More NHL Games |
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| Wednesday, 05/14/2025 7:00 PM | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHL Playoffs - Second Round - Best Of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied 2 games to 2. | |||||||
| Record | Starter | Open | Latest | ||||
| Gm# | W-L-OTL PTS | Goalie | ML | O/U | ML | O/U | |
 FLA | 1 | 53-34-4, 110 pts. | BOBROVSKY | -145 | 6o+05 | -140 | 6o+05 |
 TOR | 2 | 58-28-6, 122 pts. | WOLL | +125 | 6u-25 | +120 | 6u-25 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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NHL Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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| Teams | Actual Line | Estimated Line | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rating | Goalie | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge% | |
| FLA | 4.04 | BOBROVSKY | -140 | 58.3% | -102 | 50.5% | |
| TOR | 3.97 | WOLL | +120 | 45.5% | +-102 | 49.5% | TOR (+4.1%) |
Game Simulation Results |
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | ||||||||||
| Teams | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST |
| FLA | BOBROVSKY | 1.70 | -140 | 58.3% | +195 | 33.9% | 6o+05 | 4.3 | 32 | 3-1 | 3 | ||
| TOR | WOLL | 2.55 | +120 | 45.5% | -195 | 66.1% | TOR (+20.7%) | 6u-25 | 4.3 | UN (+1.7) | 27 | 4-1 | 4 |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
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| Trends Favoring Toronto | |
|---|---|
 | Bet against Florida on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Florida record during the 2025 season: 8-28 (22%) with an average money line of -164. (-37.2 unit$, ROI=-62.9%) The average score of these games was Panthers 1.3, Opponents 3.0. |
| Bet on Toronto on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Toronto record during the 2025 season: 36-5 (88%) with an average money line of -159. (+31.2 unit$, ROI=47.8%) The average score of these games was Maple Leafs 3.3, Opponents 1.5. |
| Bet on Toronto in home games on the money line when they allow 2 goals. Toronto record during the 2025 season: 12-0 (100%) with an average money line of -197. (+12.0 unit$, ROI=50.8%) The average score of these games was Maple Leafs 4.3, Opponents 2.0. |
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| Trends Favoring Under | |
|---|---|
 | Bet under the total in Florida games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 28-7 (80%) with an average over/under of 5.7, money line=-113. (+20.4 unit$, ROI=50.1%) The average score of these games was Panthers 1.3, Opponents 3.0. |
| Bet under the total in Toronto games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 33-8 (80%) with an average over/under of 6.0, money line=-113. (+24.4 unit$, ROI=52.7%) The average score of these games was Maple Leafs 3.3, Opponents 1.5. |
| Bet under the total in Toronto away or ne games when they score 3 goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 9-1 (90%) with an average over/under of 6.1, money line=-118. (+8.0 unit$, ROI=68.1%) The average score of these games was Maple Leafs 3.0, Opponents 2.0. |
Teams: The competing teams in the matchup.
Goalies: The starting goaltenders for each team.
Betting Lines
ML (Money Line): The odds for each team to win the game outright.
B.E. (Break-Even %): The implied probability of winning based on the money line.
Estimated ML: The projected money line based on power ratings and goaltender performance.
Win%: The projected win probability for each team based on simulations.
Edge%: The difference between the estimated and actual betting line, indicating potential value.
Game Simulation
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on simulations.
Over/Under (O/U): The projected total goals scored in the game.
Est. O/U: The estimated over/under based on simulations.
O/U Edge: The difference between the estimated and actual over/under total.
Projected Game Stats
SOG (Shots on Goal): The projected total number of shots on goal for each team.
PP (Power Play Goals): The projected number of power play goals scored by each team.
AST (Assists): The projected total assists for each team.
Trends & Insights
Trends Favoring Team: Historical betting trends that support one team based on past performance in similar matchups.
Trends Favoring Over/Under: Historical trends indicating whether games involving these teams tend to go over or under the total.