More NHL Games |
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| Tuesday, 05/20/2025 8:00 PM | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHL Playoffs - Conference Finals - Best Of 7 - Game 1 | |||||||
| Record | Starter | Open | Latest | ||||
| Gm# | W-L-OTL PTS | Goalie | ML | O/U | ML | O/U | |
 FLA | 53 | 55-35-4, 114 pts. | BOBROVSKY | +105 | 5.5e-10 | +105 | 5.5o+10 |
 CAR | 54 | 55-31-6, 116 pts. | ANDERSEN | -125 | 5.5u-20 | -125 | 5.5u-30 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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NHL Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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| Teams | Actual Line | Estimated Line | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rating | Goalie | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge% | |
| FLA | 4.29 | BOBROVSKY | +105 | 48.8% | -118 | 54.2% | FLA (+5.4%) |
| CAR | 3.85 | ANDERSEN | -125 | 55.6% | +-118 | 45.8% | |
Game Simulation Results |
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | ||||||||||
| Teams | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST |
| FLA | BOBROVSKY | 1.66 | +105 | 48.8% | +124 | 44.6% | 5.5o+10 | 3.5 | 29 | 4-1 | 3 | ||
| CAR | ANDERSEN | 1.89 | -125 | 55.6% | -124 | 55.4% | 5.5u-30 | 3.5 | UN (+2.0) | 31 | 4-1 | 3 | |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
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| Trends Favoring Florida | |
|---|---|
 | Bet on Florida on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Florida record during the 2025 season: 39-4 (91%) with an average money line of -189. (+33.2 unit$, ROI=40.9%) The average score of these games was Panthers 3.5, Opponents 1.1. |
| Bet against Carolina on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Carolina record during the 2025 season: 5-27 (16%) with an average money line of -185. (-45.5 unit$, ROI=-77.0%) The average score of these games was Hurricanes 1.3, Opponents 3.3. |
| Bet against Carolina on the money line when they score 2 goals. Carolina record since the 2024 season: 7-22 (24%) with an average money line of -167. (-29.1 unit$, ROI=-60.2%) The average score of these games was Hurricanes 2.0, Opponents 3.3. |
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| Trends Favoring Carolina | |
|---|---|
| Bet against Florida on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Florida record during the 2025 season: 8-29 (22%) with an average money line of -165. (-39.3 unit$, ROI=-64.2%) The average score of these games was Panthers 1.3, Opponents 2.9. |
| Bet on Carolina on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Carolina record during the 2025 season: 42-1 (98%) with an average money line of -216. (+40.2 unit$, ROI=43.3%) The average score of these games was Hurricanes 3.8, Opponents 1.3. |
| Bet on Carolina on the money line when they allow 2 goals. Carolina record during the 2025 season: 17-1 (94%) with an average money line of -221. (+15.2 unit$, ROI=38.2%) The average score of these games was Hurricanes 4.1, Opponents 2.0. |
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| Trends Favoring Under | |
|---|---|
 | Bet under the total in Florida games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 29-7 (81%) with an average over/under of 5.7, money line=-113. (+21.4 unit$, ROI=51.3%) The average score of these games was Panthers 1.3, Opponents 2.9. |
| Bet under the total in Florida games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 31-11 (74%) with an average over/under of 5.8, money line=-110. (+19.4 unit$, ROI=40.9%) The average score of these games was Panthers 3.5, Opponents 1.1. |
| Bet under the total in Carolina games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 24-4 (86%) with an average over/under of 5.9, money line=-112. (+19.4 unit$, ROI=53.8%) The average score of these games was Hurricanes 1.3, Opponents 3.3. |
| Bet under the total in Carolina games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 30-9 (77%) with an average over/under of 5.8, money line=-109. (+20.4 unit$, ROI=43.6%) The average score of these games was Hurricanes 3.8, Opponents 1.3. |
Teams: The competing teams in the matchup.
Goalies: The starting goaltenders for each team.
Betting Lines
ML (Money Line): The odds for each team to win the game outright.
B.E. (Break-Even %): The implied probability of winning based on the money line.
Estimated ML: The projected money line based on power ratings and goaltender performance.
Win%: The projected win probability for each team based on simulations.
Edge%: The difference between the estimated and actual betting line, indicating potential value.
Game Simulation
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on simulations.
Over/Under (O/U): The projected total goals scored in the game.
Est. O/U: The estimated over/under based on simulations.
O/U Edge: The difference between the estimated and actual over/under total.
Projected Game Stats
SOG (Shots on Goal): The projected total number of shots on goal for each team.
PP (Power Play Goals): The projected number of power play goals scored by each team.
AST (Assists): The projected total assists for each team.
Trends & Insights
Trends Favoring Team: Historical betting trends that support one team based on past performance in similar matchups.
Trends Favoring Over/Under: Historical trends indicating whether games involving these teams tend to go over or under the total.