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Friday, 05/16/2025 8:00 PM | |||||||
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NHL Playoffs - Second Round - Best Of 7 - Game 6 - Florida leads series 3 games to 2. | |||||||
Record | Starter | Open | Latest | ||||
Gm# | W-L-OTL PTS | Goalie | ML | O/U | ML | O/U | |
![]() | 13 | 59-29-6, 124 pts. | WOLL | +180 | 5.5o-20 | +175 | 5.5o-20 |
![]() | 14 | 54-35-4, 112 pts. | BOBROVSKY | -215 | 5.5e-10 | -210 | 5.5e-10 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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NHL Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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Teams | Actual Line | Estimated Line | |||||
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Rating | Goalie | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge% | |
![]() | 3.97 | WOLL | +175 | 36.4% | +104 | 49.1% | TOR (+12.7%) |
![]() | 4.04 | BOBROVSKY | -210 | 67.7% | -104 | 50.9% |
Game Simulation Results |
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Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||
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Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | ||||||||||
Teams | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST |
![]() | WOLL | 2.19 | +175 | 36.4% | -103 | 50.8% | TOR (+14.4%) | 5.5o-20 | 4.3 | 26 | 4-1 | 4 | |
![]() | BOBROVSKY | 2.14 | -210 | 67.7% | +103 | 49.2% | 5.5e-10 | 4.3 | UN (+1.2) | 34 | 4-1 | 4 |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
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Trends Favoring Toronto | |
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![]() | Bet on Toronto on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Toronto record during the 2025 season: 36-5 (88%) with an average money line of -159. (+31.2 unit$, ROI=47.8%) The average score of these games was Maple Leafs 3.3, Opponents 1.5. |
![]() | Bet against Florida on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Florida record during the 2025 season: 8-28 (22%) with an average money line of -164. (-37.2 unit$, ROI=-62.9%) The average score of these games was Panthers 1.3, Opponents 3.0. |
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Trends Favoring Florida | |
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![]() | Bet against Toronto on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Toronto record during the 2025 season: 4-28 (13%) with an average money line of -139. (-37.5 unit$, ROI=-84.5%) The average score of these games was Maple Leafs 1.3, Opponents 3.4. |
![]() | Bet on Florida on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Florida record during the 2025 season: 38-3 (93%) with an average money line of -189. (+34.3 unit$, ROI=44.1%) The average score of these games was Panthers 3.6, Opponents 1.1. |
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Trends Favoring Under | |
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![]() | Bet under the total in Toronto games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 33-8 (80%) with an average over/under of 6.0, money line=-113. (+24.4 unit$, ROI=52.7%) The average score of these games was Maple Leafs 3.3, Opponents 1.5. |
![]() | Bet under the total in Toronto games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record since the 2024 season: 44-12 (79%) with an average over/under of 6.1, money line=-109. (+31.3 unit$, ROI=47.9%) The average score of these games was Maple Leafs 1.4, Opponents 3.3. |
![]() | Bet under the total in Florida games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 28-7 (80%) with an average over/under of 5.7, money line=-113. (+20.4 unit$, ROI=50.1%) The average score of these games was Panthers 1.3, Opponents 3.0. |
![]() | Bet under the total in Florida games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 30-10 (75%) with an average over/under of 5.8, money line=-110. (+19.4 unit$, ROI=42.7%) The average score of these games was Panthers 3.6, Opponents 1.1. |
Teams: The competing teams in the matchup.
Goalies: The starting goaltenders for each team.
Betting Lines
ML (Money Line): The odds for each team to win the game outright.
B.E. (Break-Even %): The implied probability of winning based on the money line.
Estimated ML: The projected money line based on power ratings and goaltender performance.
Win%: The projected win probability for each team based on simulations.
Edge%: The difference between the estimated and actual betting line, indicating potential value.
Game Simulation
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on simulations.
Over/Under (O/U): The projected total goals scored in the game.
Est. O/U: The estimated over/under based on simulations.
O/U Edge: The difference between the estimated and actual over/under total.
Projected Game Stats
SOG (Shots on Goal): The projected total number of shots on goal for each team.
PP (Power Play Goals): The projected number of power play goals scored by each team.
AST (Assists): The projected total assists for each team.
Trends & Insights
Trends Favoring Team: Historical betting trends that support one team based on past performance in similar matchups.
Trends Favoring Over/Under: Historical trends indicating whether games involving these teams tend to go over or under the total.