Matchup Content Menu |
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NHL Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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| Teams | Actual Line | Estimated Line | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rating | Goalie | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge% | |
Game Simulation Results |
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | ||||||||||
| Teams | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST |
| No estimate for this game. | |||||||||||||
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
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| Trends Favoring | |
|---|---|
 | Bet against Pittsburgh on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Pittsburgh record during the 2025 season: 2-31 (6%) with an average money line of +127. (-31.2 unit$, ROI=-94.5%) The average score of these games was Penguins 1.4, Opponents 4.0. |
| Bet against Pittsburgh on the money line when they score 2 goals. Pittsburgh record during the 2025 season: 2-15 (12%) with an average money line of +114. (-13.8 unit$, ROI=-80.9%) The average score of these games was Penguins 2.0, Opponents 3.5. |
| Bet on Tampa Bay on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Tampa Bay record during the 2025 season: 30-6 (83%) with an average money line of -153. (+21.6 unit$, ROI=39.3%) The average score of these games was Lightning 3.7, Opponents 1.3. |
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| Trends Favoring Under | |
|---|---|
 | Bet under the total in Pittsburgh games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 23-6 (79%) with an average over/under of 6.2, money line=-107. (+17.1 unit$, ROI=48.2%) The average score of these games was Penguins 1.4, Opponents 4.0. |
| Bet under the total in Pittsburgh away or ne games when they score 2 goals. The Under's record since the 2024 season: 17-3 (85%) with an average over/under of 6.3, money line=-107. (+14.3 unit$, ROI=67.1%) The average score of these games was Penguins 2.0, Opponents 3.4. |
| Bet under the total in Tampa Bay games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 25-8 (76%) with an average over/under of 6.1, money line=-109. (+16.9 unit$, ROI=42.9%) The average score of these games was Lightning 3.7, Opponents 1.3. |
Teams: The competing teams in the matchup.
Goalies: The starting goaltenders for each team.
Betting Lines
ML (Money Line): The odds for each team to win the game outright.
B.E. (Break-Even %): The implied probability of winning based on the money line.
Estimated ML: The projected money line based on power ratings and goaltender performance.
Win%: The projected win probability for each team based on simulations.
Edge%: The difference between the estimated and actual betting line, indicating potential value.
Game Simulation
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on simulations.
Over/Under (O/U): The projected total goals scored in the game.
Est. O/U: The estimated over/under based on simulations.
O/U Edge: The difference between the estimated and actual over/under total.
Projected Game Stats
SOG (Shots on Goal): The projected total number of shots on goal for each team.
PP (Power Play Goals): The projected number of power play goals scored by each team.
AST (Assists): The projected total assists for each team.
Trends & Insights
Trends Favoring Team: Historical betting trends that support one team based on past performance in similar matchups.
Trends Favoring Over/Under: Historical trends indicating whether games involving these teams tend to go over or under the total.