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Wednesday, 05/21/2025 10:00 PM (ET) 
 Gm#RecordOpenLatestML1H
 WAS
 Washington
6272-0
 GS
 Golden State
6280-1NLNLNL

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Tip SheetSimulation & Ratings🔒Betting Systems🔒Team Trends🔒Team StatsPlayers Stats & InjuriesSchedule & ResultsHead-to-Head🔒Coaches🔒

WNBA Simulation & Power Ratings

This page features detailed power rating line projections alongside StatSharp's advanced game simulations, each offering precise projected scores and game statistics, estimated fair market lines, positive expected value percentages, and projected hit rates against both the side and total lines. Both sections clearly identify potential betting advantages by highlighting significant value edges when they occur. Use this comprehensive analysis to confidently identify the strongest wagering opportunities available.

Power Rating Projections

Compare team strength with power ratings based on recent results versus expectations. Identify potential advantages where ratings differ from the actual line.

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 Power Rating
TeamsRatingEstimateActualEdge
 WAS Washington81-6
 GS Golden State73 

Game Simulation Results

This table shows projected scores and stats from simulations, including shooting, free throws, and rebounding. Edges highlight potential advantages versus the current line.

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Average projected scores and game statistics.
 Scores, EdgesShooting   3pt ShootingFree ThrowsRebounding 
TeamsScoreEdgeH1ScoreEdge3FGM-APct.3FGM-APct.FTM-APct.Tot.OFFTO
 WAS Washington82 41 30-6646.0%10-2539.3%12-1675.4%38313
 GS Golden State67 34 23-6435.9%9-3525.3%13-1492.3%471023

Simulation Line Covers

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The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
In 1000 simulated games, Golden State covered the spread 0 times, while Washington covered the spread 0 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 0 games went over the total, while 0 games went under the total.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Washington won the game straight up 844 times, while Golden State won 137 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Golden State covered the first half line 0 times, while Washington covered the first half line 0 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 0 games went over the first half total, while 0 games went under the first half total.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Golden State covered the 4 point teaser line 0 times, and failed to cover 0 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Washington covered the 4 point teaser line 0 times, and failed to cover 0 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 0 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 0 failed to go over.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 0 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 0 failed to go under.
No Edge.

Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection

Trends Favoring Washington.
Bet on Washington on the money line when they allow 69 or less points in a game.
Washington record since the 2023 season: 13-1 (93%) with an average money line of -202. (+16.8 unit$, ROI=59.5%)
The average score of these games was Mystics 79.4, Opponents 66.0.
Bet on Washington on the 1st half line when they allow 69 or less points in a game.
Washington record on the 1st half line since the 2023 season: 13-1 (93%) with an average 1st half line of -0.5. (+11.9 unit$, ROI=77.3%)
The average 1st half score of these games was Mystics 41.4, Opponents 31.6.
Bet on Washington in road games on the 1st half line when their opponents make 36% to 39% of their shots in a game.
Washington record on the 1st half line since the 2023 season: 7-0 (100%) with an average 1st half line of +2.0. (+7.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%)
The average 1st half score of these games was Mystics 41.1, Opponents 33.6.
Trends Favoring Under.
Bet under the total in Washington road games when they allow 69 or less points in a game.
The Under's record since the 2023 season: 7-0 (100%) with an average over/under of 156.6. (+7.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%)
The average score of these games was Mystics 77.6, Opponents 64.9.
Bet under the total in Washington games when their opponents make 22% to 28% of their 3 pointers in a game.
The Under's record since the 2023 season: 13-1 (93%) with an average over/under of 161.0. (+11.9 unit$, ROI=77.3%)
The average score of these games was Mystics 74.6, Opponents 76.4.
Bet under the 1st half total in Washington road games when they allow 69 or less points in a game.
The 1st half Under's record since the 2023 season: 7-0 (100%) with an average 1st half over/under of 79.5. (+7.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%)
The average score of these games was Mystics 41.4, Opponents 29.9.
Glossary of Terms

Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.

Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.

Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.

Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.

Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.

H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.

3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.

Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.

FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.

Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.

Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.

OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.

TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.