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Wednesday, 05/21/2025 10:00 PM (ET) 
 Gm#RecordOpenLatestML1H
 LAS
 Los Angeles
6251-1163.5163.5+12082.5
 PHO
 Phoenix
6261-0-2.5-2.5-140-1.5

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Tip SheetSimulation & Ratings🔒Betting Systems🔒Team Trends🔒Team StatsPlayers Stats & InjuriesSchedule & ResultsHead-to-Head🔒Coaches🔒

WNBA Simulation & Power Ratings

This page features detailed power rating line projections alongside StatSharp's advanced game simulations, each offering precise projected scores and game statistics, estimated fair market lines, positive expected value percentages, and projected hit rates against both the side and total lines. Both sections clearly identify potential betting advantages by highlighting significant value edges when they occur. Use this comprehensive analysis to confidently identify the strongest wagering opportunities available.

Power Rating Projections

Compare team strength with power ratings based on recent results versus expectations. Identify potential advantages where ratings differ from the actual line.

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 Power Rating
TeamsRatingEstimateActualEdge
 LAS Los Angeles77 LAS (+0.5)
 PHO Phoenix77-2-2.5

Game Simulation Results

This table shows projected scores and stats from simulations, including shooting, free throws, and rebounding. Edges highlight potential advantages versus the current line.

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Average projected scores and game statistics.
 Scores, EdgesShooting   3pt ShootingFree ThrowsRebounding 
TeamsScoreEdgeH1ScoreEdge3FGM-APct.3FGM-APct.FTM-APct.Tot.OFFTO
 LAS Los Angeles79Ov (+1.1)40Ov (+0.4)29-6942.5%7-2332.0%13-1677.2%41912
 PHO Phoenix86PHO (+5.5) 43PHO (+2.5) 31-6548.2%8-2534.0%15-1978.7%42612

Simulation Line Covers

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The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
In 1000 simulated games, Phoenix covered the spread 618 times, while Los Angeles covered the spread 382 times.
Edge against the spread=Phoenix.
In 1000 simulated games, 547 games went over the total, while 453 games went under the total.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Phoenix won the game straight up 675 times, while Los Angeles won 306 times.
Edge on the money line=Phoenix.
In 1000 simulated games, Phoenix covered the first half line 574 times, while Los Angeles covered the first half line 426 times.
Edge against the first half line=Phoenix.
In 1000 simulated games, 510 games went over the first half total, while 490 games went under the first half total.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Phoenix covered the 4 point teaser line 719 times, and failed to cover 281 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Los Angeles covered the 4 point teaser line 474 times, and failed to cover 526 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 641 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 359 failed to go over.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 586 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 414 failed to go under.
No Edge.

Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection

Trends Favoring Los Angeles.
Bet on Los Angeles in road games on the 1st half line when their opponents make 29% to 35% of their 3 pointers in a game.
Los Angeles record on the 1st half line since the 2024 season: 6-0 (100%) with an average 1st half line of +4.5. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%)
The average 1st half score of these games was Sparks 41.3, Opponents 39.7.
Trends Favoring Phoenix.
Bet against Los Angeles on the money line when they make 29% to 35% of their three point attempts in a game.
Los Angeles record since the 2023 season: 4-19 (17%) with an average money line of +169. (-21.0 unit$, ROI=-91.3%)
The average score of these games was Sparks 74.6, Opponents 81.4.
Trends Favoring Over.
Bet over the total in Los Angeles road games when they commit around the same number of turnovers as opponents.
The Over's record since the 2023 season: 11-1 (92%) with an average over/under of 160.0. (+9.9 unit$, ROI=75.0%)
The average score of these games was Sparks 80.3, Opponents 88.9.
Bet over the 1st half total in Los Angeles road games when they commit around the same number of turnovers as opponents.
The 1st half Over's record since the 2023 season: 11-1 (92%) with an average 1st half over/under of 81.0. (+9.9 unit$, ROI=75.0%)
The average score of these games was Sparks 41.8, Opponents 45.3.
Glossary of Terms

Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.

Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.

Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.

Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.

Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.

H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.

3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.

Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.

FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.

Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.

Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.

OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.

TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.