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Saturday, 05/17/2025 10:00 PM | |||||||
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NHL Playoffs - Second Round - Best Of 7 - Game 6 - Dallas leads series 3 games to 2. | |||||||
Record | Starter | Open | Latest | ||||
Gm# | W-L-OTL PTS | Goalie | ML | O/U | ML | O/U | |
![]() | 23 | 62-28-4, 128 pts. | HELLEBUYCK | +135 | 5.5o-10 | +130 | 5.5o-05 |
![]() | 24 | 57-31-6, 120 pts. | OETTINGER | -155 | 5.5u-10 | -150 | 5.5u-15 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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NHL Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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Teams | Actual Line | Estimated Line | |||||
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Rating | Goalie | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge% | |
![]() | 3.78 | HELLEBUYCK | +130 | 43.5% | -119 | 54.4% | WPG (+10.9%) |
![]() | 3.37 | OETTINGER | -150 | 60.0% | +-119 | 45.6% |
Game Simulation Results |
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Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||
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Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | ||||||||||
Teams | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST |
![]() | HELLEBUYCK | 2.37 | +130 | 43.5% | -162 | 61.8% | WPG (+18.3%) | 5.5o-05 | 4.1 | 35 | 4-1 | 5 | |
![]() | OETTINGER | 1.76 | -150 | 60.0% | +162 | 38.2% | 5.5u-15 | 4.1 | UN (+1.4) | 29 | 4-1 | 4 |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
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Trends Favoring Winnipeg | |
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![]() | Bet on Winnipeg on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Winnipeg record during the 2025 season: 46-3 (94%) with an average money line of -165. (+42.9 unit$, ROI=53.1%) The average score of these games was Jets 3.7, Opponents 1.1. |
![]() | Bet on Winnipeg on the money line when they allow 2 goals. Winnipeg record since the 2024 season: 39-7 (85%) with an average money line of -155. (+28.0 unit$, ROI=39.2%) The average score of these games was Jets 3.7, Opponents 2.0. |
![]() | Bet against Dallas on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Dallas record during the 2025 season: 7-24 (23%) with an average money line of -155. (-30.9 unit$, ROI=-64.4%) The average score of these games was Stars 1.5, Opponents 3.0. |
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Trends Favoring Dallas | |
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![]() | Bet against Winnipeg in away or neutral games on the money line when they score 2 goals. Winnipeg record during the 2025 season: 0-9 (0%) with an average money line of -124. (-12.2 unit$, ROI=-108.9%) The average score of these games was Jets 2.0, Opponents 4.8. |
![]() | Bet against Winnipeg on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Winnipeg record during the 2025 season: 8-28 (22%) with an average money line of -152. (-29.6 unit$, ROI=-54.2%) The average score of these games was Jets 1.5, Opponents 3.3. |
![]() | Bet on Dallas on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Dallas record during the 2025 season: 43-2 (96%) with an average money line of -184. (+40.5 unit$, ROI=48.8%) The average score of these games was Stars 3.7, Opponents 1.4. |
![]() | Bet on Dallas on the money line when they allow 2 goals. Dallas record during the 2025 season: 20-2 (91%) with an average money line of -193. (+16.9 unit$, ROI=39.6%) The average score of these games was Stars 4.0, Opponents 2.0. |
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Trends Favoring Under | |
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![]() | Bet under the total in Winnipeg games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 35-11 (76%) with an average over/under of 5.7, money line=-110. (+23.2 unit$, ROI=43.0%) The average score of these games was Jets 3.7, Opponents 1.1. |
![]() | Bet under the total in Winnipeg games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 27-9 (75%) with an average over/under of 5.7, money line=-110. (+17.6 unit$, ROI=44.2%) The average score of these games was Jets 1.5, Opponents 3.3. |
![]() | Bet under the total in Dallas games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 29-2 (94%) with an average over/under of 5.9, money line=-109. (+27.3 unit$, ROI=80.5%) The average score of these games was Stars 1.5, Opponents 3.0. |
![]() | Bet under the total in Dallas games when they score 2 goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 16-2 (89%) with an average over/under of 5.9, money line=-109. (+14.3 unit$, ROI=73.0%) The average score of these games was Stars 2.0, Opponents 2.4. |
![]() | Bet under the total in Dallas games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record since the 2024 season: 65-20 (76%) with an average over/under of 6.0, money line=-110. (+43.6 unit$, ROI=43.9%) The average score of these games was Stars 3.7, Opponents 1.4. |
Teams: The competing teams in the matchup.
Goalies: The starting goaltenders for each team.
Betting Lines
ML (Money Line): The odds for each team to win the game outright.
B.E. (Break-Even %): The implied probability of winning based on the money line.
Estimated ML: The projected money line based on power ratings and goaltender performance.
Win%: The projected win probability for each team based on simulations.
Edge%: The difference between the estimated and actual betting line, indicating potential value.
Game Simulation
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on simulations.
Over/Under (O/U): The projected total goals scored in the game.
Est. O/U: The estimated over/under based on simulations.
O/U Edge: The difference between the estimated and actual over/under total.
Projected Game Stats
SOG (Shots on Goal): The projected total number of shots on goal for each team.
PP (Power Play Goals): The projected number of power play goals scored by each team.
AST (Assists): The projected total assists for each team.
Trends & Insights
Trends Favoring Team: Historical betting trends that support one team based on past performance in similar matchups.
Trends Favoring Over/Under: Historical trends indicating whether games involving these teams tend to go over or under the total.