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Tuesday, 07/15/2025 8:00 PM (ET) 
 Gm#RecordOpenLatestML1H
 IND
 Indiana
60112-10-12.5-15.5-9
 CON
 Connecticut
6023-18164.5165.583.5

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Tip SheetSimulation & Ratings🔒Betting Systems🔒Team Trends🔒Team StatsSchedule & ResultsHead-to-Head🔒Coaches🔒

WNBA Simulation & Power Ratings

This page features detailed power rating line projections alongside StatSharp's advanced game simulations, each offering precise projected scores and game statistics, estimated fair market lines, positive expected value percentages, and projected hit rates against both the side and total lines. Both sections clearly identify potential betting advantages by highlighting significant value edges when they occur. Use this comprehensive analysis to confidently identify the strongest wagering opportunities available.

Power Rating Projections

Compare team strength with power ratings based on recent results versus expectations. Identify potential advantages where ratings differ from the actual line.

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 Power Rating
TeamsRatingEstimateActualEdge
 IND Indiana85-12-15.5
 CON Connecticut71 CON (+3.5)

Game Simulation Results

This table shows projected scores and stats from simulations, including shooting, free throws, and rebounding. Edges highlight potential advantages versus the current line.

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Average projected scores and game statistics.
 Scores, EdgesShooting   3pt ShootingFree ThrowsRebounding 
TeamsScoreEdgeH1ScoreEdge3FGM-APct.3FGM-APct.FTM-APct.Tot.OFFTO
 IND Indiana85 43 32-6747.5%8-2434.5%13-1776.3%44914
 CON Connecticut76CON (+5.5)Un (+4.5)38CON (+5)Un (+2.8)27-6541.2%6-2029.5%16-2081.6%39813

Simulation Line Covers

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The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
In 1000 simulated games, Connecticut covered the spread 653 times, while Indiana covered the spread 347 times.
Edge against the spread=Connecticut.
In 1000 simulated games, 628 games went under the total, while 372 games went over the total.
Edge against the total=Under.
In 1000 simulated games, Indiana won the game straight up 721 times, while Connecticut won 257 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Connecticut covered the first half line 642 times, while Indiana covered the first half line 318 times.
Edge against the first half line=Connecticut.
In 1000 simulated games, 630 games went under the first half total, while 370 games went over the first half total.
Edge against the first half total=Under.
In 1000 simulated games, Connecticut covered the 4 point teaser line 758 times, and failed to cover 242 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Indiana covered the 4 point teaser line 462 times, and failed to cover 538 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 482 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 518 failed to go over.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 726 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 274 failed to go under.
No Edge.

Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection

Trends Favoring Indiana.
Bet on Indiana on the money line when they grab 4 to 9 more rebounds than their opponents in a game.
Indiana record since the 2024 season: 12-3 (80%) with an average money line of -104. (+13.1 unit$, ROI=83.4%)
The average score of these games was Fever 87.1, Opponents 80.1.
Bet on Indiana on the 1st half line when they grab 4 to 9 more rebounds than their opponents in a game.
Indiana record on the 1st half line since the 2024 season: 13-2 (87%) with an average 1st half line of +0.5. (+10.8 unit$, ROI=65.5%)
The average 1st half score of these games was Fever 45.7, Opponents 39.5.
Trends Favoring Connecticut.
Bet against Indiana on the money line in games where they commit 13 to 18 turnovers.
Indiana record during the 2025 season: 4-8 (33%) with an average money line of -261. (-22.2 unit$, ROI=-70.9%)
The average score of these games was Fever 80.6, Opponents 79.6.
Glossary of Terms

Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.

Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.

Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.

Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.

Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.

H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.

3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.

Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.

FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.

Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.

Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.

OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.

TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.