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Tuesday, 07/29/2025 7:40 PM 
 RecordStarterOpenLatest
 Gm#W-LPitcherMLO/UMLO/URL
 ATL Atlanta92944-58STRIDER(R)nl
 KC Kansas City93050-53LUGO(R)NLNLnl

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Tip SheetSimulation & Ratings🔒Betting Systems🔒Team Trends🔒Team StatsStarting PitchersLineupsBullpensSchedule & ResultsManagers🔒Umpire🔒Head-to-Head🔒

Starting Pitcher Report

Analyze MLB starting pitcher betting stats, advanced pitching metrics, Sabermetric data, recent trends, and game results to inform smarter baseball betting decisions.

Key Pitcher Trends

Explore top starting pitcher betting trends for upcoming games, covering records vs. the money line, run line, and over/under. Trends represent the record of the pitcher's team when starting and have displayed have a demonstrated edge against the line referenced.

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Trends Favoring Under.
Bet under the total in SETH LUGO starts vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse.
The Under's record since the 2023 season: 9-1 (90%) with an average over/under of 8.3, money line=-110. (+8.1 unit$, ROI=73.2%) (Team's Record).
The average score of these games was LUGO's team 2.8, Opponents 2.5.

SPENCER STRIDER Statistics

These tables offer a comprehensive breakdown of a starting pitcher's performance in the current game. The first table details accumulated traditional stats—such as wins, losses, ERA, innings pitched, and other core metrics—across various game conditions. The second table presents advanced sabermetric analyses, including ERA estimates (xERA, ERC, FIP, dERA, DICE, SIERA), along with key ratios and percentages that assess pitching efficiency and quality. Together, these tables provide an in-depth evaluation of both standard and advanced pitching performance metrics under different game scenarios.

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Spencer Strider 2025 Pitching Statistics
Game Situation W L ERA G GS QS QS% CG SHO IP H R ER HR BB IBB HBP SO WP BK WHIP AVGa OBPa SLGa OPSa
All Games 4 8 3.72 13 13 7 53.8% 0 0 72.7 56 31 30 10 30 0 5 89 1 0 1.183 0.214 0.306 0.385 0.692
Regular Season Games 4 8 3.72 13 13 7 53.8% 0 0 72.7 56 31 30 10 30 0 5 89 1 0 1.183 0.214 0.306 0.385 0.692
Away Games 1 4 4.55 6 6 2 33.3% 0 0 31.7 22 17 16 3 16 0 4 39 1 0 1.200 0.198 0.321 0.351 0.672
Regular Season Away Games 1 4 4.55 6 6 2 33.3% 0 0 31.7 22 17 16 3 16 0 4 39 1 0 1.200 0.198 0.321 0.351 0.672
Interleague Games 4 8 3.72 13 13 7 53.8% 0 0 72.7 56 31 30 10 30 0 5 89 1 0 1.183 0.214 0.306 0.385 0.692
Night Games 3 4 4.12 8 8 4 50.0% 0 0 43.7 35 20 20 7 19 0 3 55 1 0 1.237 0.222 0.317 0.399 0.715
in Games Started 4 8 3.72 13 13 7 53.8% 0 0 72.7 56 31 30 10 30 0 5 89 1 0 1.183 0.214 0.306 0.385 0.692
Over the Past 3 Seasons 24 15 3.88 49 49 26 53.1% 0 0 281.0 224 128 121 38 98 2 15 397 8 2 1.146 0.215 0.292 0.377 0.669
Over the past 2 months 4 6 3.41 11 11 7 63.6% 0 0 63.3 45 25 24 8 28 0 2 81 0 0 1.153 0.198 0.292 0.357 0.649
Over the last month 1 3 3.23 5 5 4 80.0% 0 0 30.7 25 11 11 5 13 0 1 36 0 0 1.239 0.225 0.312 0.414 0.726

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Spencer Strider 2025 Advanced Pitching Statistics
  ERA Estimates Percentages and Ratios Pitcher Quality Score
Game Situation ERA xERA ERC FIP dERA DICE SIERA HR% Str% BB% BB9 SO% SO9 SOBB PFR LOB% GOFO Dom Dom% Dis Dis%
All Games 3.72 3.37 3.32 3.88 3.77 3.88 3.88 3.4% 61.4% 9.7% 3.7 28.8% 11.0 2.97 1.64 77.9% 1.44 7 53.8% 2 15.4%
Regular Season Games 3.72 3.37 3.32 3.88 3.77 3.88 3.88 3.4% 61.4% 9.7% 3.7 28.8% 11.0 2.97 1.64 77.9% 1.44 7 53.8% 2 15.4%
Away Games 4.55 2.85 3.16 3.76 3.71 3.76 3.76 2.3% 60.1% 11.7% 4.5 28.5% 11.1 2.44 1.74 66.1% 0.90 4 66.7% 2 33.3%
Regular Season Away Games 4.55 2.85 3.16 3.76 3.71 3.76 3.76 2.3% 60.1% 11.7% 4.5 28.5% 11.1 2.44 1.74 66.1% 0.90 4 66.7% 2 33.3%
Interleague Games 3.72 3.37 3.32 3.88 3.77 3.88 3.88 3.4% 61.4% 9.7% 3.7 28.8% 11.0 2.97 1.64 77.9% 1.44 7 53.8% 2 15.4%
Night Games 4.12 3.78 3.77 4.18 4.03 4.18 4.18 3.9% 61.8% 10.1% 3.9 29.3% 11.3 2.89 1.69 78.4% 1.50 4 50.0% 2 25.0%
in Games Started 3.72 3.37 3.32 3.88 3.77 3.88 3.88 3.4% 61.4% 9.7% 3.7 28.8% 11.0 2.97 1.64 77.9% 1.44 7 53.8% 2 15.4%
Over the Past 3 Seasons 3.88 3.31 3.22 3.24 3.13 3.24 3.22 3.3% 66.2% 8.3% 3.1 33.6% 12.7 4.05 1.76 73.6% 1.29 34 69.4% 6 12.2%
Over the past 2 months 3.41 3.03 2.87 3.61 3.51 3.61 3.61 3.1% 61.6% 10.6% 4.0 30.6% 11.5 2.89 1.72 78.4% 1.59 6 54.5% 1 9.1%
Over the last month 3.23 3.85 3.66 4.24 4.10 4.24 4.25 4.0% 60.5% 9.9% 3.8 27.5% 10.6 2.77 1.60 87.5% 2.23 2 40.0% 0 0.0%

SPENCER STRIDER Team Betting Records

This table details team betting performances when the designated pitcher is starting. It breaks down win-loss records and unit values across multiple betting lines—including money line, run line, and over/under—as well as early inning metrics (first 3 and first 5 innings) under different game conditions.

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Spencer Strider 2025 Team Betting Records in Games Started
  Money Line Run Line Over/Under 1st 3 Inn. ML 1st 3 Inn. ATS 1st 3 Inn. Ov/Un 1st 5 Inn. ML 1st 5 Inn. ATS 1st 5 Inn. Ov/Un
Game Condition W-L Unit$ W-L Unit$ Ov-Un-T Ov$ Un$ W-L-T Unit$ W-L Unit$ Ov-Un Ov$ Un$ W-L-T Unit$ W-L Unit$ Ov-Un Ov$ Un$
All Games 4-9 -10.2 4-9 -4.1 4-9-0 -5.9 +4.8 4-7-2 -7.3 4-9 -5.8 3-7 -5.2 +3.9 3-9-1 -11.9 3-10 -8.8 5-8 -4.3 +2.6
Regular Season Games 4-9 -10.2 4-9 -4.1 4-9-0 -5.9 +4.8 4-7-2 -7.3 4-9 -5.8 3-7 -5.2 +3.9 3-9-1 -11.9 3-10 -8.8 5-8 -4.3 +2.6
Away Games 1-5 -6.4 1-5 -4.1 1-5-0 -4.5 +3.8 1-4-1 -5.3 1-5 -4.5 1-4 -4.0 +3.1 0-5-1 -7.4 0-6 -6.5 3-3 -0.5 -0.2
Regular Season Away Games 1-5 -6.4 1-5 -4.1 1-5-0 -4.5 +3.8 1-4-1 -5.3 1-5 -4.5 1-4 -4.0 +3.1 0-5-1 -7.4 0-6 -6.5 3-3 -0.5 -0.2
Interleague Games 4-9 -10.2 4-9 -4.1 4-9-0 -5.9 +4.8 4-7-2 -7.3 4-9 -5.8 3-7 -5.2 +3.9 3-9-1 -11.9 3-10 -8.8 5-8 -4.3 +2.6
Night Games 3-5 -5.5 3-5 -1.1 3-5-0 -2.6 +1.8 1-6-1 -8.8 1-7 -6.9 2-5 -3.7 +2.8 2-5-1 -6.4 2-6 -5.2 4-4 -0.6 -0.5
Over the Past 3 Seasons 32-17 -0.2 25-24 -0.8 25-24-0 -1.9 -3.2 19-17-13 -17.2 19-28 -9.1 20-26 -15.9 +7.9 23-20-6 -15.5 23-26 -17.8 26-23 -1.3 -5.3
Over the past 2 months 4-7 -7.3 4-7 -2.1 4-7-0 -3.5 +2.8 4-5-2 -4.1 4-7 -3.8 2-6 -4.7 +3.8 3-7-1 -8.7 3-8 -6.6 4-7 -4.3 +2.8
Over the last month 1-4 -6.2 1-4 -2.9 2-3-0 -1.3 +1.0 2-2-1 -1.8 2-3 -1.1 0-3 -3.1 +3.0 1-3-1 -4.9 1-4 -4.0 2-3 -1.6 +0.9

SPENCER STRIDER Recent Starts

Explore recent starting pitcher game results, including key metrics like ERA, WHIP, innings pitched, and game outcomes. Analyze individual performance trends.

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SPENCER STRIDER - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreMLO-UResultDec.PCIPRERHHRBBSO
07/23/2025 SF San Francisco3-9-1507.5e-10Loss,OverL1045.0335237
07/18/2025 NYY NY Yankees7-3-1309u-15Win,OverW966.0003038
07/10/2025 @OAK @Athletics4-5-19010.5u-15Loss,Under1016.23351311
07/04/2025 BAL Baltimore2-3-1809u-30Loss,UnderL1006.0337216
06/29/2025 PHI Philadelphia1-2-1558o-15Loss,UnderL957.0225034
06/24/2025 @NYM @NY Mets7-4-1309e-10Win,OverW915.0332048
06/19/2025 NYM NY Mets7-1-1309u-15Win,UnderW976.0115018
06/14/2025 COL Colorado4-1-3308.5o-20Win,UnderW876.00030113
06/08/2025 @SF @San Francisco3-4-1257.5u-15Loss,UnderL906.0433035
06/03/2025 ARI Arizona3-8-1609u-25Loss,OverL855.0556324
05/27/2025 @PHI @Philadelphia0-2-1059e-10Loss,UnderL904.2111047
05/20/2025 @WAS @Washington3-5-1559u-20Loss,UnderL754.0446113
04/16/2025 @TOR @Toronto1-3-1207o-15Loss,UnderL975.0225115
04/05/2024 ARI Arizona6-5-2959o-20Win,Over884.0557134
03/29/2024 @PHI @Philadelphia9-3-1307u-15Win,Over905.0223128

SPENCER STRIDER Career Team Betting Records

This table displays detailed betting outcomes when a specific starting pitcher takes the mound. It breaks down team performance across money line, run line, and over/under markets under various conditions (e.g., road games, underdog scenarios, specific game situations) and supports customizable time windows—covering the pitcher’s entire career, the last three seasons, or the last two seasons.

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SPENCER STRIDER - Team betting records in pitcher starts
 All GamesRoad Games
 Money LineRun LineOv/UnMoney LineRun LineOv/Un
DescriptionW-LUnit$W-LUnit$O-UW-LUnit$W-LUnit$O-U
against AL Central opponents2-1-1.12-1+0.62-11-0+11-0+11-0
in all games45-25+0.537-33+0.535-3421-14-1.618-17-1.415-19
in road games21-14-1.618-17-1.415-1921-14-1.618-17-1.415-19
when the money line is +125 to -1251-6-5.81-6-5.32-51-5-4.81-5-3.82-4
on the road when the money line is +125 to -1251-5-4.81-5-3.82-41-5-4.81-5-3.82-4
in the second half of the season23-14-6.321-16+2.118-1810-8-59-9-2.58-9
in July games7-7-8.27-7-17-73-3-3.43-3-0.92-4
when playing on Tuesday8-5+0.38-5+3.48-54-2+1.44-2+2.43-3
in an inter-league game9-6-26-9-3.57-84-4-2.13-5-2.53-5
when pitching in night games35-18+128-25+0.926-2715-9-0.113-11+0.99-15
vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse6-6-55-7-2.94-83-4-3.13-4-1.52-5
vs. an AL team with a slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season3-3-3.13-3-0.53-32-1+0.82-1+12-1
vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game6-2+1.96-2+3.34-43-2-1.13-2+0.34-1
when playing against a team with a losing record15-10-7.514-11-0.213-128-6-4.58-6-0.17-7
vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season3-4-53-4-1.83-42-2-1.12-2-0.42-2

SETH LUGO Statistics

These tables offer a comprehensive breakdown of a starting pitcher's performance in the current game. The first table details accumulated traditional stats—such as wins, losses, ERA, innings pitched, and other core metrics—across various game conditions. The second table presents advanced sabermetric analyses, including ERA estimates (xERA, ERC, FIP, dERA, DICE, SIERA), along with key ratios and percentages that assess pitching efficiency and quality. Together, these tables provide an in-depth evaluation of both standard and advanced pitching performance metrics under different game scenarios.

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Seth Lugo 2025 Pitching Statistics
Game Situation W L ERA G GS QS QS% CG SHO IP H R ER HR BB IBB HBP SO WP BK WHIP AVGa OBPa SLGa OPSa
All Games 7 5 2.95 19 19 11 57.9% 0 0 113.0 90 39 37 17 33 1 4 99 3 0 1.088 0.219 0.283 0.387 0.670
Regular Season Games 7 5 2.95 19 19 11 57.9% 0 0 113.0 90 39 37 17 33 1 4 99 3 0 1.088 0.219 0.283 0.387 0.670
Home Games 3 3 2.48 10 10 5 50.0% 0 0 58.0 45 18 16 7 22 1 1 46 2 0 1.155 0.221 0.300 0.363 0.662
Regular Season Home Games 3 3 2.48 10 10 5 50.0% 0 0 58.0 45 18 16 7 22 1 1 46 2 0 1.155 0.221 0.300 0.363 0.662
Interleague Games 7 5 2.95 19 19 11 57.9% 0 0 113.0 90 39 37 17 33 1 4 99 3 0 1.088 0.219 0.283 0.387 0.670
Night Games 4 3 2.90 12 12 6 50.0% 0 0 71.3 60 25 23 12 21 1 3 59 2 0 1.136 0.229 0.294 0.416 0.710
in Games Started 7 5 2.95 19 19 11 57.9% 0 0 113.0 90 39 37 17 33 1 4 99 3 0 1.088 0.219 0.283 0.387 0.670
Over the Past 3 Seasons 31 21 3.18 80 80 50 62.5% 1 0 475.3 415 179 168 53 122 2 17 428 10 0 1.130 0.233 0.289 0.380 0.668
Over the past 2 months 4 1 2.88 10 10 5 50.0% 0 0 56.3 43 18 18 8 18 0 3 57 0 0 1.083 0.208 0.281 0.372 0.653
Over the last month 3 0 3.00 5 5 3 60.0% 0 0 30.0 26 10 10 5 10 0 1 31 0 0 1.200 0.228 0.296 0.421 0.717

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Seth Lugo 2025 Advanced Pitching Statistics
  ERA Estimates Percentages and Ratios Pitcher Quality Score
Game Situation ERA xERA ERC FIP dERA DICE SIERA HR% Str% BB% BB9 SO% SO9 SOBB PFR LOB% GOFO Dom Dom% Dis Dis%
All Games 2.95 3.34 3.08 4.29 4.21 4.29 4.26 3.8% 63.7% 7.1% 2.6 21.2% 7.9 3.00 1.17 85.3% 1.41 12 63.2% 1 5.3%
Regular Season Games 2.95 3.34 3.08 4.29 4.21 4.29 4.26 3.8% 63.7% 7.1% 2.6 21.2% 7.9 3.00 1.17 85.3% 1.41 12 63.2% 1 5.3%
Home Games 2.48 3.21 3.10 4.27 4.29 4.27 4.22 3.1% 62.2% 9.1% 3.4 19.0% 7.1 2.09 1.17 85.9% 1.23 5 50.0% 1 10.0%
Regular Season Home Games 2.48 3.21 3.10 4.27 4.29 4.27 4.22 3.1% 62.2% 9.1% 3.4 19.0% 7.1 2.09 1.17 85.9% 1.23 5 50.0% 1 10.0%
Interleague Games 2.95 3.34 3.08 4.29 4.21 4.29 4.26 3.8% 63.7% 7.1% 2.6 21.2% 7.9 3.00 1.17 85.3% 1.41 12 63.2% 1 5.3%
Night Games 2.90 3.73 3.46 4.64 4.55 4.64 4.60 4.2% 64.2% 7.0% 2.6 19.8% 7.4 2.81 1.12 87.8% 1.52 7 58.3% 1 8.3%
in Games Started 2.95 3.34 3.08 4.29 4.21 4.29 4.26 3.8% 63.7% 7.1% 2.6 21.2% 7.9 3.00 1.17 85.3% 1.41 12 63.2% 1 5.3%
Over the Past 3 Seasons 3.18 3.32 3.07 3.63 3.57 3.63 3.61 2.8% 64.7% 6.2% 2.3 21.6% 8.1 3.51 1.16 78.2% 1.67 50 62.5% 10 12.5%
Over the past 2 months 2.88 3.16 2.90 4.04 3.94 4.04 4.04 3.5% 62.7% 7.7% 2.9 24.5% 9.1 3.17 1.33 87.1% 1.33 6 60.0% 1 10.0%
Over the last month 3.00 3.93 3.57 4.30 4.14 4.30 4.29 4.0% 62.4% 7.9% 3.0 24.4% 9.3 3.10 1.37 90.0% 1.00 3 60.0% 0 0.0%

SETH LUGO Team Betting Records

This table details team betting performances when the designated pitcher is starting. It breaks down win-loss records and unit values across multiple betting lines—including money line, run line, and over/under—as well as early inning metrics (first 3 and first 5 innings) under different game conditions.

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Seth Lugo 2025 Team Betting Records in Games Started
  Money Line Run Line Over/Under 1st 3 Inn. ML 1st 3 Inn. ATS 1st 3 Inn. Ov/Un 1st 5 Inn. ML 1st 5 Inn. ATS 1st 5 Inn. Ov/Un
Game Condition W-L Unit$ W-L Unit$ Ov-Un-T Ov$ Un$ W-L-T Unit$ W-L Unit$ Ov-Un Ov$ Un$ W-L-T Unit$ W-L Unit$ Ov-Un Ov$ Un$
All Games 10-9 +1.5 8-11 -4.2 7-12-0 -6.2 +4.1 7-5-7 +2.0 10-6 +2.6 4-12 -12.9 +9.8 6-8-5 -3.1 7-12 -7.1 7-11 -5.3 +3.0
Regular Season Games 10-9 +1.5 8-11 -4.2 7-12-0 -6.2 +4.1 7-5-7 +2.0 10-6 +2.6 4-12 -12.9 +9.8 6-8-5 -3.1 7-12 -7.1 7-11 -5.3 +3.0
Home Games 6-4 +2.1 4-6 -1.9 3-7-0 -4.8 +3.5 3-3-4 +0.1 5-4 +0.1 3-7 -5.7 +4.3 3-4-3 -2.3 4-6 -2.7 3-7 -4.7 +3.8
Regular Season Home Games 6-4 +2.1 4-6 -1.9 3-7-0 -4.8 +3.5 3-3-4 +0.1 5-4 +0.1 3-7 -5.7 +4.3 3-4-3 -2.3 4-6 -2.7 3-7 -4.7 +3.8
Interleague Games 10-9 +1.5 8-11 -4.2 7-12-0 -6.2 +4.1 7-5-7 +2.0 10-6 +2.6 4-12 -12.9 +9.8 6-8-5 -3.1 7-12 -7.1 7-11 -5.3 +3.0
Night Games 6-6 -0.4 5-7 -2.4 4-8-0 -4.8 +3.5 4-3-5 +0.4 6-4 +0.7 3-7 -7.2 +5.2 3-6-3 -4.6 4-8 -5.6 4-7 -3.8 +2.2
Over the Past 3 Seasons 40-40 -7.1 40-40 -4.0 28-47-5 -23.1 +16.2 34-24-22 +4.0 40-33 +5.5 35-42 -36.8 +20.7 37-27-16 +1.9 44-36 +5.0 33-43 -22.5 +12.9
Over the past 2 months 5-5 +0.3 5-5 -0.6 5-5-0 -0.5 -0.6 5-2-3 +3.5 5-2 +2.7 2-5 -3.5 +2.6 3-3-4 +0.1 4-6 -3.0 5-5 -0.7 -0.8
Over the last month 4-1 +3.7 3-2 +1.0 3-2-0 +0.9 -1.5 3-1-1 +2.6 3-1 +1.8 0-3 -3.0 +3.0 2-2-1 +0.1 2-3 -1.6 3-2 +0.8 -1.6

SETH LUGO Recent Starts

Explore recent starting pitcher game results, including key metrics like ERA, WHIP, innings pitched, and game outcomes. Analyze individual performance trends.

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SETH LUGO - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreMLO-UResultDec.PCIPRERHHRBBSO
07/23/2025 @CHC @Chicago Cubs8-4+16010u-15Win,OverW956.0224026
07/18/2025 @MIA @Miami7-8-1107.5e-10Loss,Over836.0558205
07/08/2025 PIT Pittsburgh4-3-1357.5o-15Win,Under826.0224215
07/03/2025 @SEA @Seattle3-2+1157.5u-25Win,UnderW1016.0116127
06/28/2025 LAD LA Dodgers9-5+13510u-25Win,OverW1075.2004058
06/22/2025 @SD @San Diego2-3+1058.5o-20Loss,Under906.0112007
06/17/2025 @TEX @Texas6-1+1108e-10Win,UnderW966.0113019
06/12/2025 NYY NY Yankees0-1+1108.5u-15Loss,Under735.2002032
06/06/2025 @CHW @Chi White Sox2-7-1308o-15Loss,Over975.0225125
05/30/2025 DET Detroit5-7+1058.5u-20Loss,OverL693.0445223
05/11/2025 BOS Boston1-3-1309u-20Loss,UnderL966.0336205
05/06/2025 CHW Chi White Sox4-3-2408.5o-15Win,Under986.2217033
05/01/2025 @TAM @Tampa Bay8-2+1508.5e-10Win,OverW936.0225105
04/25/2025 HOU Houston2-0+1058u-15Win,UnderW948.0003018
04/19/2025 @DET @Detroit1-3+1208u-15Loss,UnderL1056.2335125
04/14/2025 @NYY @NY Yankees1-4+1309e-10Loss,UnderL986.2447424
04/09/2025 MIN Minnesota0-4-1007.5o-20Loss,UnderL1095.2225036
04/04/2025 BAL Baltimore8-2-1008u-20Win,OverW856.0215012
03/29/2025 CLE Cleveland4-3-1108.5o-25Win,Under865.0334134
10/09/2024 NYY NY Yankees2-3+1058o-15Loss,Under875.0222042
10/02/2024 @BAL @Baltimore2-1+1307.5u-25Win,Under824.0115116
09/28/2024 @ATL @Atlanta1-2+2057.5u-25Loss,Under362.0001013
09/22/2024 SF San Francisco0-2-1056.5e-10Loss,UnderL897.0223005
09/16/2024 DET Detroit6-7-1258u-15Loss,Over964.2448124
09/10/2024 @NYY @NY Yankees5-0+1309u-20Win,UnderW1057.00030010
09/04/2024 CLE Cleveland4-1-1258.5o-20Win,UnderW1037.0116014
08/30/2024 @HOU @Houston2-3+1707.5o-15Loss,Under937.0116119
08/25/2024 PHI Philadelphia3-11-13510o-20Loss,OverL945.06511013
08/19/2024 LAA LA Angels5-3-2358.5o-15Win,UnderW977.0224038
08/13/2024 @MIN @Minnesota3-13+1058.5o-15Loss,OverL834.0879124
08/06/2024 BOS Boston5-6-1208.5e-10Loss,OverL1015.0646144
08/01/2024 @DET @Detroit7-1-1558.5u-20Win,UnderW1038.0114013
07/27/2024 CHC Chicago Cubs4-9-1308o-20Loss,OverL906.0665122
07/21/2024 CHW Chi White Sox4-1-2258u-20Win,UnderW1039.0113006
07/13/2024 @BOS @Boston0-5+1259u-20Loss,UnderL935.05510116
07/06/2024 @COL @Colorado1-3-15010.5u-20Loss,UnderL1016.0325125
06/30/2024 CLE Cleveland6-2-1258.5u-15Win,UnderW936.00040110
06/25/2024 MIA Miami1-2-1809.5e-10Loss,Under876.0002028
06/20/2024 @OAK @Athletics3-2-1357.5u-15Win,Under956.2226138
06/15/2024 @LAD @LA Dodgers7-2+2108u-20Win,OverW986.0226014
06/10/2024 NYY NY Yankees2-4+1008.5u-20Loss,UnderL1017.0448014
06/04/2024 @CLE @Cleveland5-8+1158o-15Loss,Over986.0556215
05/29/2024 @MIN @Minnesota6-1+1157.5u-15Win,UnderW1006.0116035
05/24/2024 @TAM @Tampa Bay8-1-1158o-15Win,OverW1047.0114023
05/18/2024 OAK Athletics5-3-1909.5u-20Win,UnderW965.22261110
05/12/2024 @LAA @LA Angels4-2-1058o-15Win,UnderW1128.01150012
05/07/2024 MIL Milwaukee5-6-1359o-20Loss,Over776.2336215
05/01/2024 @TOR @Toronto6-1+1308u-15Win,UnderW1017.0112128
04/26/2024 @DET @Detroit8-0+1157.5o-25Win,OverW1037.0003029
04/21/2024 BAL Baltimore0-5-1059u-20Loss,UnderL995.0449211
04/15/2024 @CHW @Chi White Sox2-0-1658u-20Win,UnderW997.0004014
04/10/2024 HOU Houston11-2+1109.5e-10Win,OverW906.0227022
04/04/2024 CHW Chi White Sox10-1-1808o-15Win,OverW866.2118023
03/30/2024 MIN Minnesota1-5+1058e-10Loss,Under866.0002014

SETH LUGO Career Betting Trends

This table displays detailed betting outcomes when a specific starting pitcher takes the mound. It breaks down team performance across money line, run line, and over/under markets under various conditions (e.g., road games, underdog scenarios, specific game situations) and supports customizable time windows—covering the pitcher’s entire career, the last three seasons, or the last two seasons.

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SETH LUGO - Team betting records in pitcher starts
 All GamesHome Games
 Money LineRun LineOv/UnMoney LineRun LineOv/Un
DescriptionW-LUnit$W-LUnit$O-UW-LUnit$W-LUnit$O-U
against NL East opponents2-6-6.24-4+0.55-31-3-4.21-3-1.52-2
in all games61-57-0.659-59-5.950-6332-24+426-30-2.320-34
in home games32-24+426-30-2.320-3432-24+426-30-2.320-34
when the money line is +125 to -12527-24+430-21+2.821-2911-11-0.211-11-1.37-15
at home when the money line is +125 to -12511-11-0.211-11-1.37-1511-11-0.211-11-1.37-15
in the second half of the season34-31-1.632-33-1.628-3319-10+6.514-15+2.59-18
when playing on Tuesday8-11-66-13-8.99-104-4-2.12-6-3.74-4
in July games9-9-1.96-12-6.88-85-2+1.93-4-0.22-4
in an inter-league game10-16-6.810-16-7.311-126-7-2.24-9-4.95-6
when pitching in night games40-36+1.640-36-1.335-3820-13+617-16+1.813-19
vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse13-18-10.811-20-1114-167-7-2.74-10-5.85-9
vs. an NL team with a slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season15-12-0.213-14-1.314-136-6-34-8-3.45-7
vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game59-53+2.558-54-1.148-5930-22+525-27+0.219-31
when playing against a team with a losing record33-18+9.924-27-5.322-2715-8+3.28-15-8.98-15
when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%)13-5+4.98-10-2.28-98-2+4.25-5+03-7
Glossary of Terms

ERA (Earned Run Average): A statistic that measures a pitcher's effectiveness by calculating the average number of earned runs allowed per nine innings pitched.

WHIP (Walks plus Hits per Inning Pitched): A measure of the number of baserunners a pitcher has allowed per inning pitched, calculated as (Walks + Hits) / Innings Pitched.

W-L (Win-Loss Record): A statistic that shows the number of games a pitcher has won and lost as a starter.

G (Games Played): The total number of games in which the pitcher has appeared.

IP (Innings Pitched): The total number of innings a pitcher has thrown.

IP/S (Innings Pitched per Start): The average number of innings a pitcher completes in each game started.

R (Runs Allowed): The total number of runs the pitcher has allowed, including both earned and unearned runs.

ER (Earned Runs): The total number of earned runs the pitcher has allowed.

H (Hits Allowed): The total number of hits the pitcher has allowed.

HR (Home Runs Allowed): The total number of home runs the pitcher has allowed.

BB (Walks Issued): The total number of bases on balls (walks) the pitcher has issued.

SO (Strikeouts): The total number of batters the pitcher has struck out.

ML (Money Line): Indicates the odds for betting on a team's outright win. Positive numbers represent underdogs, and negative numbers represent favorites.

O/U (Over/Under): A betting line set by sportsbooks predicting the total number of runs scored in the game by both teams combined.

RL (Run Line): A betting option that allows a bettor to back a team to either win by more than a certain number of runs or to lose by fewer than a certain number of runs.

W-L (Unit$): The profit or loss in betting units based on the pitcher's team performance in the game, taking into account the money line odds.

O-U (Over-Under Record): The record of games where the total runs scored were over or under the predicted total set by sportsbooks.

Dec. (Decision): The outcome of the game for the pitcher, indicating whether they were credited with a win, loss, or no decision.

PC (Pitch Count): The total number of pitches thrown by the pitcher in a game.

Game Situation: The specific context or type of game situation being analyzed, such as all starts, last 3 starts, home starts, etc.

Opponent: The team the pitcher is facing in the specific game being referenced.

Score: The final score of the game in which the pitcher participated.

Result: The outcome of the game in terms of a win, loss, or push, along with the over/under result.

Money Line (Betting Records): The team's win-loss record and the total profit or loss in units when betting on the pitcher’s team, either in all games or specific types of games (e.g., home games, road games).

Run Line (Betting Records): The team's record and profit or loss when betting on the pitcher’s team with a run line bet.

Ov/Un (Over/Under Record): The team’s record when betting the over or under on the total runs in games the pitcher started.

Inter-League Game: A game between teams from the American League (AL) and National League (NL).

Day Games: Games that are played during the daytime, typically starting before 4:00 PM local time.

Grass Starts: Refers to games played on natural grass fields as opposed to artificial turf.

vs. (Versus): Indicates matchups between the pitcher’s team and other specified teams or conditions.