More NHL Games |
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| Saturday, 05/10/2025 6:10 PM | |||||||
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| NHL Playoffs - Second Round - Best Of 7 - Game 3 - Series tied 1 games to 1. | |||||||
| Record | Starter | Open | Latest | ||||
| Gm# | W-L-OTL PTS | Goalie | ML | O/U | ML | O/U | |
 WAS | 67 | 56-23-10, 122 pts. | THOMPSON | +170 | 5.5o-10 | +195 | 5.5o-15 |
 CAR | 68 | 52-31-6, 110 pts. | ANDERSEN | -195 | 5.5u-10 | -235 | 5.5u-05 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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NHL Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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| Teams | Actual Line | Estimated Line | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rating | Goalie | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge% | |
| WAS | 3.39 | THOMPSON | +195 | 33.9% | -108 | 51.8% | WAS (+17.9%) |
| CAR | 3.22 | ANDERSEN | -235 | 70.1% | +-108 | 48.2% | |
Game Simulation Results |
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | ||||||||||
| Teams | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST |
| WAS | THOMPSON | 1.59 | +195 | 33.9% | +165 | 37.8% | WAS (+3.9%) | 5.5o-15 | 3.7 | 26 | 3-0 | 3 | |
| CAR | ANDERSEN | 2.15 | -235 | 70.1% | -165 | 62.2% | 5.5u-05 | 3.7 | UN (+1.8) | 35 | 4-1 | 4 | |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
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| Trends Favoring Washington | |
|---|---|
 | Bet on Washington on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Washington record during the 2025 season: 38-4 (90%) with an average money line of -140. (+35.2 unit$, ROI=59.8%) The average score of these games was Capitals 3.5, Opponents 1.4. |
| Bet on Washington on the money line when they allow 2 goals. Washington record since the 2024 season: 29-7 (81%) with an average money line of -122. (+22.1 unit$, ROI=50.3%) The average score of these games was Capitals 3.5, Opponents 2.0. |
| Bet against Carolina on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Carolina record during the 2025 season: 5-27 (16%) with an average money line of -185. (-45.5 unit$, ROI=-77.0%) The average score of these games was Hurricanes 1.3, Opponents 3.3. |
| Bet against Carolina on the money line when they score 2 goals. Carolina record since the 2024 season: 7-22 (24%) with an average money line of -167. (-29.1 unit$, ROI=-60.2%) The average score of these games was Hurricanes 2.0, Opponents 3.3. |
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| Trends Favoring Carolina | |
|---|---|
| Bet against Washington on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Washington record during the 2025 season: 3-24 (11%) with an average money line of -122. (-29.7 unit$, ROI=-90.4%) The average score of these games was Capitals 1.3, Opponents 3.2. |
| Bet against Washington on the money line when they score 2 goals. Washington record during the 2025 season: 2-10 (17%) with an average money line of -133. (-12.4 unit$, ROI=-77.5%) The average score of these games was Capitals 2.0, Opponents 3.3. |
| Bet on Carolina on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Carolina record during the 2025 season: 39-1 (98%) with an average money line of -217. (+37.2 unit$, ROI=42.9%) The average score of these games was Hurricanes 3.8, Opponents 1.3. |
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| Trends Favoring Under | |
|---|---|
 | Bet under the total in Washington games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 29-9 (76%) with an average over/under of 5.9, money line=-110. (+20.0 unit$, ROI=43.4%) The average score of these games was Capitals 3.5, Opponents 1.4. |
| Bet under the total in Washington games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 20-5 (80%) with an average over/under of 5.9, money line=-109. (+14.9 unit$, ROI=50.7%) The average score of these games was Capitals 1.3, Opponents 3.2. |
| Bet under the total in Carolina games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 24-4 (86%) with an average over/under of 5.9, money line=-112. (+19.4 unit$, ROI=53.8%) The average score of these games was Hurricanes 1.3, Opponents 3.3. |
| Bet under the total in Carolina games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 28-8 (78%) with an average over/under of 5.9, money line=-108. (+19.6 unit$, ROI=45.2%) The average score of these games was Hurricanes 3.8, Opponents 1.3. |
Teams: The competing teams in the matchup.
Goalies: The starting goaltenders for each team.
Betting Lines
ML (Money Line): The odds for each team to win the game outright.
B.E. (Break-Even %): The implied probability of winning based on the money line.
Estimated ML: The projected money line based on power ratings and goaltender performance.
Win%: The projected win probability for each team based on simulations.
Edge%: The difference between the estimated and actual betting line, indicating potential value.
Game Simulation
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on simulations.
Over/Under (O/U): The projected total goals scored in the game.
Est. O/U: The estimated over/under based on simulations.
O/U Edge: The difference between the estimated and actual over/under total.
Projected Game Stats
SOG (Shots on Goal): The projected total number of shots on goal for each team.
PP (Power Play Goals): The projected number of power play goals scored by each team.
AST (Assists): The projected total assists for each team.
Trends & Insights
Trends Favoring Team: Historical betting trends that support one team based on past performance in similar matchups.
Trends Favoring Over/Under: Historical trends indicating whether games involving these teams tend to go over or under the total.