NHL Game Simulation Projections |
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| Wednesday, April 30, 2025 |
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||||
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| 7:00 PM | Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | |||||||||||||
| Matchup | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST | ||||
 MON | DOBES | 1.80 | +160 | 38.5% | -101 | 50.2% | MON (+11.8%) | 6o-10 | 3.6 | 27 | 4-1 | 3 | |||||
 WAS | THOMPSON | 1.79 | -185 | 64.9% | +101 | 49.8% | 6u-10 | 3.6 | UN (+2.4) | 31 | 3-1 | 3 | |||||
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||||
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| 7:30 PM | Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | |||||||||||||
| Matchup | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST | ||||
 FLA | BOBROVSKY | 1.12 | -110 | 52.4% | +349 | 22.3% | 5.5o-10 | 3.5 | 28 | 3-1 | 2 | ||||||
 TBL | VASILEVSKIY | 2.41 | -110 | 52.4% | -349 | 77.7% | TBL (+25.4%) | 5.5u-10 | 3.5 | UN (+2.0) | 26 | 4-1 | 5 | ||||
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||||
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| 9:30 PM | Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | |||||||||||||
| Matchup | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST | ||||
 STL | BINNINGTON | 2.07 | +150 | 40.0% | -103 | 50.7% | STL (+10.7%) | 5.5o+20 | 4.1 | 25 | 3-1 | 4 | |||||
 WPG | HELLEBUYCK | 2.03 | -170 | 63.0% | +103 | 49.3% | 5.5u-40 | 4.1 | UN (+1.4) | 26 | 3-1 | 4 | |||||
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| Thursday, May 1, 2025 |
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||||
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| 7:00 PM | Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | |||||||||||||
| Matchup | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST | ||||
 TOR | STOLARZ | 2.87 | -105 | 51.2% | -216 | 68.4% | TOR (+17.2%) | 5.5oev | 4.7 | 30 | 3-1 | 5 | |||||
 OTT | ULLMARK | 1.79 | -115 | 53.5% | +216 | 31.6% | 5.5u-20 | 4.7 | UN (+0.8) | 30 | 4-1 | 3 | |||||
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7:30 PM | Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | |||||||||||||
| Matchup | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST | ||||
 LVG | HILL | 1.80 | -160 | 61.5% | -101 | 50.1% | 5.5o-10 | 3.6 | 33 | 3-1 | 3 | ||||||
 MIN | GUSTAVSSON | 1.80 | +140 | 41.7% | +101 | 49.9% | MIN (+8.2%) | 5.5u-10 | 3.6 | UN (+1.9) | 28 | 3-1 | 3 | ||||
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9:30 PM | Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | |||||||||||||
| Matchup | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST | ||||
 DAL | OETTINGER | 1.59 | +160 | 38.5% | +312 | 24.3% | 6o-20 | 4.8 | 27 | 4-1 | 3 | ||||||
 COL | BLACKWOOD | 3.18 | -180 | 64.3% | -312 | 75.7% | COL (+11.4%) | 6uev | 4.8 | UN (+1.2) | 38 | 4-1 | 6 | ||||
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||||
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| 10:00 PM | Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | |||||||||||||
| Matchup | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST | ||||
 LAK | KUEMPER | 2.41 | +140 | 41.7% | -166 | 62.5% | LAK (+20.8%) | 6o-10 | 4.2 | 29 | 4-1 | 4 | |||||
 EDM | PICKARD | 1.77 | -160 | 61.5% | +166 | 37.5% | 6u-10 | 4.2 | UN (+1.8) | 33 | 4-1 | 3 | |||||
Matchup: The teams participating in the game simulation.
Goalies: The starting goaltenders for each team in the simulated matchup.
Score: The projected final score based on the simulation.
ML (Money Line): The odds for betting on the team to win straight up.
B.E. (Break-Even %): The win probability needed for a bettor to break even at the listed money line.
Win %: The team’s win probability based on simulation results.
Edge: The calculated difference between the actual betting odds and the estimated odds from the simulation.
O/U (Over/Under): The total goals set by sportsbooks for the game.
Est.: The estimated total goals scored based on simulation results.
SOG (Shots on Goal): The projected number of shots on goal for each team.
PP (Power Plays): The projected number of power play goals for the team.
AST (Assists): The projected number of assists for the team in the game.
Updated: The most recent date when the simulation data was last updated.
Note: All projections are based on proprietary simulation models and are updated regularly to reflect current game conditions and team performance.