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| Tuesday, 05/06/2025 7:00 PM (ET) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eastern Conference - Second Round - Best Of 7 - Game 2 | ||||||
| Gm# | Record | Open | Latest | ML | 1H | |
 IND | 553 | 54-33 | 228.5 | 229.5 | +280 | 115.5 |
 CLE | 554 | 68-18 | -8.5 | -8 | -360 | -4.5 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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NBA Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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| Power Rating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teams | Rating | Estimate | Actual | Edge |
| IND | 119 | |||
| CLE | 127 | -10 | -8 | CLE (+2) |
Game Simulation Results |
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores, Edges | Shooting | 3pt Shooting | Free Throws | Rebounding | |||||||||||
| Teams | Score | Edge | H1Score | Edge | 3FGM-A | Pct. | 3FGM-A | Pct. | FTM-A | Pct. | Tot. | OFF | TO | ||
| IND | 113 | IND (+1) | Ov (+4) | 57 | IND (+0.5) | Ov (+1.5) | 42-90 | 46.8% | 14-38 | 36.6% | 15-19 | 79.9% | 50 | 11 | 12 |
| CLE | 120 | 60 | 44-91 | 48.0% | 16-43 | 37.3% | 17-21 | 77.5% | 56 | 14 | 12 | ||||
Simulation Line Covers |
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| The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total. | |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Indiana covered the spread 511 times, while Cleveland covered the spread 474 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 609 games went over the total, while 391 games went under the total. Edge against the total=Over. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Cleveland won the game straight up 659 times, while Indiana won 319 times. Edge on the money line=Indiana. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Indiana covered the first half line 519 times, while Cleveland covered the first half line 481 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 538 games went over the first half total, while 462 games went under the first half total. No Edge. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Cleveland covered the 4 point teaser line 574 times, and failed to cover 402 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, Indiana covered the 4 point teaser line 616 times, and failed to cover 360 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 694 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 306 failed to go over. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 491 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 509 failed to go under. No Edge. |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
| Trends Favoring Indiana. | |
|---|---|
| Bet on Indiana on the money line in games where they commit 12 or fewer turnovers. Indiana record during the 2025 season: 39-15 (72%) with an average money line of -204. (+29.9 unit$, ROI=27.1%) The average score of these games was Pacers 120.1, Opponents 114.3. |
| Trends Favoring Cleveland. | |
|---|---|
| Bet against Indiana when they make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game. Indiana record during the 2025 season: 5-21 (19%) ATS with an average line of -1.1. (-18.1 unit$, ROI=-63.3%). The average score of these games was Pacers 113.3, Opponents 117.3. |
| Bet on Cleveland on the money line when they grab 4 to 9 more rebounds than their opponents in a game. Cleveland record during the 2025 season: 14-2 (88%) with an average money line of -464. (+12.0 unit$, ROI=16.2%) The average score of these games was Cavaliers 124.7, Opponents 108.8. |
| Bet on Cleveland on the money line when their opponents make 32% to 38% of their 3 pointers in a game. Cleveland record during the 2025 season: 19-3 (86%) with an average money line of -428. (+16.2 unit$, ROI=17.2%) The average score of these games was Cavaliers 121.1, Opponents 110.9. |
| Bet on Cleveland on the money line when their opponents make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game. Cleveland record since the 2024 season: 35-9 (80%) with an average money line of -344. (+24.6 unit$, ROI=16.2%) The average score of these games was Cavaliers 115.8, Opponents 106.9. |
| Bet on Cleveland in home games on the 1st half line when they make 48% to 51% of their shots in a game. Cleveland record on the 1st half line during the 2025 season: 14-0 (100%) with an average 1st half line of -6.0. (+14.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average 1st half score of these games was Cavaliers 64.8, Opponents 51.9. |
Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.
Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.
Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.
Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.
H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.
3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.
FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.
Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.
OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.
TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.