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| Wednesday, 04/16/2025 7:37 PM | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record | Starter | Open | Latest | ||||
| Gm# | W-L-OTL PTS | Goalie | ML | O/U | ML | O/U | |
 DET | 77 | 39-35-8, 86 pts. | MRAZEK | -110 | 5.5o-10 | -145 | 5.5o-10 |
 NJD | 78 | 43-36-8, 94 pts. | DAWS | -110 | 5.5u-10 | +125 | 5.5u-10 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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NHL Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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| Teams | Actual Line | Estimated Line | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rating | Goalie | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge% | |
| DET | 3.37 | MRAZEK | -145 | 59.2% | -216 | 68.3% | DET (+9.1%) |
| NJD | 2.09 | DAWS | +125 | 44.4% | +-216 | 31.7% | |
Game Simulation Results |
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | ||||||||||
| Teams | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST |
| DET | MRAZEK | 1.22 | -145 | 59.2% | +381 | 20.8% | 5.5o-10 | 4.0 | 29 | 3-1 | 2 | ||
| NJD | DAWS | 2.77 | +125 | 44.4% | -381 | 79.2% | NJD (+34.8%) | 5.5u-10 | 4.0 | UN (+1.5) | 28 | 3-1 | 5 |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
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| Trends Favoring New Jersey | |
|---|---|
 | Bet against Detroit on the money line when they score 1 or less goals. Detroit record during the 2025 season: 1-19 (5%) with an average money line of +149. (-17.8 unit$, ROI=-88.8%) The average score of these games was Red Wings 0.9, Opponents 3.2. |
| Bet against Detroit in away or neutral games on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Detroit record during the 2025 season: 1-18 (5%) with an average money line of +160. (-16.7 unit$, ROI=-87.6%) The average score of these games was Red Wings 1.2, Opponents 3.5. |
| Bet on New Jersey on the money line when they allow 1 or less goals. New Jersey record during the 2025 season: 21-2 (91%) with an average money line of -175. (+15.7 unit$, ROI=38.8%) The average score of these games was Devils 3.5, Opponents 0.6. |
| Bet on New Jersey on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. New Jersey record during the 2025 season: 34-6 (85%) with an average money line of -166. (+23.7 unit$, ROI=35.6%) The average score of these games was Devils 3.4, Opponents 1.2. |
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| Trends Favoring Under | |
|---|---|
 | Bet under the total in Detroit games when they score 1 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 18-0 (100%) with an average over/under of 6.1, money line=-111. (+18.2 unit$, ROI=82.4%) The average score of these games was Red Wings 0.9, Opponents 3.2. |
| Bet under the total in Detroit games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 26-6 (81%) with an average over/under of 6.0, money line=-110. (+19.9 unit$, ROI=50.4%) The average score of these games was Red Wings 1.4, Opponents 3.1. |
| Bet under the total in New Jersey games when they allow 1 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 22-1 (96%) with an average over/under of 6.0, money line=-112. (+21.0 unit$, ROI=81.4%) The average score of these games was Devils 3.5, Opponents 0.6. |
| Bet under the total in New Jersey games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 33-5 (87%) with an average over/under of 6.0, money line=-112. (+27.4 unit$, ROI=61.4%) The average score of these games was Devils 3.4, Opponents 1.2. |
Teams: The competing teams in the matchup.
Goalies: The starting goaltenders for each team.
Betting Lines
ML (Money Line): The odds for each team to win the game outright.
B.E. (Break-Even %): The implied probability of winning based on the money line.
Estimated ML: The projected money line based on power ratings and goaltender performance.
Win%: The projected win probability for each team based on simulations.
Edge%: The difference between the estimated and actual betting line, indicating potential value.
Game Simulation
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on simulations.
Over/Under (O/U): The projected total goals scored in the game.
Est. O/U: The estimated over/under based on simulations.
O/U Edge: The difference between the estimated and actual over/under total.
Projected Game Stats
SOG (Shots on Goal): The projected total number of shots on goal for each team.
PP (Power Play Goals): The projected number of power play goals scored by each team.
AST (Assists): The projected total assists for each team.
Trends & Insights
Trends Favoring Team: Historical betting trends that support one team based on past performance in similar matchups.
Trends Favoring Over/Under: Historical trends indicating whether games involving these teams tend to go over or under the total.