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| Thursday, 07/31/2025 7:30 PM (ET) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gm# | Record | Open | Latest | ML | 1H | |
 GS | 607 | 12-13 | 157.5 | 153.5 | +170 | 78 |
 WAS | 608 | 13-13 | -2.5 | -4.5 | -200 | -2.5 |
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Tip SheetSimulation & Ratings🔒Betting Systems🔒Team Trends🔒Team StatsSchedule & ResultsHead-to-Head🔒Coaches🔒
WNBA Simulation & Power Ratings |
This page features detailed power rating line projections alongside StatSharp's advanced game simulations, each offering precise projected scores and game statistics, estimated fair market lines, positive expected value percentages, and projected hit rates against both the side and total lines. Both sections clearly identify potential betting advantages by highlighting significant value edges when they occur. Use this comprehensive analysis to confidently identify the strongest wagering opportunities available.
Power Rating Projections |
Compare team strength with power ratings based on recent results versus expectations. Identify potential advantages where ratings differ from the actual line.
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| Power Rating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teams | Rating | Estimate | Actual | Edge |
| GS | 82 | -1 | GS (+5.5) | |
| WAS | 79 | -4.5 | ||
Game Simulation Results |
This table shows projected scores and stats from simulations, including shooting, free throws, and rebounding. Edges highlight potential advantages versus the current line.
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores, Edges | Shooting | 3pt Shooting | Free Throws | Rebounding | |||||||||||
| Teams | Score | Edge | H1Score | Edge | 3FGM-A | Pct. | 3FGM-A | Pct. | FTM-A | Pct. | Tot. | OFF | TO | ||
| GS | 76 | GS (+3.5) | 38 | GS (+2.5) | 27-67 | 39.4% | 9-31 | 29.1% | 14-18 | 79.6% | 43 | 8 | 14 | ||
| WAS | 77 | Un (+0.1) | 38 | Un (+1.4) | 27-65 | 41.5% | 5-16 | 31.7% | 18-24 | 75.7% | 46 | 8 | 14 | ||
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| The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total. | |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Golden State covered the spread 609 times, while Washington covered the spread 391 times. Edge against the spread=Golden State. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 522 games went under the total, while 478 games went over the total. No Edge. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Washington won the game straight up 511 times, while Golden State won 465 times. Edge on the money line=Golden State. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Golden State covered the first half line 601 times, while Washington covered the first half line 399 times. Edge against the first half line=Golden State. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 527 games went under the first half total, while 419 games went over the first half total. Edge against the first half total=Under. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Washington covered the 4 point teaser line 511 times, and failed to cover 489 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, Golden State covered the 4 point teaser line 710 times, and failed to cover 290 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 592 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 408 failed to go over. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 628 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 372 failed to go under. No Edge. |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
| Trends Favoring Golden State. | |
|---|---|
| Bet on Golden State when their opponents make 29% to 35% of their 3 pointers in a game. Golden State record during the 2025 season: 7-0 (100%) ATS with an average line of +4.9. (+7.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%). The average score of these games was VALKYRIES 82.6, Opponents 77.1. |
| Bet on Golden State in games where they commit 13 to 18 turnovers. Golden State record during the 2025 season: 8-1 (89%) ATS with an average line of +7.0. (+6.9 unit$, ROI=62.7%). The average score of these games was VALKYRIES 79.7, Opponents 74.1. |
| Bet on Golden State on the money line when they attempt 17 to 22 free throws in a game. Golden State record during the 2025 season: 5-1 (83%) with an average money line of +329. (+14.3 unit$, ROI=237.5%) The average score of these games was VALKYRIES 79.9, Opponents 72.9. |
| Bet on Golden State on the money line in games where they force 13 to 18 turnovers. Golden State record during the 2025 season: 9-3 (75%) with an average money line of +175. (+20.3 unit$, ROI=168.8%) The average score of these games was VALKYRIES 80.1, Opponents 77.1. |
| Bet on Golden State on the money line in games where they commit 13 to 18 turnovers. Golden State record during the 2025 season: 7-2 (78%) with an average money line of +243. (+15.3 unit$, ROI=169.4%) The average score of these games was VALKYRIES 79.7, Opponents 74.1. |
| Bet on Golden State on the 1st half line when they have the around same number of rebounds as their opponents in a game. Golden State record on the 1st half line during the 2025 season: 8-1 (89%) with an average 1st half line of +3.0. (+6.9 unit$, ROI=62.7%) The average 1st half score of these games was VALKYRIES 38.8, Opponents 38.5. |
| Bet on Golden State on the 1st half line when they score 76 to 81 points in a game. Golden State record on the 1st half line during the 2025 season: 8-1 (89%) with an average 1st half line of +3.5. (+6.9 unit$, ROI=69.7%) The average 1st half score of these games was VALKYRIES 38.9, Opponents 36.8. |
| Bet on Golden State on the 1st half line when their opponents make 29% to 35% of their 3 pointers in a game. Golden State record on the 1st half line during the 2025 season: 7-0 (100%) with an average 1st half line of +2.5. (+7.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average 1st half score of these games was VALKYRIES 44.4, Opponents 36.9. |
| Bet on Golden State on the 1st half line when they commit around the same number of turnovers as opponents. Golden State record on the 1st half line during the 2025 season: 10-1 (91%) with an average 1st half line of +3.5. (+8.9 unit$, ROI=67.4%) The average 1st half score of these games was VALKYRIES 42.8, Opponents 38.4. |
| Trends Favoring Under. | |
|---|---|
| Bet under the total in Golden State games when they make 29% to 35% of their three point attempts in a game. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 8-1 (89%) with an average over/under of 160.6. (+6.9 unit$, ROI=62.7%) The average score of these games was VALKYRIES 80.1, Opponents 75.7. |
| Bet under the total in Washington games when they have the around same number of rebounds as their opponents in a game. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 6-0 (100%) with an average over/under of 158.8. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was Mystics 69.8, Opponents 76.2. |
Glossary of Terms
Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.
Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.
Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.
Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.
H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.
3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.
FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.
Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.
OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.
TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.