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| Sunday, 07/27/2025 6:00 PM (ET) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gm# | Record | Open | Latest | ML | 1H | |
 PHO | 617 | 15-9 | ||||
 WAS | 618 | 11-12 | NL | NL | NL | |
| Matchup Content Menu |
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Tip SheetSimulation & Ratings🔒Betting Systems🔒Team Trends🔒Team StatsSchedule & ResultsHead-to-Head🔒Coaches🔒
Your one-stop tip sheet for all the key information you need: top systems, team and coaching trends, expert simulations with value-based ratings, plus key stats, injuries, and more. Click the matchup content menu links above to dig deeper!
| Team Stats Summary Comparison |
Explore comprehensive basketball team statistics for current game conditions, including against the spread, money line, scoring, field goal percentage, and rebounds.
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| Phoenix - Current Season Performance | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Against Spread | Money Line | Team | Opponent | |||||||||
| W-L | O-U | W-L | Units | Score | Half | FG Pct | Reb. | Score | Half | FG Pct | Reb. | |
| All Games | 12-11 | 13-11 | 15-9 | +2 | 82.9 | 41.9 | 42.9% | 41 | 80.2 | 40.7 | 42.5% | 43 |
| Road Games | 5-6 | 5-6 | 6-5 | -1.8 | 80.4 | 42.2 | 41.6% | 41 | 81.8 | 42.5 | 42.9% | 43 |
| vs. Eastern Conference | 3-4 | 6-2 | 6-2 | +4.7 | 87.8 | 44.8 | 42.9% | 40 | 82.9 | 40.1 | 44.6% | 42 |
| Last 5 Games | 2-3 | 1-4 | 2-3 | -1.8 | 75.6 | 37.8 | 41.6% | 39 | 81.2 | 40.2 | 42.1% | 45 |
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| Washington - Current Season Performance | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Against Spread | Money Line | Team | Opponent | |||||||||
| W-L | O-U | W-L | Units | Score | Half | FG Pct | Reb. | Score | Half | FG Pct | Reb. | |
| All Games | 11-11 | 11-12 | 11-12 | +2.5 | 78.8 | 36.6 | 43.3% | 44 | 80.9 | 41.1 | 42.8% | 40 |
| Home Games | 5-6 | 6-5 | 7-4 | +5.6 | 79.5 | 37.8 | 42.4% | 45 | 80.5 | 41.5 | 41.7% | 43 |
| vs. Western Conference | 4-7 | 5-7 | 5-7 | -0.2 | 76.4 | 35.2 | 41.8% | 44 | 79.5 | 39.8 | 41.5% | 40 |
| Last 5 Games | 1-4 | 3-2 | 3-2 | +2.1 | 78.2 | 33.4 | 44.5% | 42 | 81.6 | 40.4 | 44.8% | 40 |
| Recent Results and Upcoming Schedule |
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| Phoenix - Recent Results and Upcoming Schedule | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team Game Stats | Opponent Stats | ||||||||||||||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU | Line | ATS | Tot. | O/U | Shots | Pct | REB | TO | Shots | Pct | REB | TO |
| 06/27/2025 |  NYL | 106-91 | W | -1.5 | W | 168 | O | 41-78 | 52.6% | 39 | 12 | 33-65 | 50.8% | 37 | 12 |
| 06/29/2025 |  LVA | 81-84 | L | -5 | L | 168.5 | U | 27-71 | 38.0% | 43 | 11 | 26-60 | 43.3% | 42 | 12 |
| 07/03/2025 |  @DAL | 89-98 | L | -11.5 | L | 164.5 | O | 28-67 | 41.8% | 38 | 10 | 32-67 | 47.8% | 47 | 15 |
| 07/07/2025 | DAL | 102-72 | W | -6 | W | 163.5 | O | 36-76 | 47.4% | 51 | 9 | 27-75 | 36.0% | 48 | 17 |
| 07/09/2025 |  MIN | 79-71 | W | +7.5 | W | 160.5 | U | 34-73 | 46.6% | 38 | 9 | 30-70 | 42.9% | 41 | 16 |
| 07/14/2025 |  @GS | 78-77 | W | +1.5 | W | 158 | U | 27-57 | 47.4% | 39 | 14 | 25-74 | 33.8% | 49 | 9 |
| 07/16/2025 | @MIN | 66-79 | L | +10 | L | 158 | U | 25-70 | 35.7% | 44 | 12 | 29-68 | 42.6% | 49 | 13 |
| 07/23/2025 |  ATL | 79-90 | L | -7.5 | L | 164 | O | 26-67 | 38.8% | 32 | 8 | 34-68 | 50.0% | 36 | 8 |
| 07/25/2025 | @NYL | 76-89 | L | +6.5 | L | 170.5 | U | 31-77 | 40.3% | 44 | 14 | 29-69 | 42.0% | 49 | 16 |
| 07/27/2025 | @WAS | 6:00p | - | - | |||||||||||
| 07/30/2025 |  @IND | 7:00p | - | - | |||||||||||
| 08/01/2025 | @ATL | 7:30p | - | - | |||||||||||
| 08/03/2025 |  @CHI | 6:00p | - | - | |||||||||||
| 08/05/2025 |  CON | 10:00p | - | - | |||||||||||
| 08/07/2025 | IND | 10:00p | - | - | |||||||||||
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| Washington - Recent Results and Upcoming Schedule | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team Game Stats | Opponent Stats | ||||||||||||||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU | Line | ATS | Tot. | O/U | Shots | Pct | REB | TO | Shots | Pct | REB | TO |
| 06/22/2025 | DAL | 91-88 | W | -4.5 | L | 167 | O | 28-62 | 45.2% | 47 | 16 | 27-72 | 37.5% | 51 | 17 |
| 06/24/2025 | MIN | 68-64 | W | +7 | W | 157.5 | U | 27-73 | 37.0% | 45 | 14 | 22-58 | 37.9% | 48 | 19 |
| 06/26/2025 | @LVA | 94-83 | W | +7 | W | 160 | O | 32-70 | 45.7% | 44 | 8 | 33-66 | 50.0% | 33 | 8 |
| 06/28/2025 | @DAL | 71-79 | L | -6 | L | 160.5 | U | 22-64 | 34.4% | 33 | 13 | 29-62 | 46.8% | 46 | 19 |
| 07/03/2025 | @MIN | 75-92 | L | +11.5 | L | 155 | O | 27-60 | 45.0% | 48 | 20 | 37-80 | 46.3% | 33 | 6 |
| 07/08/2025 | CHI | 81-79 | W | -7 | L | 159.5 | O | 30-71 | 42.3% | 49 | 13 | 27-60 | 45.0% | 45 | 16 |
| 07/10/2025 | LVA | 70-68 | W | -3.5 | L | 158 | U | 27-62 | 43.5% | 44 | 16 | 27-71 | 38.0% | 41 | 11 |
| 07/13/2025 |  @SEA | 74-69 | W | +7.5 | W | 156 | U | 28-63 | 44.4% | 47 | 15 | 25-69 | 36.2% | 41 | 15 |
| 07/15/2025 |  @LAS | 80-99 | L | +1 | L | 165.5 | O | 30-69 | 43.5% | 44 | 17 | 38-71 | 53.5% | 38 | 10 |
| 07/22/2025 | LAS | 86-93 | L | -2.5 | L | 167 | O | 30-61 | 49.2% | 26 | 15 | 35-68 | 51.5% | 33 | 16 |
| 07/26/2025 | SEA | 69-58 | W | +4 | W | 155 | U | 29-66 | 43.9% | 50 | 17 | 22-67 | 32.8% | 35 | 14 |
| 07/27/2025 | PHO | 6:00p | - | - | |||||||||||
| 07/29/2025 | CHI | 7:30p | - | - | |||||||||||
| 07/31/2025 | GS | 7:30p | - | - | |||||||||||
| 08/03/2025 | @ATL | 3:00p | - | - | |||||||||||
| 08/05/2025 | @CHI | 8:00p | - | - | |||||||||||
| 08/08/2025 | @MIN | 7:30p | - | - | |||||||||||
| Top Team Trends |
| Trends Favoring Washington. | |
|---|---|
 | Bet against Phoenix in home games on the money line after 1 or more consecutive losses. Phoenix record since the 2023 season: 6-19 (24%) with an average money line of +189. (-18.5 unit$, ROI=-73.8%) The average score of these games was Mercury 78.1, Opponents 88.9. |
| Bet against Phoenix on the money line versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=33% of their attempts after 15+ games. Phoenix record since the 2024 season: 3-13 (19%) with an average money line of +136. (-13.8 unit$, ROI=-86.3%) The average score of these games was Mercury 80.3, Opponents 87.8. |
| Bet against Phoenix in home games on the money line versus teams who attempt 16 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games. Phoenix record since the 2023 season: 6-20 (23%) with an average money line of +157. (-21.3 unit$, ROI=-81.9%) The average score of these games was Mercury 77.9, Opponents 87.9. |
| Bet against Phoenix in home games on the money line versus teams who make 5 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games. Phoenix record since the 2023 season: 6-20 (23%) with an average money line of +157. (-21.3 unit$, ROI=-81.9%) The average score of these games was Mercury 77.9, Opponents 87.9. |
| Trends Favoring Over. | |
|---|---|
 | Bet over the total in Phoenix games when playing against a team with a losing record. The Over's record during the 2025 season: 8-1 (89%) with an average over/under of 162.3. (+6.9 unit$, ROI=69.7%) The average score of these games was Mercury 91.1, Opponents 82.3. |
| Bet over the total in Washington games revenging a same season loss versus opponent. The Over's record during the 2025 season: 5-0 (100%) with an average over/under of 161.9. (+5.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was Mystics 88.6, Opponents 88.8. |
 | Bet over the 1st half total in Phoenix away games after a game where they failed to cover the spread. The 1st half Over's record since the 2023 season: 21-5 (81%) with an average 1st half over/under of 82.0. (+15.5 unit$, ROI=54.2%) The average score of these games was Mercury 41.6, Opponents 47.3. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Phoenix away games off a road loss. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 6-0 (100%) with an average 1st half over/under of 82.5. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was Mercury 42.7, Opponents 47.7. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Phoenix away games after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more. The 1st half Over's record since the 2023 season: 9-1 (90%) with an average 1st half over/under of 82.0. (+7.9 unit$, ROI=71.8%) The average score of these games was Mercury 41.6, Opponents 49.3. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Phoenix away games after 2 or more consecutive losses. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 7-0 (100%) with an average 1st half over/under of 84.0. (+7.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was Mercury 46.1, Opponents 49.0. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Phoenix away games after 1 or more consecutive losses. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 12-2 (86%) with an average 1st half over/under of 83.0. (+9.8 unit$, ROI=63.6%) The average score of these games was Mercury 42.1, Opponents 48.7. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Phoenix away games after 3 or more consecutive losses. The 1st half Over's record since the 2023 season: 9-1 (90%) with an average 1st half over/under of 81.0. (+7.9 unit$, ROI=71.8%) The average score of these games was Mercury 38.5, Opponents 47.9. |
| Key Coaching Trends |
| Key Coaching Trends Favoring Washington. | |
|---|---|
| Bet against Nate Tibbetts on the money line versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=33% of their attempts after 15+ games. Tibbetts's record as coach of PHOENIX: 3-13 (19%) with an average money line of +136. (-13.8 unit$, ROI=-86.3%) The average score of these games was PHOENIX 80.3, Opponents 87.8 |
| Key Coaching Trends Favoring Over. | |
|---|---|
| Bet over the 1st half total in Nate Tibbetts road games off a road loss. The 1st half Over's record as coach of PHOENIX: 6-0 (100%) with an average 1st half over/under of 82.5. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average 1st half score of these games was PHOENIX 42.7, Opponents 47.7 |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Nate Tibbetts road games after 2 or more consecutive losses. The 1st half Over's record as coach of PHOENIX: 7-0 (100%) with an average 1st half over/under of 84.0. (+7.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average 1st half score of these games was PHOENIX 46.1, Opponents 49.0 |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Nate Tibbetts road games after 1 or more consecutive losses. The 1st half Over's record as coach of PHOENIX: 12-2 (86%) with an average 1st half over/under of 83.0. (+9.8 unit$, ROI=63.6%) The average 1st half score of these games was PHOENIX 42.1, Opponents 48.7 |
| WNBA Power Ratings |
Compare team strength with power ratings based on recent results versus expectations. Identify potential advantages where ratings differ from the actual line.
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| Power Rating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teams | Rating | Estimate | Actual | Edge |
| PHO | 82 | -1 | ||
| WAS | 79 | |||