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| Wednesday, 07/16/2025 8:00 PM (ET) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gm# | Record | Open | Latest | ML | 1H | |
 LVA | 613 | 10-11 | -5 | -6.5 | -270 | -3.5 |
 DAL | 614 | 6-16 | 172 | 170 | +210 | 86 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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Tip SheetSimulation & Ratings🔒Betting Systems🔒Team Trends🔒Team StatsSchedule & ResultsHead-to-Head🔒Coaches🔒
WNBA Simulation & Power Ratings |
This page features detailed power rating line projections alongside StatSharp's advanced game simulations, each offering precise projected scores and game statistics, estimated fair market lines, positive expected value percentages, and projected hit rates against both the side and total lines. Both sections clearly identify potential betting advantages by highlighting significant value edges when they occur. Use this comprehensive analysis to confidently identify the strongest wagering opportunities available.
Power Rating Projections |
Compare team strength with power ratings based on recent results versus expectations. Identify potential advantages where ratings differ from the actual line.
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| Power Rating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teams | Rating | Estimate | Actual | Edge |
| LVA | 81 | -5 | -6 | |
| DAL | 74 | DAL (+1) | ||
Game Simulation Results |
This table shows projected scores and stats from simulations, including shooting, free throws, and rebounding. Edges highlight potential advantages versus the current line.
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores, Edges | Shooting | 3pt Shooting | Free Throws | Rebounding | |||||||||||
| Teams | Score | Edge | H1Score | Edge | 3FGM-A | Pct. | 3FGM-A | Pct. | FTM-A | Pct. | Tot. | OFF | TO | ||
| LVA | 85 | 42 | 29-67 | 42.9% | 9-26 | 36.0% | 18-22 | 82.8% | 42 | 7 | 12 | ||||
| DAL | 84 | DAL (+5) | Un (+1.5) | 42 | DAL (+3) | Un (+1.5) | 31-72 | 43.1% | 7-21 | 34.4% | 15-18 | 80.7% | 47 | 11 | 13 |
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| The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total. | |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Dallas covered the spread 615 times, while Las Vegas covered the spread 359 times. Edge against the spread=Dallas. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 521 games went under the total, while 448 games went over the total. No Edge. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Las Vegas won the game straight up 510 times, while Dallas won 469 times. Edge on the money line=Dallas. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Dallas covered the first half line 585 times, while Las Vegas covered the first half line 378 times. Edge against the first half line=Dallas. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 527 games went under the first half total, while 430 games went over the first half total. No Edge. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Dallas covered the 4 point teaser line 706 times, and failed to cover 274 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, Las Vegas covered the 4 point teaser line 465 times, and failed to cover 519 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 565 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 417 failed to go over. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 627 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 351 failed to go under. No Edge. |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
| Trends Favoring Las Vegas. | |
|---|---|
| Bet against Dallas in away games when they make 40% to 44% of their shots in a game. Dallas record since the 2024 season: 0-6 (0%) ATS with an average line of -0.3. (-6.6 unit$, ROI=-100.0%). The average score of these games was Wings 84.3, Opponents 94.5. |
| Bet against Dallas on the money line when they make 40% to 44% of their shots in a game. Dallas record since the 2024 season: 2-15 (12%) with an average money line of +171. (-17.1 unit$, ROI=-100.6%) The average score of these games was Wings 80.8, Opponents 90.1. |
| Bet against Dallas in away games on the 1st half line when they make 40% to 44% of their shots in a game. Dallas record on the 1st half line since the 2024 season: 0-6 (0%) with an average 1st half line of 0.0. (-6.6 unit$, ROI=-100.0%) The average 1st half score of these games was Wings 41.2, Opponents 48.8. |
| Trends Favoring Dallas. | |
|---|---|
| Bet against Las Vegas on the money line in games where they attempt 62 to 68 shots. Las Vegas record since the 2024 season: 10-15 (40%) with an average money line of -313. (-42.7 unit$, ROI=-54.5%) The average score of these games was Aces 82.3, Opponents 82.9. |
| Trends Favoring Over. | |
|---|---|
| Bet over the total in Dallas games when they score 82 to 87 points in a game. The Over's record during the 2025 season: 6-0 (100%) with an average over/under of 167.2. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was Wings 84.3, Opponents 93.3. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Dallas games when they score 82 to 87 points in a game. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 13-1 (93%) with an average 1st half over/under of 84.5. (+11.9 unit$, ROI=72.1%) The average score of these games was Wings 43.7, Opponents 48.8. |
| Trends Favoring Under. | |
|---|---|
| Bet under the total in Dallas games when they attempt 17 to 22 free throws in a game. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 6-0 (100%) with an average over/under of 165.3. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was Wings 75.2, Opponents 74.3. |
| Bet under the 1st half total in Las Vegas games when they grab 4 to 9 fewer rebounds than their opponents in a game. The 1st half Under's record since the 2024 season: 14-2 (88%) with an average 1st half over/under of 84.5. (+11.8 unit$, ROI=67.0%) The average score of these games was Aces 36.9, Opponents 37.3. |
Glossary of Terms
Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.
Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.
Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.
Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.
H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.
3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.
FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.
Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.
OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.
TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.