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| Friday, 05/16/2025 7:30 PM (ET) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gm# | Record | Open | Latest | ML | 1H | |
 MIN | 601 | -3.5 | -3.5 | -165 | -2 | |
 DAL | 602 | 154.5 | 154.5 | +145 | 78.5 | |
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Tip SheetSimulation & Ratings🔒Betting Systems🔒Team Trends🔒Team StatsPlayers Stats & InjuriesSchedule & ResultsHead-to-Head🔒Coaches🔒
WNBA Simulation & Power Ratings |
This page features detailed power rating line projections alongside StatSharp's advanced game simulations, each offering precise projected scores and game statistics, estimated fair market lines, positive expected value percentages, and projected hit rates against both the side and total lines. Both sections clearly identify potential betting advantages by highlighting significant value edges when they occur. Use this comprehensive analysis to confidently identify the strongest wagering opportunities available.
Power Rating Projections |
Compare team strength with power ratings based on recent results versus expectations. Identify potential advantages where ratings differ from the actual line.
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| Power Rating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teams | Rating | Estimate | Actual | Edge |
| MIN | 87 | -10 | -3.5 | MIN (+6.5) |
| DAL | 75 | |||
Game Simulation Results |
This table shows projected scores and stats from simulations, including shooting, free throws, and rebounding. Edges highlight potential advantages versus the current line.
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores, Edges | Shooting | 3pt Shooting | Free Throws | Rebounding | |||||||||||
| Teams | Score | Edge | H1Score | Edge | 3FGM-A | Pct. | 3FGM-A | Pct. | FTM-A | Pct. | Tot. | OFF | TO | ||
| MIN | 89 | MIN (+3.5) | Ov (+17.7) | 45 | MIN (+1) | Ov (+7.9) | 33-67 | 49.5% | 9-23 | 39.5% | 13-16 | 82.1% | 40 | 7 | 13 |
| DAL | 83 | 42 | 31-71 | 44.4% | 7-20 | 35.6% | 13-17 | 76.3% | 43 | 11 | 14 | ||||
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| The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total. | |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Minnesota covered the spread 580 times, while Dallas covered the spread 420 times. Edge against the spread=Minnesota. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 889 games went over the total, while 111 games went under the total. Edge against the total=Over. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Minnesota won the game straight up 656 times, while Dallas won 320 times. Edge on the money line=Minnesota. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Minnesota covered the first half line 523 times, while Dallas covered the first half line 442 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 782 games went over the first half total, while 218 games went under the first half total. Edge against the first half total=Over. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Dallas covered the 4 point teaser line 521 times, and failed to cover 479 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, Minnesota covered the 4 point teaser line 680 times, and failed to cover 320 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 935 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 65 failed to go over. Edge against the 4 point teaser total=Over. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 170 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 830 failed to go under. No Edge. |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
| Trends Favoring Minnesota. | |
|---|---|
| Bet on Minnesota when they score 88 or more points in a game. Minnesota record since the 2024 season: 16-2 (89%) ATS with an average line of -1.6. (+13.8 unit$, ROI=69.7%). The average score of these games was Lynx 94.4, Opponents 84.3. |
| Bet on Minnesota when they make 49% of their shots or better in a game. Minnesota record since the 2024 season: 16-2 (89%) ATS with an average line of -1.6. (+13.8 unit$, ROI=69.7%). The average score of these games was Lynx 90.7, Opponents 79.2. |
| Bet against Dallas when they allow 88 or more points in a game. Dallas record since the 2024 season: 5-21 (19%) ATS with an average line of +5.2. (-18.1 unit$, ROI=-63.3%). The average score of these games was Wings 87.5, Opponents 97.7. |
| Bet against Dallas when their opponents make 49% of their shots or better in a game. Dallas record since the 2024 season: 3-15 (17%) ATS with an average line of +3.4. (-13.5 unit$, ROI=-68.2%). The average score of these games was Wings 89.1, Opponents 97.9. |
| Bet on Minnesota on the money line when they score 88 or more points in a game. Minnesota record since the 2024 season: 17-1 (94%) with an average money line of -197. (+16.9 unit$, ROI=47.6%) The average score of these games was Lynx 94.4, Opponents 84.3. |
| Bet on Minnesota on the money line when they make 49% of their shots or better in a game. Minnesota record since the 2024 season: 17-1 (94%) with an average money line of -204. (+20.9 unit$, ROI=56.7%) The average score of these games was Lynx 90.7, Opponents 79.2. |
| Bet on Minnesota on the money line in games where they force 13 to 18 turnovers. Minnesota record since the 2024 season: 23-7 (77%) with an average money line of -193. (+18.1 unit$, ROI=31.3%) The average score of these games was Lynx 81.7, Opponents 74.1. |
| Bet against Dallas on the money line when they grab 8 to 12 offensive rebounds in a game. Dallas record since the 2024 season: 1-16 (6%) with an average money line of +266. (-16.1 unit$, ROI=-94.4%) The average score of these games was Wings 81.1, Opponents 92.8. |
| Bet against Dallas on the money line when they allow 88 or more points in a game. Dallas record since the 2023 season: 9-36 (20%) with an average money line of +154. (-42.0 unit$, ROI=-93.3%) The average score of these games was Wings 88.9, Opponents 96.8. |
| Bet against Dallas on the money line when they make 40% to 44% of their shots in a game. Dallas record since the 2024 season: 1-10 (9%) with an average money line of +170. (-12.7 unit$, ROI=-115.5%) The average score of these games was Wings 79.9, Opponents 89.9. |
| Bet against Dallas on the money line in games where they commit 13 to 18 turnovers. Dallas record since the 2024 season: 3-21 (13%) with an average money line of +222. (-21.6 unit$, ROI=-90.0%) The average score of these games was Wings 82.0, Opponents 91.4. |
| Bet against Dallas on the money line when they commit around the same number of turnovers as opponents. Dallas record since the 2024 season: 2-12 (14%) with an average money line of +186. (-11.5 unit$, ROI=-81.8%) The average score of these games was Wings 83.4, Opponents 91.6. |
| Bet on Minnesota in road games on the 1st half line when they make 49% of their shots or better in a game. Minnesota record on the 1st half line since the 2024 season: 9-1 (90%) with an average 1st half line of +0.5. (+7.9 unit$, ROI=65.3%) The average 1st half score of these games was Lynx 47.0, Opponents 39.5. |
| Trends Favoring Over. | |
|---|---|
| Bet over the total in Minnesota games when they score 88 or more points in a game. The Over's record since the 2024 season: 18-0 (100%) with an average over/under of 162.2. (+18.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was Lynx 94.4, Opponents 84.3. |
| Bet over the total in Minnesota games when they score 88 to 92 points in a game. The Over's record since the 2024 season: 8-0 (100%) with an average over/under of 161.1. (+8.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was Lynx 89.4, Opponents 80.5. |
| Bet over the total in Dallas games when they score 82 to 87 points in a game. The Over's record since the 2024 season: 9-0 (100%) with an average over/under of 167.1. (+9.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was Wings 84.8, Opponents 91.1. |
| Bet over the total in Dallas games when they allow 88 or more points in a game. The Over's record since the 2024 season: 22-4 (85%) with an average over/under of 170.3. (+17.6 unit$, ROI=61.5%) The average score of these games was Wings 87.5, Opponents 97.7. |
| Bet over the total in Dallas road games when they allow 88 to 92 points in a game. The Over's record since the 2023 season: 8-0 (100%) with an average over/under of 168.2. (+8.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was Wings 90.1, Opponents 89.8. |
| Bet over the total in Dallas games when their opponents make 49% of their shots or better in a game. The Over's record since the 2024 season: 16-2 (89%) with an average over/under of 170.0. (+13.8 unit$, ROI=69.7%) The average score of these games was Wings 89.1, Opponents 97.9. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Minnesota road games when they grab 37 to 41 rebounds in a game. The 1st half Over's record since the 2023 season: 15-2 (88%) with an average 1st half over/under of 81.5. (+12.8 unit$, ROI=68.4%) The average score of these games was Lynx 44.2, Opponents 43.8. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Minnesota road games when they score 88 to 92 points in a game. The 1st half Over's record since the 2023 season: 8-0 (100%) with an average 1st half over/under of 82.5. (+8.0 unit$, ROI=80.8%) The average score of these games was Lynx 47.9, Opponents 42.1. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Minnesota games when they score 88 or more points in a game. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 15-3 (83%) with an average 1st half over/under of 82.0. (+11.7 unit$, ROI=59.1%) The average score of these games was Lynx 48.5, Opponents 41.8. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Minnesota games when they make 49% of their shots or better in a game. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 15-3 (83%) with an average 1st half over/under of 81.0. (+11.7 unit$, ROI=59.1%) The average score of these games was Lynx 47.4, Opponents 39.8. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Dallas games when they grab 42 to 46 rebounds in a game. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 11-1 (92%) with an average 1st half over/under of 84.5. (+9.9 unit$, ROI=75.0%) The average score of these games was Wings 42.4, Opponents 45.5. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Dallas games when they score 82 to 87 points in a game. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 8-0 (100%) with an average 1st half over/under of 84.5. (+8.0 unit$, ROI=80.8%) The average score of these games was Wings 44.4, Opponents 47.9. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Dallas games when their opponents make 49% of their shots or better in a game. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 17-1 (94%) with an average 1st half over/under of 86.0. (+15.9 unit$, ROI=80.3%) The average score of these games was Wings 44.2, Opponents 49.1. |
Glossary of Terms
Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.
Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.
Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.
Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.
H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.
3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.
FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.
Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.
OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.
TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.