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| Wednesday, 04/16/2025 8:07 PM | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record | Starter | Open | Latest | ||||
| Gm# | W-L-OTL PTS | Goalie | ML | O/U | ML | O/U | |
 DAL | 79 | 55-29-6, 116 pts. | OETTINGER | -160 | 6o-10 | -170 | 6.5o-05 |
 NSH | 80 | 30-44-8, 68 pts. | SAROS | +140 | 6u-10 | +150 | 6.5u-15 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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NHL Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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| Teams | Actual Line | Estimated Line | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rating | Goalie | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge% | |
| DAL | 3.41 | OETTINGER | -170 | 63.0% | -184 | 64.8% | DAL (+1.8%) |
| NSH | 2.33 | SAROS | +150 | 40.0% | +-184 | 35.2% | |
Game Simulation Results |
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | ||||||||||
| Teams | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST |
| DAL | OETTINGER | 2.95 | -170 | 63.0% | -186 | 65.0% | DAL (+2.0%) | 6.5o-05 | 5.0 | 26 | 4-1 | 6 | |
| NSH | SAROS | 2.02 | +150 | 40.0% | +186 | 35.0% | 6.5u-15 | 5.0 | UN (+1.5) | 37 | 4-1 | 4 | |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
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| Trends Favoring Dallas | |
|---|---|
 | Bet on Dallas on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Dallas record during the 2025 season: 37-2 (95%) with an average money line of -198. (+33.3 unit$, ROI=43.1%) The average score of these games was Stars 3.7, Opponents 1.4. |
| Bet against Nashville on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Nashville record during the 2025 season: 3-41 (7%) with an average money line of -102. (-46.6 unit$, ROI=-103.4%) The average score of these games was Predators 1.3, Opponents 3.4. |
| Bet against Nashville on the money line when they score 2 goals. Nashville record during the 2025 season: 3-18 (14%) with an average money line of -105. (-19.1 unit$, ROI=-86.6%) The average score of these games was Predators 2.0, Opponents 3.6. |
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| Trends Favoring Under | |
|---|---|
 | Bet under the total in Dallas games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 26-8 (76%) with an average over/under of 5.9, money line=-109. (+17.7 unit$, ROI=41.6%) The average score of these games was Stars 3.7, Opponents 1.4. |
| Bet under the total in Nashville games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 35-8 (81%) with an average over/under of 6.0, money line=-111. (+27.3 unit$, ROI=56.1%) The average score of these games was Predators 1.3, Opponents 3.4. |
Teams: The competing teams in the matchup.
Goalies: The starting goaltenders for each team.
Betting Lines
ML (Money Line): The odds for each team to win the game outright.
B.E. (Break-Even %): The implied probability of winning based on the money line.
Estimated ML: The projected money line based on power ratings and goaltender performance.
Win%: The projected win probability for each team based on simulations.
Edge%: The difference between the estimated and actual betting line, indicating potential value.
Game Simulation
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on simulations.
Over/Under (O/U): The projected total goals scored in the game.
Est. O/U: The estimated over/under based on simulations.
O/U Edge: The difference between the estimated and actual over/under total.
Projected Game Stats
SOG (Shots on Goal): The projected total number of shots on goal for each team.
PP (Power Play Goals): The projected number of power play goals scored by each team.
AST (Assists): The projected total assists for each team.
Trends & Insights
Trends Favoring Team: Historical betting trends that support one team based on past performance in similar matchups.
Trends Favoring Over/Under: Historical trends indicating whether games involving these teams tend to go over or under the total.