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Tuesday, 05/13/2025 8:00 PM | |||||||
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NHL Playoffs - Second Round - Best Of 7 - Game 4 - Dallas leads series 2 games to 1. | |||||||
Record | Starter | Open | Latest | ||||
Gm# | W-L-OTL PTS | Goalie | ML | O/U | ML | O/U | |
![]() | 79 | 61-27-4, 126 pts. | HELLEBUYCK | +120 | 5.5o-25 | +120 | 5.5o-25 |
![]() | 80 | 56-30-6, 118 pts. | OETTINGER | -140 | 5.5u+05 | -140 | 5.5u+05 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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NHL Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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Teams | Actual Line | Estimated Line | |||||
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Rating | Goalie | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge% | |
![]() | 3.72 | HELLEBUYCK | +120 | 45.5% | -114 | 53.3% | WPG (+7.8%) |
![]() | 3.41 | OETTINGER | -140 | 58.3% | +-114 | 46.7% |
Game Simulation Results |
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Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||
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Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | ||||||||||
Teams | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST |
![]() | HELLEBUYCK | 2.43 | +120 | 45.5% | -171 | 63.1% | WPG (+17.6%) | 5.5o-25 | 4.2 | 35 | 4-1 | 5 | |
![]() | OETTINGER | 1.75 | -140 | 58.3% | +171 | 36.9% | 5.5u+05 | 4.2 | UN (+1.3) | 28 | 4-1 | 4 |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
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Trends Favoring Winnipeg | |
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![]() | Bet on Winnipeg on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Winnipeg record during the 2025 season: 45-3 (94%) with an average money line of -166. (+41.9 unit$, ROI=52.7%) The average score of these games was Jets 3.7, Opponents 1.1. |
![]() | Bet on Winnipeg on the money line when they allow 2 goals. Winnipeg record since the 2024 season: 39-7 (85%) with an average money line of -155. (+28.0 unit$, ROI=39.2%) The average score of these games was Jets 3.7, Opponents 2.0. |
![]() | Bet against Dallas on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Dallas record during the 2025 season: 7-23 (23%) with an average money line of -157. (-29.9 unit$, ROI=-63.6%) The average score of these games was Stars 1.5, Opponents 2.9. |
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Trends Favoring Dallas | |
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![]() | Bet against Winnipeg in away or neutral games on the money line when they score 2 goals. Winnipeg record during the 2025 season: 0-9 (0%) with an average money line of -124. (-12.2 unit$, ROI=-108.9%) The average score of these games was Jets 2.0, Opponents 4.8. |
![]() | Bet against Winnipeg on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Winnipeg record during the 2025 season: 8-27 (23%) with an average money line of -154. (-28.6 unit$, ROI=-53.1%) The average score of these games was Jets 1.5, Opponents 3.3. |
![]() | Bet on Dallas on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Dallas record during the 2025 season: 42-2 (95%) with an average money line of -185. (+39.5 unit$, ROI=48.4%) The average score of these games was Stars 3.7, Opponents 1.4. |
![]() | Bet on Dallas on the money line when they allow 2 goals. Dallas record during the 2025 season: 20-2 (91%) with an average money line of -193. (+16.9 unit$, ROI=39.6%) The average score of these games was Stars 4.0, Opponents 2.0. |
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Trends Favoring Under | |
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![]() | Bet under the total in Winnipeg games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 34-11 (76%) with an average over/under of 5.7, money line=-110. (+22.2 unit$, ROI=42.0%) The average score of these games was Jets 3.7, Opponents 1.1. |
![]() | Bet under the total in Winnipeg games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 26-9 (74%) with an average over/under of 5.7, money line=-111. (+16.5 unit$, ROI=42.6%) The average score of these games was Jets 1.5, Opponents 3.3. |
![]() | Bet under the total in Dallas games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 28-2 (93%) with an average over/under of 5.9, money line=-109. (+26.3 unit$, ROI=80.2%) The average score of these games was Stars 1.5, Opponents 2.9. |
![]() | Bet under the total in Dallas games when they score 2 goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 16-2 (89%) with an average over/under of 5.9, money line=-109. (+14.3 unit$, ROI=73.0%) The average score of these games was Stars 2.0, Opponents 2.4. |
![]() | Bet under the total in Dallas games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record since the 2024 season: 64-20 (76%) with an average over/under of 6.0, money line=-110. (+42.5 unit$, ROI=43.3%) The average score of these games was Stars 3.7, Opponents 1.4. |
Teams: The competing teams in the matchup.
Goalies: The starting goaltenders for each team.
Betting Lines
ML (Money Line): The odds for each team to win the game outright.
B.E. (Break-Even %): The implied probability of winning based on the money line.
Estimated ML: The projected money line based on power ratings and goaltender performance.
Win%: The projected win probability for each team based on simulations.
Edge%: The difference between the estimated and actual betting line, indicating potential value.
Game Simulation
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on simulations.
Over/Under (O/U): The projected total goals scored in the game.
Est. O/U: The estimated over/under based on simulations.
O/U Edge: The difference between the estimated and actual over/under total.
Projected Game Stats
SOG (Shots on Goal): The projected total number of shots on goal for each team.
PP (Power Play Goals): The projected number of power play goals scored by each team.
AST (Assists): The projected total assists for each team.
Trends & Insights
Trends Favoring Team: Historical betting trends that support one team based on past performance in similar matchups.
Trends Favoring Over/Under: Historical trends indicating whether games involving these teams tend to go over or under the total.