StatSharp Logo

More WNBA Games

Left ArrowBy TimeRight ArrowCurrent GamesLeft ArrowBy Game#Right Arrow

Swipe left to see more →

Tuesday, 05/20/2025 7:00 PM (ET) 
 Gm#RecordOpenLatestML1H
 LVA
 Las Vegas
6190-1-12-12-850-7
 CON
 Connecticut
6200-1166.5167+55084.5

Matchup Content Menu

Swipe left to see more →

Tip SheetSimulation & Ratings🔒Betting Systems🔒Team Trends🔒Team StatsPlayers Stats & InjuriesSchedule & ResultsHead-to-Head🔒Coaches🔒

WNBA Simulation & Power Ratings

This page features detailed power rating line projections alongside StatSharp's advanced game simulations, each offering precise projected scores and game statistics, estimated fair market lines, positive expected value percentages, and projected hit rates against both the side and total lines. Both sections clearly identify potential betting advantages by highlighting significant value edges when they occur. Use this comprehensive analysis to confidently identify the strongest wagering opportunities available.

Power Rating Projections

Compare team strength with power ratings based on recent results versus expectations. Identify potential advantages where ratings differ from the actual line.

Swipe left to see more →

 Power Rating
TeamsRatingEstimateActualEdge
 LVA Las Vegas86-12
 CON Connecticut85-1 CON (+13)

Game Simulation Results

This table shows projected scores and stats from simulations, including shooting, free throws, and rebounding. Edges highlight potential advantages versus the current line.

Swipe left to see more →

Average projected scores and game statistics.
 Scores, EdgesShooting   3pt ShootingFree ThrowsRebounding 
TeamsScoreEdgeH1ScoreEdge3FGM-APct.3FGM-APct.FTM-APct.Tot.OFFTO
 LVA Las Vegas79 40 30-6843.9%9-2534.0%11-1480.7%41512
 CON Connecticut80CON (+13)Un (+7.4)41CON (+8)Un (+4)30-6744.4%6-1933.8%15-1977.4%44712

Simulation Line Covers

Swipe left to see more →

The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
In 1000 simulated games, Connecticut covered the spread 809 times, while Las Vegas covered the spread 173 times.
Edge against the spread=Connecticut.
In 1000 simulated games, 689 games went under the total, while 286 games went over the total.
Edge against the total=Under.
In 1000 simulated games, Connecticut won the game straight up 519 times, while Las Vegas won 461 times.
Edge on the money line=Connecticut.
In 1000 simulated games, Connecticut covered the first half line 744 times, while Las Vegas covered the first half line 233 times.
Edge against the first half line=Connecticut.
In 1000 simulated games, 645 games went under the first half total, while 355 games went over the first half total.
Edge against the first half total=Under.
In 1000 simulated games, Connecticut covered the 4 point teaser line 871 times, and failed to cover 107 times.
Edge against the 4 point teaser line=Connecticut.
In 1000 simulated games, Las Vegas covered the 4 point teaser line 255 times, and failed to cover 722 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 401 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 572 failed to go over.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 791 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 194 failed to go under.
Edge against the 4 point teaser total=Under.

Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection

Trends Favoring Las Vegas.
Bet against Connecticut when they allow 76 to 81 points in a game.
Connecticut record since the 2024 season: 0-6 (0%) ATS with an average line of -5.0. (-6.6 unit$, ROI=-100.0%).
The average score of these games was Sun 78.8, Opponents 78.5.
Bet on Las Vegas on the money line when their opponents make 40% to 44% of their shots in a game.
Las Vegas record since the 2024 season: 10-1 (91%) with an average money line of -426. (+8.8 unit$, ROI=18.8%)
The average score of these games was Aces 88.2, Opponents 77.2.
Trends Favoring Connecticut.
Bet on Connecticut on the money line in games where they commit 12 or fewer turnovers.
Connecticut record since the 2024 season: 21-6 (78%) with an average money line of -365. (+16.6 unit$, ROI=16.8%)
The average score of these games was Sun 81.0, Opponents 72.9.
Trends Favoring Over.
Bet over the total in Connecticut road games when they allow 76 to 81 points in a game.
The Over's record since the 2023 season: 8-0 (100%) with an average over/under of 157.3. (+8.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%)
The average score of these games was Sun 83.5, Opponents 78.1.
Glossary of Terms

Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.

Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.

Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.

Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.

Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.

H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.

3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.

Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.

FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.

Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.

Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.

OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.

TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.