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| Friday, 08/01/2025 7:30 PM (ET) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gm# | Record | Open | Latest | ML | 1H | |
 PHO | 613 | 16-10 | -1.5 | -3 | -155 | -1.5 |
 ATL | 614 | 16-11 | 163 | 164 | +135 | 83 |
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Tip SheetSimulation & Ratings🔒Betting Systems🔒Team Trends🔒Team StatsSchedule & ResultsHead-to-Head🔒Coaches🔒
Your one-stop tip sheet for all the key information you need: top systems, team and coaching trends, expert simulations with value-based ratings, plus key stats, injuries, and more. Click the matchup content menu links above to dig deeper!
| Team Stats Summary Comparison |
Explore comprehensive basketball team statistics for current game conditions, including against the spread, money line, scoring, field goal percentage, and rebounds.
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| Phoenix - Current Season Performance | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Against Spread | Money Line | Team | Opponent | |||||||||
| W-L | O-U | W-L | Units | Score | Half | FG Pct | Reb. | Score | Half | FG Pct | Reb. | |
| All Games | 13-12 | 14-12 | 16-10 | +1.4 | 83.8 | 42.2 | 43.5% | 41 | 80.9 | 41.4 | 42.7% | 43 |
| Road Games | 6-7 | 6-7 | 7-6 | -2.4 | 82.5 | 42.8 | 43.0% | 41 | 83.0 | 43.8 | 43.1% | 43 |
| vs. Eastern Conference | 4-5 | 7-3 | 7-3 | +4.1 | 89.1 | 45.0 | 44.4% | 40 | 84.2 | 42.2 | 44.7% | 42 |
| Last 5 Games | 1-4 | 2-3 | 1-4 | -5.9 | 82.0 | 41.0 | 43.1% | 39 | 87.4 | 46.6 | 44.8% | 42 |
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| Atlanta - Current Season Performance | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Against Spread | Money Line | Team | Opponent | |||||||||
| W-L | O-U | W-L | Units | Score | Half | FG Pct | Reb. | Score | Half | FG Pct | Reb. | |
| All Games | 14-12 | 16-11 | 16-11 | -4 | 83.6 | 41.0 | 43.5% | 44 | 79.1 | 37.4 | 43.3% | 40 |
| Home Games | 6-5 | 6-6 | 8-4 | +0.2 | 84.5 | 40.4 | 43.8% | 46 | 77.1 | 38.7 | 43.0% | 40 |
| vs. Western Conference | 6-5 | 8-4 | 7-5 | -0.1 | 83.0 | 40.3 | 43.4% | 42 | 81.9 | 38.6 | 45.4% | 37 |
| Last 5 Games | 2-3 | 3-2 | 3-2 | +1.6 | 83.0 | 43.4 | 46.2% | 36 | 82.8 | 38.0 | 47.4% | 33 |
| Recent Results and Upcoming Schedule |
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| Phoenix - Recent Results and Upcoming Schedule | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team Game Stats | Opponent Stats | ||||||||||||||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU | Line | ATS | Tot. | O/U | Shots | Pct | REB | TO | Shots | Pct | REB | TO |
| 06/27/2025 |  NYL | 106-91 | W | -1.5 | W | 168 | O | 41-78 | 52.6% | 39 | 12 | 33-65 | 50.8% | 37 | 12 |
| 06/29/2025 |  LVA | 81-84 | L | -5 | L | 168.5 | U | 27-71 | 38.0% | 43 | 11 | 26-60 | 43.3% | 42 | 12 |
| 07/03/2025 |  @DAL | 89-98 | L | -11.5 | L | 164.5 | O | 28-67 | 41.8% | 38 | 10 | 32-67 | 47.8% | 47 | 15 |
| 07/07/2025 | DAL | 102-72 | W | -6 | W | 163.5 | O | 36-76 | 47.4% | 51 | 9 | 27-75 | 36.0% | 48 | 17 |
| 07/09/2025 |  MIN | 79-71 | W | +7.5 | W | 160.5 | U | 34-73 | 46.6% | 38 | 9 | 30-70 | 42.9% | 41 | 16 |
| 07/14/2025 |  @GS | 78-77 | W | +1.5 | W | 158 | U | 27-57 | 47.4% | 39 | 14 | 25-74 | 33.8% | 49 | 9 |
| 07/16/2025 | @MIN | 66-79 | L | +10 | L | 158 | U | 25-70 | 35.7% | 44 | 12 | 29-68 | 42.6% | 49 | 13 |
| 07/23/2025 | ATL | 79-90 | L | -7.5 | L | 164 | O | 26-67 | 38.8% | 32 | 8 | 34-68 | 50.0% | 36 | 8 |
| 07/25/2025 | @NYL | 76-89 | L | +6.5 | L | 170.5 | U | 31-77 | 40.3% | 44 | 14 | 29-69 | 42.0% | 49 | 16 |
| 07/27/2025 |  @WAS | 88-72 | W | -7.5 | W | 162.5 | U | 35-68 | 51.5% | 37 | 13 | 24-63 | 38.1% | 39 | 17 |
| 07/30/2025 |  @IND | 101-107 | L | -3.5 | L | 167.5 | O | 36-73 | 49.3% | 39 | 17 | 32-62 | 51.6% | 38 | 16 |
| 08/01/2025 | @ATL | 7:30p | -3 | 164 | - | - | |||||||||
| 08/03/2025 |  @CHI | 6:00p | - | - | |||||||||||
| 08/05/2025 |  CON | 10:00p | - | - | |||||||||||
| 08/07/2025 | IND | 10:00p | - | - | |||||||||||
| 08/10/2025 | ATL | 6:00p | - | - | |||||||||||
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| Atlanta - Recent Results and Upcoming Schedule | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team Game Stats | Opponent Stats | ||||||||||||||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU | Line | ATS | Tot. | O/U | Shots | Pct | REB | TO | Shots | Pct | REB | TO |
| 06/27/2025 | MIN | 92-96 | L | +4 | P | 158 | O | 33-76 | 43.4% | 52 | 13 | 33-72 | 45.8% | 36 | 16 |
| 06/29/2025 | NYL | 90-81 | W | -1 | W | 166 | O | 37-70 | 52.9% | 48 | 13 | 30-68 | 44.1% | 36 | 13 |
| 07/03/2025 |  SEA | 79-80 | L | -1.5 | L | 157.5 | O | 29-66 | 43.9% | 51 | 16 | 32-69 | 46.4% | 29 | 11 |
| 07/07/2025 | GS | 90-81 | W | -7.5 | W | 158 | O | 29-66 | 43.9% | 37 | 10 | 30-63 | 47.6% | 36 | 21 |
| 07/11/2025 | @IND | 82-99 | L | +1 | L | 167.5 | O | 30-67 | 44.8% | 36 | 11 | 35-76 | 46.1% | 47 | 11 |
| 07/13/2025 | @NYL | 72-79 | L | +6 | L | 164.5 | U | 24-64 | 37.5% | 58 | 15 | 30-78 | 38.5% | 42 | 6 |
| 07/16/2025 | @CHI | 86-49 | W | -10 | W | 158.5 | U | 31-66 | 47.0% | 51 | 10 | 18-71 | 25.4% | 44 | 13 |
| 07/22/2025 | @LVA | 72-87 | L | +1 | L | 161 | U | 25-65 | 38.5% | 31 | 19 | 31-69 | 44.9% | 34 | 11 |
| 07/23/2025 | @PHO | 90-79 | W | +7.5 | W | 164 | O | 34-68 | 50.0% | 36 | 8 | 26-67 | 38.8% | 32 | 8 |
| 07/27/2025 | @MIN | 90-86 | W | +8 | W | 159 | O | 34-65 | 52.3% | 38 | 16 | 37-66 | 56.1% | 28 | 16 |
| 07/29/2025 | GS | 75-77 | L | -8 | L | 155.5 | U | 24-64 | 37.5% | 38 | 6 | 30-63 | 47.6% | 42 | 13 |
| 07/30/2025 | @DAL | 88-85 | W | -3.5 | L | 167 | O | 33-63 | 52.4% | 38 | 12 | 34-68 | 50.0% | 30 | 8 |
| 08/01/2025 | PHO | 7:30p | +3 | 164 | - | - | |||||||||
| 08/03/2025 | WAS | 3:00p | - | - | |||||||||||
| 08/07/2025 | @CHI | 8:00p | - | - | |||||||||||
| 08/10/2025 | @PHO | 6:00p | - | - | |||||||||||
| 08/13/2025 | @SEA | 10:00p | - | - | |||||||||||
| Top Betting Systems |
| Betting Systems Favoring Phoenix | |
|---|---|
 | Bet on - Road teams - off an upset loss as a road favorite, on Friday nights. System applies to: Phoenix. System's record since 1997: 36-12 (75%) with an average line of +3 (+22.8 unit$, ROI=43.2%) |
 | Bet on - Any team vs the money line - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7 or more, off an upset loss as a road favorite. System applies to: Phoenix. System's record since 1997: 27-3 (90%) with an average money line of +100 (+24.1 unit$, ROI=80.3%) |
| Bet on - Any team vs the money line - after having lost 3 of their last 4 games, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games. System applies to: Phoenix. System's record since 2021: 33-6 (84.6%) with an average money line of +112 (+31 unit$, ROI=79.5%) |
| Bet on - Any team vs the money line - after having lost 3 of their last 4 games, with a winning record on the season. System applies to: Phoenix. System's record since 2021: 38-10 (79.2%) with an average money line of +110 (+31.8 unit$, ROI=66.1%) |
| Bet against - Any team vs the money line - an good offensive team (82-86 PPG) against an average defensive team (75-82 PPG) after 15+ games, after a win by 6 points or less. System applies to: Atlanta. System's record since 2016: 43-16 (72.9%) with an average money line of +105 (+29.3 unit$, ROI=49.6%) |
| Bet on - Any team vs the money line - revenging a loss versus opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more, off a upset loss as a favorite. System applies to: Phoenix. System's record since 1997: 62-22 (73.8%) with an average money line of -100 (+40 unit$, ROI=47.5%) |
| Bet on - Any team vs the money line - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7 or more, off a road loss. System applies to: Phoenix. System's record since 1997: 58-24 (70.7%) with an average money line of +101 (+34.4 unit$, ROI=42.0%) |
| Betting Systems Favoring Atlanta | |
|---|---|
| Bet against - Road teams vs. the money line - after having lost 3 of their last 4 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record. System applies to: Phoenix. System's record since 1997: 38-9 (80.9%) with an average money line of -129 (+26.4 unit$, ROI=43.6%) |
| Betting Systems Favoring Over | |
|---|---|
 | Bet over - All teams where the first half total is between 81 and 85.5 points - good rebounding team - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game, on Friday nights. System applies to: Atlanta. System's record since 2016: 51-20 (71.8%) with an average first half total of 83 (+29 unit$, ROI=37.1%) |
| Betting Systems Favoring Under | |
|---|---|
| Bet under - Road teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points - revenging a home loss versus opponent by 10 points or more, well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days. System applies to: Phoenix. System's record since 2021: 32-9 (78%) with an average total of 164.8 (+22.1 unit$, ROI=49.0%) |
| Top Team Trends |
| Trends Favoring Phoenix. | |
|---|---|
| Bet on Phoenix on the money line revenging a loss versus opponent by 10 points or more. Phoenix record during the 2025 season: 5-1 (83%) with an average money line of +172. (+10.3 unit$, ROI=170.8%) The average score of these games was Mercury 78.1, Opponents 70.3. |
| Bet on Phoenix on the 1st half line after one or more consecutive overs. Phoenix record on the 1st half line during the 2025 season: 10-2 (83%) with an average 1st half line of +0.5. (+7.8 unit$, ROI=54.5%) The average 1st half score of these games was Mercury 44.9, Opponents 40.8. |
| Bet on Phoenix on the 1st half line revenging a loss versus opponent by 10 points or more. Phoenix record on the 1st half line during the 2025 season: 7-0 (100%) with an average 1st half line of +0.0. (+7.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average 1st half score of these games was Mercury 40.6, Opponents 34.3. |
| Bet on Phoenix on the 1st half line revenging a home loss versus opponent by 10 points or more. Phoenix record on the 1st half line during the 2025 season: 5-0 (100%) with an average 1st half line of -1.0. (+5.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average 1st half score of these games was Mercury 41.0, Opponents 33.0. |
| Bet against Atlanta on the 1st half line as a home underdog vs. the 1rst half line. Atlanta record on the 1st half line since the 2024 season: 2-12 (14%) with an average 1st half line of +3.0. (-11.2 unit$, ROI=-67.9%) The average 1st half score of these games was Dream 35.7, Opponents 43.2. |
| Bet against Atlanta on the 1st half line versus the 1rst half line in home games. Atlanta record on the 1st half line since the 2024 season: 7-24 (23%) with an average 1st half line of -1.0. (-19.4 unit$, ROI=-55.1%) The average 1st half score of these games was Dream 38.2, Opponents 41.3. |
| Bet against Atlanta in away games on the 1st half line on Friday. Atlanta record on the 1st half line since the 2024 season: 1-9 (10%) with an average 1st half line of +0.5. (-8.9 unit$, ROI=-80.9%) The average 1st half score of these games was Dream 37.3, Opponents 44.3. |
| Bet against Atlanta in away games on the 1st half line after a non-conference game. Atlanta record on the 1st half line since the 2024 season: 2-13 (13%) with an average 1st half line of -0.5. (-12.3 unit$, ROI=-74.5%) The average 1st half score of these games was Dream 39.1, Opponents 44.2. |
| Bet against Atlanta in away games on the 1st half line after playing a game as favorite. Atlanta record on the 1st half line during the 2025 season: 0-7 (0%) with an average 1st half line of -4.0. (-7.7 unit$, ROI=-100.0%) The average 1st half score of these games was Dream 40.1, Opponents 40.9. |
| Bet against Atlanta in away games on the 1st half line after 1 or more consecutive wins. Atlanta record on the 1st half line during the 2025 season: 0-6 (0%) with an average 1st half line of -4.0. (-6.6 unit$, ROI=-100.0%) The average 1st half score of these games was Dream 38.5, Opponents 38.7. |
| Bet against Atlanta in away games on the 1st half line after having won 2 of their last 3 games. Atlanta record on the 1st half line since the 2023 season: 2-14 (13%) with an average 1st half line of -1.0. (-13.4 unit$, ROI=-76.1%) The average 1st half score of these games was Dream 38.3, Opponents 42.1. |
| Bet against Atlanta in away games on the 1st half line after having won 3 of their last 4 games. Atlanta record on the 1st half line since the 2023 season: 1-9 (10%) with an average 1st half line of -2.5. (-8.9 unit$, ROI=-80.9%) The average 1st half score of these games was Dream 39.9, Opponents 44.2. |
| Bet against Atlanta in away games on the 1st half line versus teams who attempt 16 or more 3 point shots/game on the season. Atlanta record on the 1st half line since the 2024 season: 5-18 (22%) with an average 1st half line of 0.0. (-14.8 unit$, ROI=-56.1%) The average 1st half score of these games was Dream 38.1, Opponents 42.0. |
| Bet against Atlanta in away games on the 1st half line versus teams who make 5 or more 3 point shots/game on the season. Atlanta record on the 1st half line since the 2024 season: 5-18 (22%) with an average 1st half line of 0.0. (-14.8 unit$, ROI=-56.1%) The average 1st half score of these games was Dream 38.1, Opponents 42.0. |
| Bet against Atlanta in away games on the 1st half line versus good passing teams, averaging >=17 assists/game. Atlanta record on the 1st half line since the 2024 season: 6-19 (24%) with an average 1st half line of -0.5. (-14.9 unit$, ROI=-52.1%) The average 1st half score of these games was Dream 38.5, Opponents 41.7. |
| Bet against Atlanta in away games on the 1st half line versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game. Atlanta record on the 1st half line since the 2024 season: 6-19 (24%) with an average 1st half line of -0.5. (-14.9 unit$, ROI=-52.1%) The average 1st half score of these games was Dream 38.5, Opponents 41.7. |
| Bet against Atlanta in away games on the 1st half line versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting <=21 free throws/game. Atlanta record on the 1st half line during the 2025 season: 0-6 (0%) with an average 1st half line of -4.0. (-6.6 unit$, ROI=-100.0%) The average 1st half score of these games was Dream 41.7, Opponents 43.2. |
| Bet against Atlanta in away games on the 1st half line versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting <=21 free throws/game after 15+ games. Atlanta record on the 1st half line since the 2024 season: 2-12 (14%) with an average 1st half line of +0.5. (-11.2 unit$, ROI=-67.9%) The average 1st half score of these games was Dream 37.8, Opponents 43.9. |
| Bet against Atlanta in away games on the 1st half line versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game. Atlanta record on the 1st half line since the 2024 season: 5-19 (21%) with an average 1st half line of 0.0. (-15.9 unit$, ROI=-57.8%) The average 1st half score of these games was Dream 38.2, Opponents 41.8. |
| Trends Favoring Atlanta. | |
|---|---|
| Bet against Phoenix in home games on Fridays. Phoenix record since the 2023 season: 0-9 (0%) ATS with an average line of +4.1. (-9.9 unit$, ROI=-90.0%). The average score of these games was Mercury 75.5, Opponents 88.1. |
| Bet against Phoenix in home games after scoring 80 points or more in 2 straight games. Phoenix record since the 2024 season: 3-14 (18%) ATS with an average line of +3.3. (-12.4 unit$, ROI=-66.3%). The average score of these games was Mercury 75.9, Opponents 85.0. |
| Bet against Phoenix versus teams who are called for 18 or less fouls/game after 15+ games. Phoenix record since the 2024 season: 3-15 (17%) ATS with an average line of +3.7. (-13.5 unit$, ROI=-64.6%). The average score of these games was Mercury 74.4, Opponents 85.4. |
| Bet against Phoenix when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games. Phoenix record since the 2024 season: 2-14 (13%) ATS with an average line of +4.9. (-13.4 unit$, ROI=-76.1%). The average score of these games was Mercury 75.9, Opponents 89.3. |
| Bet against Phoenix versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game after 15+ games. Phoenix record since the 2024 season: 3-24 (11%) ATS with an average line of +5.4. (-23.4 unit$, ROI=-78.8%). The average score of these games was Mercury 75.1, Opponents 89.6. |
| Bet against Phoenix versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 83+ points/game after 15+ games. Phoenix record since the 2024 season: 1-9 (10%) ATS with an average line of +3.3. (-8.9 unit$, ROI=-80.9%). The average score of these games was Mercury 75.6, Opponents 86.8. |
| Bet against Phoenix in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. Phoenix record since the 2024 season: 5-18 (22%) ATS with an average line of +8.1. (-14.8 unit$, ROI=-58.5%). The average score of these games was Mercury 72.6, Opponents 87.8. |
| Bet against Phoenix in home games on the money line when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days. Phoenix record since the 2023 season: 6-23 (21%) with an average money line of +164. (-24.3 unit$, ROI=-83.6%) The average score of these games was Mercury 77.9, Opponents 86.3. |
| Bet against Phoenix in home games on the money line off a upset loss as a favorite. Phoenix record since the 2024 season: 1-5 (17%) with an average money line of +104. (-10.5 unit$, ROI=-175.0%) The average score of these games was Mercury 71.5, Opponents 87.2. |
| Bet against Phoenix in home games on the money line after scoring 80 points or more in 2 straight games. Phoenix record since the 2024 season: 1-14 (7%) with an average money line of -105. (-21.1 unit$, ROI=-134.4%) The average score of these games was Mercury 75.9, Opponents 85.0. |
| Bet against Phoenix in home games on the money line after a loss by 6 points or less. Phoenix record since the 2023 season: 1-6 (14%) with an average money line of -109. (-10.8 unit$, ROI=-141.2%) The average score of these games was Mercury 77.3, Opponents 88.0. |
| Bet against Phoenix on the money line versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=33% of their attempts after 15+ games. Phoenix record since the 2024 season: 3-14 (18%) with an average money line of +130. (-15.5 unit$, ROI=-90.9%) The average score of these games was Mercury 81.5, Opponents 88.9. |
| Bet against Phoenix in home games on the money line versus teams who attempt 16 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games. Phoenix record since the 2023 season: 7-21 (25%) with an average money line of +143. (-22.0 unit$, ROI=-78.4%) The average score of these games was Mercury 79.0, Opponents 88.0. |
| Bet against Phoenix in home games on the money line versus teams who make 5 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games. Phoenix record since the 2023 season: 7-21 (25%) with an average money line of +143. (-22.0 unit$, ROI=-78.4%) The average score of these games was Mercury 79.0, Opponents 88.0. |
| Bet against Phoenix in home games on the money line vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts after 15+ games. Phoenix record since the 2023 season: 5-20 (20%) with an average money line of +156. (-23.0 unit$, ROI=-91.8%) The average score of these games was Mercury 78.3, Opponents 88.4. |
| Bet against Phoenix on the money line versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting <=21 free throws/game after 15+ games. Phoenix record during the 2025 season: 2-6 (25%) with an average money line of -165. (-13.1 unit$, ROI=-98.9%) The average score of these games was Mercury 81.1, Opponents 86.9. |
| Bet against Phoenix in home games on the money line vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts. Phoenix record since the 2023 season: 8-28 (22%) with an average money line of +188. (-24.0 unit$, ROI=-66.5%) The average score of these games was Mercury 76.9, Opponents 87.0. |
| Bet against Phoenix on the money line versus teams who are called for 18 or less fouls/game after 15+ games. Phoenix record since the 2024 season: 3-16 (16%) with an average money line of +175. (-15.3 unit$, ROI=-80.5%) The average score of these games was Mercury 74.4, Opponents 85.4. |
| Bet against Phoenix on the money line when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games. Phoenix record since the 2024 season: 1-15 (6%) with an average money line of +197. (-15.5 unit$, ROI=-96.6%) The average score of these games was Mercury 75.9, Opponents 89.3. |
| Bet against Phoenix on the money line versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game after 15+ games. Phoenix record since the 2024 season: 1-26 (4%) with an average money line of +206. (-26.5 unit$, ROI=-98.0%) The average score of these games was Mercury 75.1, Opponents 89.6. |
| Bet against Phoenix on the money line versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 83+ points/game after 15+ games. Phoenix record since the 2024 season: 1-9 (10%) with an average money line of +152. (-9.5 unit$, ROI=-94.5%) The average score of these games was Mercury 75.6, Opponents 86.8. |
| Bet against Phoenix on the money line versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games. Phoenix record since the 2024 season: 8-20 (29%) with an average money line of -105. (-24.2 unit$, ROI=-82.1%) The average score of these games was Mercury 79.1, Opponents 85.0. |
| Bet against Phoenix in home games on the 1st half line after allowing 45 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games. Phoenix record on the 1st half line since the 2023 season: 1-10 (9%) with an average 1st half line of +1.5. (-10.0 unit$, ROI=-69.9%) The average 1st half score of these games was Mercury 41.6, Opponents 47.8. |
| Trends Favoring Over. | |
|---|---|
| Bet over the total in Phoenix games after playing 2 consecutive road games. The Over's record during the 2025 season: 6-0 (100%) with an average over/under of 163.3. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was Mercury 94.7, Opponents 88.7. |
| Bet over the total in Phoenix games after playing a game as a road favorite. The Over's record during the 2025 season: 5-0 (100%) with an average over/under of 164.0. (+5.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was Mercury 96.2, Opponents 85.2. |
| Bet over the total in Atlanta games when playing against a team with a winning record. The Over's record during the 2025 season: 9-1 (90%) with an average over/under of 161.6. (+7.9 unit$, ROI=71.8%) The average score of these games was Dream 86.9, Opponents 84.5. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Phoenix away games after a game where they failed to cover the spread. The 1st half Over's record since the 2023 season: 22-5 (81%) with an average 1st half over/under of 82.0. (+16.5 unit$, ROI=55.6%) The average score of these games was Mercury 41.6, Opponents 47.3. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Phoenix away games on Friday. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 6-0 (100%) with an average 1st half over/under of 84.5. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was Mercury 40.2, Opponents 48.8. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Phoenix away games off a road loss. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 7-0 (100%) with an average 1st half over/under of 82.5. (+7.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was Mercury 42.6, Opponents 47.4. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Phoenix away games after 1 or more consecutive losses. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 13-2 (87%) with an average 1st half over/under of 83.0. (+10.8 unit$, ROI=65.5%) The average score of these games was Mercury 42.1, Opponents 48.5. |
| Trends Favoring Under. | |
|---|---|
| Bet under the 1st half total in Atlanta games when playing their 4th game in 7 days. The 1st half Under's record since the 2024 season: 6-0 (100%) with an average 1st half over/under of 81.0. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was Dream 37.5, Opponents 34.8. |
| Key Coaching Trends |
| Key Coaching Trends Favoring Phoenix. | |
|---|---|
| Bet against Karl Smesko in road games on the 1st half line after playing a game as favorite. Smesko's record on the 1st half line as coach of ATLANTA: 0-7 (0%) with an average line of -4.0. (-7.7 unit$, ROI=-100.0%) The average 1st half score of these games was ATLANTA 40.1, Opponents 40.9 |
| Bet against Karl Smesko in road games on the 1st half line after 1 or more consecutive wins. Smesko's record on the 1st half line as coach of ATLANTA: 0-6 (0%) with an average line of -4.0. (-6.6 unit$, ROI=-100.0%) The average 1st half score of these games was ATLANTA 38.5, Opponents 38.7 |
| Bet against Karl Smesko in road games on the 1st half line versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting <=21 free throws/game. Smesko's record on the 1st half line as coach of ATLANTA: 0-6 (0%) with an average line of -4.0. (-6.6 unit$, ROI=-100.0%) The average 1st half score of these games was ATLANTA 41.7, Opponents 43.2 |
| Key Coaching Trends Favoring Atlanta. | |
|---|---|
| Bet against Nate Tibbetts in home games after scoring 80 points or more in 2 straight games. Tibbetts's record as coach of PHOENIX: 3-14 (18%) with an average line of +3.3. (-12.4 unit$, ROI=-66.3%) The average score of these games was PHOENIX 75.9, Opponents 85.0 |
| Bet against Nate Tibbetts versus teams who are called for 18 or less fouls/game after 15+ games. Tibbetts's record as coach of PHOENIX: 3-15 (17%) with an average line of +3.7. (-13.5 unit$, ROI=-64.6%) The average score of these games was PHOENIX 74.4, Opponents 85.4 |
| Bet against Nate Tibbetts when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games. Tibbetts's record as coach of PHOENIX: 2-14 (13%) with an average line of +4.9. (-13.4 unit$, ROI=-76.1%) The average score of these games was PHOENIX 75.9, Opponents 89.3 |
| Bet against Nate Tibbetts versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game after 15+ games. Tibbetts's record as coach of PHOENIX: 3-24 (11%) with an average line of +5.4. (-23.4 unit$, ROI=-78.8%) The average score of these games was PHOENIX 75.1, Opponents 89.6 |
| Bet against Nate Tibbetts versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 83+ points/game after 15+ games. Tibbetts's record as coach of PHOENIX: 1-9 (10%) with an average line of +3.3. (-8.9 unit$, ROI=-80.9%) The average score of these games was PHOENIX 75.6, Opponents 86.8 |
| Bet against Nate Tibbetts in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. Tibbetts's record as coach of PHOENIX: 5-18 (22%) with an average line of +8.1. (-14.8 unit$, ROI=-58.5%) The average score of these games was PHOENIX 72.6, Opponents 87.8 |
| Bet against Nate Tibbetts in home games on the money line off a upset loss as a favorite. Tibbetts's record as coach of PHOENIX: 1-5 (17%) with an average money line of +104. (-10.5 unit$, ROI=-175.0%) The average score of these games was PHOENIX 71.5, Opponents 87.2 |
| Bet against Nate Tibbetts in home games on the money line after scoring 80 points or more in 2 straight games. Tibbetts's record as coach of PHOENIX: 1-14 (7%) with an average money line of -105. (-21.1 unit$, ROI=-134.4%) The average score of these games was PHOENIX 75.9, Opponents 85.0 |
| Bet against Nate Tibbetts on the money line versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=33% of their attempts after 15+ games. Tibbetts's record as coach of PHOENIX: 3-14 (18%) with an average money line of +130. (-15.5 unit$, ROI=-90.9%) The average score of these games was PHOENIX 81.5, Opponents 88.9 |
| Bet against Nate Tibbetts on the money line versus teams who are called for 18 or less fouls/game after 15+ games. Tibbetts's record as coach of PHOENIX: 3-16 (16%) with an average money line of +175. (-15.3 unit$, ROI=-80.5%) The average score of these games was PHOENIX 74.4, Opponents 85.4 |
| Bet against Nate Tibbetts on the money line when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games. Tibbetts's record as coach of PHOENIX: 1-15 (6%) with an average money line of +197. (-15.5 unit$, ROI=-96.6%) The average score of these games was PHOENIX 75.9, Opponents 89.3 |
| Bet against Nate Tibbetts on the money line versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game after 15+ games. Tibbetts's record as coach of PHOENIX: 1-26 (4%) with an average money line of +206. (-26.5 unit$, ROI=-98.0%) The average score of these games was PHOENIX 75.1, Opponents 89.6 |
| Bet against Nate Tibbetts on the money line versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 83+ points/game after 15+ games. Tibbetts's record as coach of PHOENIX: 1-9 (10%) with an average money line of +152. (-9.5 unit$, ROI=-94.5%) The average score of these games was PHOENIX 75.6, Opponents 86.8 |
| Bet against Nate Tibbetts on the money line versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games. Tibbetts's record as coach of PHOENIX: 8-20 (29%) with an average money line of -105. (-24.2 unit$, ROI=-82.1%) The average score of these games was PHOENIX 79.1, Opponents 85.0 |
| Key Coaching Trends Favoring Over. | |
|---|---|
| Bet over the total in Karl Smesko games when playing against a team with a winning record. The Over's record as coach of ATLANTA: 9-1 (90%) with an average over/under of 161.6. (+7.9 unit$, ROI=71.8%) The average score of these games was ATLANTA 86.9, Opponents 84.5 |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Nate Tibbetts road games on Friday. The 1st half Over's record as coach of PHOENIX: 6-0 (100%) with an average 1st half over/under of 84.5. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average 1st half score of these games was PHOENIX 40.2, Opponents 48.8 |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Nate Tibbetts road games off a road loss. The 1st half Over's record as coach of PHOENIX: 7-0 (100%) with an average 1st half over/under of 82.5. (+7.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average 1st half score of these games was PHOENIX 42.6, Opponents 47.4 |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Nate Tibbetts road games after 1 or more consecutive losses. The 1st half Over's record as coach of PHOENIX: 13-2 (87%) with an average 1st half over/under of 83.0. (+10.8 unit$, ROI=65.5%) The average 1st half score of these games was PHOENIX 42.1, Opponents 48.5 |
| WNBA Game Simulation |
This table shows projected scores and stats from simulations, including shooting, free throws, and rebounding. Edges highlight potential advantages versus the current line.
Swipe left to see more →
| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores, Edges | Shooting | 3pt Shooting | Free Throws | Rebounding | |||||||||||
| Teams | Score | Edge | H1Score | Edge | 3FGM-A | Pct. | 3FGM-A | Pct. | FTM-A | Pct. | Tot. | OFF | TO | ||
| PHO | 80 | 40 | 30-70 | 42.3% | 10-29 | 33.6% | 11-14 | 78.5% | 42 | 7 | 12 | ||||
| ATL | 83 | ATL (+7) | Un (+0.7) | 42 | ATL (+2.5) | Un (+1.2) | 29-67 | 43.2% | 9-28 | 33.9% | 16-20 | 77.0% | 46 | 8 | 13 |
| WNBA Power Ratings |
Compare team strength with power ratings based on recent results versus expectations. Identify potential advantages where ratings differ from the actual line.
Swipe left to see more →
| Power Rating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teams | Rating | Estimate | Actual | Edge |
| PHO | 83 | -3 | ||
| ATL | 86 | -5 | ATL (+8) | |