More NHL Games |
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| Friday, 05/02/2025 10:00 PM | |||||||
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| NHL Playoffs - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 6 - Winnipeg leads series 3 games to 2. | |||||||
| Record | Starter | Open | Latest | ||||
| Gm# | W-L-OTL PTS | Goalie | ML | O/U | ML | O/U | |
 WPG | 49 | 59-24-4, 122 pts. | HELLEBUYCK | -120 | 5.5o+25 | -105 | 5.5o+25 |
 STL | 50 | 46-33-8, 100 pts. | BINNINGTON | +100 | 5.5u-45 | -115 | 5.5u-45 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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NHL Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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| Teams | Actual Line | Estimated Line | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rating | Goalie | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge% | |
| WPG | 4.02 | HELLEBUYCK | -105 | 51.2% | +106 | 48.5% | |
| STL | 4.15 | BINNINGTON | -115 | 53.5% | -106 | 51.5% | |
Game Simulation Results |
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | ||||||||||
| Teams | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST |
| WPG | HELLEBUYCK | 1.94 | -105 | 51.2% | +144 | 41.0% | 5.5o+25 | 4.4 | 25 | 3-0 | 4 | ||
| STL | BINNINGTON | 2.42 | -115 | 53.5% | -144 | 59.0% | STL (+5.5%) | 5.5u-45 | 4.4 | UN (+1.1) | 26 | 4-1 | 5 |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
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| Trends Favoring Winnipeg | |
|---|---|
 | Bet on Winnipeg on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Winnipeg record during the 2025 season: 44-3 (94%) with an average money line of -166. (+40.9 unit$, ROI=52.3%) The average score of these games was Jets 3.7, Opponents 1.2. |
| Bet on Winnipeg on the money line when they allow 2 goals. Winnipeg record since the 2024 season: 39-7 (85%) with an average money line of -155. (+28.0 unit$, ROI=39.2%) The average score of these games was Jets 3.7, Opponents 2.0. |
| Bet against Saint Louis on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Saint Louis record during the 2025 season: 5-29 (15%) with an average money line of +131. (-25.4 unit$, ROI=-74.7%) The average score of these games was Blues 1.4, Opponents 3.2. |
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| Trends Favoring Saint Louis | |
|---|---|
| Bet against Winnipeg in away or neutral games on the money line when they score 2 goals. Winnipeg record during the 2025 season: 0-7 (0%) with an average money line of -132. (-10.1 unit$, ROI=-108.6%) The average score of these games was Jets 2.0, Opponents 4.7. |
| Bet against Winnipeg on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Winnipeg record during the 2025 season: 8-24 (25%) with an average money line of -159. (-25.4 unit$, ROI=-49.9%) The average score of these games was Jets 1.5, Opponents 3.2. |
| Bet on Saint Louis on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Saint Louis record during the 2025 season: 35-7 (83%) with an average money line of +101. (+35.0 unit$, ROI=83.2%) The average score of these games was Blues 3.5, Opponents 1.4. |
| Bet on Saint Louis on the money line when they allow 2 goals. Saint Louis record since the 2023 season: 40-11 (78%) with an average money line of +109. (+38.4 unit$, ROI=75.2%) The average score of these games was Blues 3.8, Opponents 2.0. |
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| Trends Favoring Under | |
|---|---|
 | Bet under the total in Winnipeg games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 25-7 (78%) with an average over/under of 5.8, money line=-111. (+17.9 unit$, ROI=50.4%) The average score of these games was Jets 1.5, Opponents 3.2. |
| Bet under the total in Winnipeg games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 33-11 (75%) with an average over/under of 5.7, money line=-110. (+21.2 unit$, ROI=40.8%) The average score of these games was Jets 3.7, Opponents 1.2. |
| Bet under the total in Saint Louis games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 24-5 (83%) with an average over/under of 5.8, money line=-111. (+18.8 unit$, ROI=49.5%) The average score of these games was Blues 1.4, Opponents 3.2. |
| Bet under the total in Saint Louis games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record since the 2024 season: 58-17 (77%) with an average over/under of 5.9, money line=-112. (+39.3 unit$, ROI=45.7%) The average score of these games was Blues 3.4, Opponents 1.4. |
Teams: The competing teams in the matchup.
Goalies: The starting goaltenders for each team.
Betting Lines
ML (Money Line): The odds for each team to win the game outright.
B.E. (Break-Even %): The implied probability of winning based on the money line.
Estimated ML: The projected money line based on power ratings and goaltender performance.
Win%: The projected win probability for each team based on simulations.
Edge%: The difference between the estimated and actual betting line, indicating potential value.
Game Simulation
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on simulations.
Over/Under (O/U): The projected total goals scored in the game.
Est. O/U: The estimated over/under based on simulations.
O/U Edge: The difference between the estimated and actual over/under total.
Projected Game Stats
SOG (Shots on Goal): The projected total number of shots on goal for each team.
PP (Power Play Goals): The projected number of power play goals scored by each team.
AST (Assists): The projected total assists for each team.
Trends & Insights
Trends Favoring Team: Historical betting trends that support one team based on past performance in similar matchups.
Trends Favoring Over/Under: Historical trends indicating whether games involving these teams tend to go over or under the total.