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Tuesday, 05/06/2025 9:30 PM (ET) 
Western Conference - Second Round - Best Of 7 - Game 1
 Gm#RecordOpenLatestML1H
 GSW
 Golden State (7)
58753-37207.5208.5+220105
 MIN
 Minnesota (6)
58853-34-5.5-7-300-3.5

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Tip SheetSimulation & Ratings🔒Betting Systems🔒Team Trends🔒Team StatsPlayers Stats & InjuriesSchedule & ResultsHead-to-Head🔒Coaches🔒

NBA Simulation & Power Ratings

This page features detailed power rating line projections alongside StatSharp's advanced game simulations, each offering precise projected scores and game statistics, estimated fair market lines, positive expected value percentages, and projected hit rates against both the side and total lines. Both sections clearly identify potential betting advantages by highlighting significant value edges when they occur. Use this comprehensive analysis to confidently identify the strongest wagering opportunities available.

Power Rating Projections

Compare team strength with power ratings based on recent results versus expectations. Identify potential advantages where ratings differ from the actual line.

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 Power Rating
TeamsRatingEstimateActualEdge
 GSW Golden State119 GSW (+3)
 MIN Minnesota121-4-7

Game Simulation Results

This table shows projected scores and stats from simulations, including shooting, free throws, and rebounding. Edges highlight potential advantages versus the current line.

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Average projected scores and game statistics.
 Scores, EdgesShooting   3pt ShootingFree ThrowsRebounding 
TeamsScoreEdgeH1ScoreEdge3FGM-APct.3FGM-APct.FTM-APct.Tot.OFFTO
 GSW Golden State107GSW (+1)Ov (+10.3)53GSW (+0.5)Ov (+4.6)37-8743.0%15-4234.9%17-2279.2%511314
 MIN Minnesota112 56 40-8646.8%15-3937.2%17-2278.5%541214

Simulation Line Covers

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The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
In 1000 simulated games, Golden State covered the spread 525 times, while Minnesota covered the spread 450 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 741 games went over the total, while 259 games went under the total.
Edge against the total=Over.
In 1000 simulated games, Minnesota won the game straight up 610 times, while Golden State won 368 times.
Edge on the money line=Golden State.
In 1000 simulated games, Golden State covered the first half line 520 times, while Minnesota covered the first half line 480 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 627 games went over the first half total, while 334 games went under the first half total.
Edge against the first half total=Over.
In 1000 simulated games, Minnesota covered the 4 point teaser line 531 times, and failed to cover 443 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Golden State covered the 4 point teaser line 619 times, and failed to cover 355 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 809 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 191 failed to go over.
Edge against the 4 point teaser total=Over.
In 1000 simulated games, 340 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 660 failed to go under.
No Edge.

Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection

Trends Favoring Under.
Bet under the total in Golden State games when they score 103 to 108 points in a game.
The Under's record since the 2024 season: 21-4 (84%) with an average over/under of 223.8. (+16.6 unit$, ROI=60.4%)
The average score of these games was Warriors 105.0, Opponents 107.4.
Bet under the 1st half total in Golden State games when they score 103 to 108 points in a game.
The 1st half Under's record during the 2025 season: 13-2 (87%) with an average 1st half over/under of 111.5. (+10.8 unit$, ROI=61.4%)
The average score of these games was Warriors 52.2, Opponents 51.9.
Bet under the 1st half total in Golden State games when they attempt 21 to 26 free throws in a game.
The 1st half Under's record since the 2024 season: 35-10 (78%) with an average 1st half over/under of 115.0. (+24.0 unit$, ROI=46.4%)
The average score of these games was Warriors 55.4, Opponents 53.8.
Glossary of Terms

Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.

Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.

Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.

Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.

Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.

H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.

3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.

Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.

FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.

Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.

Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.

OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.

TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.