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| Tuesday, 05/20/2025 7:00 PM (ET) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gm# | Record | Open | Latest | ML | 1H | |
 ATL | 621 | 0-1 | 170.5 | 171.5 | +300 | 86.5 |
 IND | 622 | 1-0 | -9.5 | -8.5 | -400 | -5 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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Tip SheetSimulation & Ratings🔒Betting Systems🔒Team Trends🔒Team StatsPlayers Stats & InjuriesSchedule & ResultsHead-to-Head🔒Coaches🔒
WNBA Simulation & Power Ratings |
This page features detailed power rating line projections alongside StatSharp's advanced game simulations, each offering precise projected scores and game statistics, estimated fair market lines, positive expected value percentages, and projected hit rates against both the side and total lines. Both sections clearly identify potential betting advantages by highlighting significant value edges when they occur. Use this comprehensive analysis to confidently identify the strongest wagering opportunities available.
Power Rating Projections |
Compare team strength with power ratings based on recent results versus expectations. Identify potential advantages where ratings differ from the actual line.
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| Power Rating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teams | Rating | Estimate | Actual | Edge |
| ATL | 83 | ATL (+7.5) | ||
| IND | 82 | -1 | -8.5 | |
Game Simulation Results |
This table shows projected scores and stats from simulations, including shooting, free throws, and rebounding. Edges highlight potential advantages versus the current line.
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores, Edges | Shooting | 3pt Shooting | Free Throws | Rebounding | |||||||||||
| Teams | Score | Edge | H1Score | Edge | 3FGM-A | Pct. | 3FGM-A | Pct. | FTM-A | Pct. | Tot. | OFF | TO | ||
| ATL | 78 | ATL (+1.5) | 39 | ATL (+1) | 29-73 | 40.4% | 7-21 | 31.5% | 13-18 | 74.7% | 44 | 9 | 12 | ||
| IND | 86 | Un (+7.2) | 43 | Un (+3.7) | 32-69 | 46.0% | 9-26 | 35.2% | 13-17 | 77.2% | 47 | 7 | 14 | ||
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| The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total. | |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Atlanta covered the spread 506 times, while Indiana covered the spread 494 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 674 games went under the total, while 326 games went over the total. Edge against the total=Under. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Indiana won the game straight up 681 times, while Atlanta won 293 times. Edge on the money line=Atlanta. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Atlanta covered the first half line 515 times, while Indiana covered the first half line 452 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 651 games went under the first half total, while 349 games went over the first half total. Edge against the first half total=Under. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Indiana covered the 4 point teaser line 601 times, and failed to cover 399 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, Atlanta covered the 4 point teaser line 623 times, and failed to cover 377 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 419 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 581 failed to go over. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 773 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 227 failed to go under. No Edge. |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
| Trends Favoring Atlanta. | |
|---|---|
| Bet on Atlanta in road games when they score 76 to 81 points in a game. Atlanta record since the 2024 season: 6-0 (100%) ATS with an average line of +3.0. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%). The average score of these games was Dream 78.7, Opponents 74.5. |
| Bet on Atlanta in road games on the 1st half line when they score 76 to 81 points in a game. Atlanta record on the 1st half line since the 2024 season: 6-0 (100%) with an average 1st half line of +1.5. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average 1st half score of these games was Dream 39.0, Opponents 33.5. |
| Bet on Atlanta in road games on the 1st half line when they make 29% to 35% of their three point attempts in a game. Atlanta record on the 1st half line since the 2024 season: 7-0 (100%) with an average 1st half line of +2.0. (+7.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average 1st half score of these games was Dream 41.1, Opponents 39.0. |
| Trends Favoring Indiana. | |
|---|---|
| Bet on Indiana when they allow 76 to 81 points in a game. Indiana record since the 2024 season: 7-0 (100%) ATS with an average line of +0.1. (+7.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%). The average score of these games was Fever 86.3, Opponents 79.4. |
| Bet on Indiana in home games when they make 45% to 48% of their shots in a game. Indiana record since the 2024 season: 8-0 (100%) ATS with an average line of +1.9. (+8.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%). The average score of these games was Fever 87.9, Opponents 79.0. |
| Bet against Atlanta on the money line when they allow 82 to 87 points in a game. Atlanta record since the 2023 season: 1-16 (6%) with an average money line of +149. (-17.2 unit$, ROI=-100.9%) The average score of these games was Dream 77.2, Opponents 84.4. |
| Bet against Atlanta in home games on the money line when they make 40% to 44% of their shots in a game. Atlanta record since the 2024 season: 1-8 (11%) with an average money line of +189. (-9.7 unit$, ROI=-107.2%) The average score of these games was Dream 79.8, Opponents 85.6. |
| Trends Favoring Over. | |
|---|---|
| Bet over the total in Indiana games when they have the around same number of rebounds as their opponents in a game. The Over's record since the 2024 season: 10-1 (91%) with an average over/under of 171.0. (+8.9 unit$, ROI=73.6%) The average score of these games was Fever 90.4, Opponents 91.8. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Atlanta road games when their opponents make 45% to 48% of their shots in a game. The 1st half Over's record since the 2023 season: 7-0 (100%) with an average 1st half over/under of 82.5. (+7.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was Dream 42.9, Opponents 42.6. |
Glossary of Terms
Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.
Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.
Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.
Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.
H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.
3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.
FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.
Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.
OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.
TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.