since 2021: 55-23 (70.5%) with an average first half line of +1.4 (+29.7 unit$, ROI=34.6%) |
| Bet against - Home favorites of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line - in a game involving two average defensive teams (75-82 PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 85 points or more in 2 straight games. System applies to: Atlanta. System's record since 1997: 34-10 (77.3%) with an average first half line of +3.5 (+23 unit$, ROI=47.5%) |
| Bet against - All favorites of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line - in a game involving two average defensive teams (75-82 PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 80 points or more in 2 straight games. System applies to: Atlanta. System's record since 2021: 36-12 (75%) with an average first half line of +3 (+22.8 unit$, ROI=43.2%) |
| Bet on - Road underdogs of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line - after a loss by 6 points or less against opponent after scoring 90 points or more. System applies to: Washington. System's record since 1997: 49-20 (71%) with an average first half line of +3.3 (+27 unit$, ROI=35.6%) |
| Bet against - Home favorites of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after scoring 85 points or more in 2 straight games. System applies to: Atlanta. System's record since 1997: 89-45 (66.4%) with an average first half line of +3.6 (+39.5 unit$, ROI=26.8%) |
| Betting Systems Favoring Atlanta | |
|---|---|
 | Bet on - Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points - in a game involving two average three point shooting teams (30%-35%) after 15+ games, hot shooting team - 2 straight games making >=45% of their shots. System applies to: Atlanta. System's record since 2016: 22-4 (84.6%) with an average line of -6.5 (+17.6 unit$, ROI=61.5%) |
| Bet on - All favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points - in a game involving two average three point shooting teams (30%-35%) after 15+ games, hot shooting team - 2 straight games making >=45% of their shots. System applies to: Atlanta. System's record since 2016: 38-9 (80.9%) with an average line of -6.1 (+28.1 unit$, ROI=54.4%) |
| Bet on - All favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points - in a game involving two average three point shooting teams (30%-35%) after 15+ games. System applies to: Atlanta. System's record since 2016: 120-66 (64.5%) with an average line of -6.1 (+47.4 unit$, ROI=23.2%) |
| Bet against - Road teams vs. the money line - an average offensive team (75-82 PPG) against an average defensive team (75-82 PPG), after a combined score of 145 points or less. System applies to: Washington. System's record since 2016: 49-13 (79%) with an average money line of -112 (+34.5 unit$, ROI=49.6%) |
| Bet against - Road teams vs. the money line - in a game involving two average defensive teams (75-82 PPG) after 15+ games, after a combined score of 145 points or less. System applies to: Washington. System's record since 2016: 37-9 (80.4%) with an average money line of -107 (+27.4 unit$, ROI=55.8%) |
| Bet against - Road teams vs. the money line - in a game involving two average defensive teams (75-82 PPG), after a combined score of 145 points or less. System applies to: Washington. System's record since 2016: 59-18 (76.6%) with an average money line of -113 (+38.7 unit$, ROI=44.6%) |
| Bet against - Any team vs the money line - after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, playing with 2 days rest. System applies to: Washington. System's record since 2021: 95-45 (67.9%) with an average money line of +100 (+50.2 unit$, ROI=35.9%) |
| Betting Systems Favoring Over | |
|---|---|
| Bet over - Road teams where the first half total is 81 or less - double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season. System applies to: Washington. System's record since 2016: 21-3 (87.5%) with an average first half total of 78.8 (+17.7 unit$, ROI=67.0%) |
| Betting Systems Favoring Under | |
|---|---|
| Bet under - All teams where the total is 159.5 or less - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season. System applies to: Atlanta. System's record since 1997: 68-32 (68%) with an average total of 148.1 (+32.8 unit$, ROI=29.8%) |
| Bet under - All teams where the total is 159.5 or less - off a home win by 10 points or more, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season. System applies to: Atlanta. System's record since 1997: 233-142 (62.1%) with an average total of 145.2 (+76.8 unit$, ROI=18.6%) |
| Top Team Trends |
| Trends Favoring Washington. | |
|---|---|
| Bet on Washington when playing with 2 days rest. Washington record since the 2024 season: 13-2 (87%) ATS with an average line of +3.5. (+10.8 unit$, ROI=61.4%). The average score of these games was Mystics 83.2, Opponents 77.6. |
| Bet on Washington in away games double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent. Washington record since the 2024 season: 12-2 (86%) ATS with an average line of +8.2. (+9.8 unit$, ROI=63.6%). The average score of these games was Mystics 80.4, Opponents 81.1. |
| Bet against Atlanta after scoring 80 points or more in 2 straight games. Atlanta record during the 2025 season: 1-8 (11%) ATS with an average line of -3.9. (-7.8 unit$, ROI=-78.8%). The average score of these games was Dream 77.7, Opponents 80.7. |
| Bet on Washington in away games on the money line in August or September games. Washington record since the 2024 season: 6-1 (86%) with an average money line of +199. (+10.0 unit$, ROI=142.9%) The average score of these games was Mystics 79.6, Opponents 73.0. |
| Bet against Atlanta on the money line after scoring 85 points or more in 2 straight games. Atlanta record during the 2025 season: 0-6 (0%) with an average money line of -247. (-17.3 unit$, ROI=-116.9%) The average score of these games was Dream 73.7, Opponents 79.3. |
| Bet against Atlanta on the money line after scoring 80 points or more in 2 straight games. Atlanta record during the 2025 season: 1-7 (13%) with an average money line of -235. (-17.3 unit$, ROI=-92.0%) The average score of these games was Dream 77.7, Opponents 80.7. |
| Bet against Atlanta on the money line after scoring 90 points or more. Atlanta record since the 2024 season: 3-12 (20%) with an average money line of -135. (-17.9 unit$, ROI=-88.4%) The average score of these games was Dream 81.6, Opponents 85.1. |
| Bet on Washington in away games on the 1st half line in August or September games. Washington record on the 1st half line since the 2024 season: 7-0 (100%) with an average 1st half line of +3.0. (+7.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average 1st half score of these games was Mystics 43.0, Opponents 35.3. |
| Bet on Washington on the 1st half line after a game where both teams scored 70 points or less. Washington record on the 1st half line since the 2023 season: 6-0 (100%) with an average 1st half line of +3.5. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average 1st half score of these games was Mystics 40.2, Opponents 37.8. |
| Bet on Washington in away games on the 1st half line versus teams who are called for 18 or less fouls/game. Washington record on the 1st half line since the 2024 season: 11-2 (85%) with an average 1st half line of +5.0. (+8.8 unit$, ROI=61.5%) The average 1st half score of these games was Mystics 39.3, Opponents 39.2. |
| Bet against Atlanta on the 1st half line versus the 1rst half line in home games. Atlanta record on the 1st half line since the 2024 season: 8-24 (25%) with an average 1st half line of -0.5. (-18.4 unit$, ROI=-50.7%) The average 1st half score of these games was Dream 38.8, Opponents 41.3. |
| Bet against Atlanta in away games on the 1st half line after a non-conference game. Atlanta record on the 1st half line since the 2024 season: 3-13 (19%) with an average 1st half line of -0.5. (-11.3 unit$, ROI=-64.2%) The average 1st half score of these games was Dream 40.3, Opponents 44.1. |
| Bet against Atlanta in away games on the 1st half line after having won 2 of their last 3 games. Atlanta record on the 1st half line since the 2023 season: 3-14 (18%) with an average 1st half line of -1.0. (-12.4 unit$, ROI=-66.3%) The average 1st half score of these games was Dream 39.5, Opponents 42.1. |
| Bet against Atlanta in away games on the 1st half line versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game. Atlanta record on the 1st half line since the 2024 season: 6-19 (24%) with an average 1st half line of 0.0. (-14.9 unit$, ROI=-52.1%) The average 1st half score of these games was Dream 38.9, Opponents 41.8. |
| Trends Favoring Atlanta. | |
|---|---|
| Bet on Atlanta after 2 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers. Atlanta record since the 2024 season: 10-1 (91%) ATS with an average line of +3.0. (+8.9 unit$, ROI=67.4%). The average score of these games was Dream 81.2, Opponents 78.0. |
| Bet on Atlanta on the money line when playing their 4th game in 7 days. Atlanta record since the 2023 season: 7-1 (88%) with an average money line of -115. (+9.9 unit$, ROI=107.1%) The average score of these games was Dream 84.0, Opponents 73.4. |
| Trends Favoring Over. | |
|---|---|
| Bet over the total in Washington away games revenging a loss where opponent scored 85 or more points. The Over's record since the 2024 season: 8-1 (89%) with an average over/under of 163.4. (+6.9 unit$, ROI=69.7%) The average score of these games was Mystics 84.1, Opponents 86.9. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Washington games revenging a close loss versus opponent by 3 points or less. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 6-0 (100%) with an average 1st half over/under of 82.0. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=77.9%) The average score of these games was Mystics 42.4, Opponents 44.7. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Washington games versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing <=12 turnovers/game after 15+ games. The 1st half Over's record since the 2023 season: 7-0 (100%) with an average 1st half over/under of 83.0. (+7.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was Mystics 48.1, Opponents 45.3. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Washington games versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing <=12 turnovers/game. The 1st half Over's record since the 2023 season: 10-1 (91%) with an average 1st half over/under of 82.0. (+8.9 unit$, ROI=73.6%) The average score of these games was Mystics 45.5, Opponents 44.4. |
| Trends Favoring Under. | |
|---|---|
| Bet under the total in Washington games after playing a game as a home favorite. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 6-0 (100%) with an average over/under of 156.4. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was Mystics 67.3, Opponents 69.3. |
| Bet under the total in Atlanta away games after 2 or more consecutive wins. The Under's record since the 2023 season: 6-0 (100%) with an average over/under of 165.3. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was Dream 78.5, Opponents 77.3. |
| Bet under the 1st half total in Atlanta games off an upset win as an underdog. The 1st half Under's record during the 2025 season: 5-0 (100%) with an average 1st half over/under of 81.5. (+5.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was Dream 37.6, Opponents 37.8. |
| Bet under the 1st half total in Atlanta games after playing a game as an underdog. The 1st half Under's record during the 2025 season: 9-1 (90%) with an average 1st half over/under of 82.0. (+7.9 unit$, ROI=65.3%) The average score of these games was Dream 41.0, Opponents 34.5. |
| Bet under the 1st half total in Atlanta games when playing against a team with a losing record. The 1st half Under's record during the 2025 season: 10-2 (83%) with an average 1st half over/under of 81.5. (+7.8 unit$, ROI=59.1%) The average score of these games was Dream 39.8, Opponents 34.9. |
| Key Coaching Trends |
| Key Coaching Trends Favoring Washington. | |
|---|---|
| Bet against Karl Smesko after scoring 80 points or more in 2 straight games. Smesko's record as coach of ATLANTA: 1-8 (11%) with an average line of -3.9. (-7.8 unit$, ROI=-78.8%) The average score of these games was ATLANTA 77.7, Opponents 80.7 |
| Bet against Karl Smesko on the money line after scoring 85 points or more in 2 straight games. Smesko's record as coach of ATLANTA: 0-6 (0%) with an average money line of -247. (-17.3 unit$, ROI=-116.9%) The average score of these games was ATLANTA 73.7, Opponents 79.3 |
| Bet against Karl Smesko on the money line after scoring 80 points or more in 2 straight games. Smesko's record as coach of ATLANTA: 1-7 (13%) with an average money line of -235. (-17.3 unit$, ROI=-92.0%) The average score of these games was ATLANTA 77.7, Opponents 80.7 |
| Key Coaching Trends Favoring Under. | |
|---|---|
| Bet under the total in Sydney Johnson games after playing a game as a home favorite. The Under's record as coach of WASHINGTON: 6-0 (100%) with an average over/under of 156.4. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was WASHINGTON 67.3, Opponents 69.3 |
| Bet under the 1st half total in Karl Smesko games after playing a game as an underdog. The 1st half Under's record as coach of ATLANTA: 9-1 (90%) with an average 1st half over/under of 82.0. (+7.9 unit$, ROI=65.3%) The average 1st half score of these games was ATLANTA 41.0, Opponents 34.5 |
| WNBA Power Ratings |
Compare team strength with power ratings based on recent results versus expectations. Identify potential advantages where ratings differ from the actual line.
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| Power Rating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teams | Rating | Estimate | Actual | Edge |
| WAS | 79 | |||
| ATL | 88 | -11 | -7 | ATL (+4) |