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| Tuesday, 04/29/2025 7:30 PM | |||||||
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| NHL Playoffs - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 5 - Carolina leads series 3 games to 1. | |||||||
| Record | Starter | Open | Latest | ||||
| Gm# | W-L-OTL PTS | Goalie | ML | O/U | ML | O/U | |
 NJD | 23 | 43-36-8, 94 pts. | MARKSTROM | +215 | 5.5o+10 | +240 | 5.5e-10 |
 CAR | 24 | 51-30-6, 108 pts. | KOCHETKOV | -255 | 5.5u-30 | -275 | 5.5u-20 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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NHL Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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| Teams | Actual Line | Estimated Line | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rating | Goalie | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge% | |
| NJD | 2.09 | MARKSTROM | +240 | 29.4% | +213 | 31.9% | NJD (+2.5%) |
| CAR | 3.29 | KOCHETKOV | -275 | 73.3% | -213 | 68.1% | |
Game Simulation Results |
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | ||||||||||
| Teams | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST |
| NJD | MARKSTROM | 1.77 | +240 | 29.4% | +147 | 40.5% | NJD (+11.1%) | 5.5e-10 | 4.0 | 25 | 3-1 | 3 | |
| CAR | KOCHETKOV | 2.24 | -275 | 73.3% | -147 | 59.5% | 5.5u-20 | 4.0 | UN (+1.5) | 33 | 4-1 | 4 | |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
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| Trends Favoring New Jersey | |
|---|---|
 | Bet on New Jersey on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. New Jersey record during the 2025 season: 35-6 (85%) with an average money line of -163. (+25.2 unit$, ROI=37.6%) The average score of these games was Devils 3.4, Opponents 1.2. |
| Bet on New Jersey in away or neutral games on the money line when they allow 2 goals. New Jersey record since the 2024 season: 13-1 (93%) with an average money line of -140. (+13.4 unit$, ROI=68.3%) The average score of these games was Devils 4.4, Opponents 2.0. |
| Bet against Carolina on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Carolina record during the 2025 season: 4-26 (13%) with an average money line of -187. (-44.9 unit$, ROI=-80.0%) The average score of these games was Hurricanes 1.3, Opponents 3.4. |
| Bet against Carolina on the money line when they score 2 goals. Carolina record during the 2025 season: 4-12 (25%) with an average money line of -178. (-17.2 unit$, ROI=-60.6%) The average score of these games was Hurricanes 2.0, Opponents 3.2. |
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| Trends Favoring Carolina | |
|---|---|
| Bet against New Jersey on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. New Jersey record during the 2025 season: 1-32 (3%) with an average money line of -143. (-49.5 unit$, ROI=-105.2%) The average score of these games was Devils 1.2, Opponents 3.5. |
| Bet against New Jersey on the money line when they score 2 goals. New Jersey record during the 2025 season: 1-14 (7%) with an average money line of -158. (-22.9 unit$, ROI=-96.6%) The average score of these games was Devils 2.0, Opponents 3.9. |
| Bet on Carolina on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Carolina record during the 2025 season: 38-1 (97%) with an average money line of -219. (+36.2 unit$, ROI=42.4%) The average score of these games was Hurricanes 3.8, Opponents 1.3. |
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| Trends Favoring Under | |
|---|---|
 | Bet under the total in New Jersey games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 34-5 (87%) with an average over/under of 6.0, money line=-112. (+28.4 unit$, ROI=61.8%) The average score of these games was Devils 3.4, Opponents 1.2. |
| Bet under the total in New Jersey games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record since the 2024 season: 47-14 (77%) with an average over/under of 6.2, money line=-111. (+31.7 unit$, ROI=45.3%) The average score of these games was Devils 1.3, Opponents 3.5. |
| Bet under the total in Carolina games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 22-4 (85%) with an average over/under of 5.9, money line=-114. (+17.2 unit$, ROI=50.4%) The average score of these games was Hurricanes 1.3, Opponents 3.4. |
| Bet under the total in Carolina games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 27-8 (77%) with an average over/under of 5.9, money line=-109. (+18.5 unit$, ROI=43.6%) The average score of these games was Hurricanes 3.8, Opponents 1.3. |
Teams: The competing teams in the matchup.
Goalies: The starting goaltenders for each team.
Betting Lines
ML (Money Line): The odds for each team to win the game outright.
B.E. (Break-Even %): The implied probability of winning based on the money line.
Estimated ML: The projected money line based on power ratings and goaltender performance.
Win%: The projected win probability for each team based on simulations.
Edge%: The difference between the estimated and actual betting line, indicating potential value.
Game Simulation
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on simulations.
Over/Under (O/U): The projected total goals scored in the game.
Est. O/U: The estimated over/under based on simulations.
O/U Edge: The difference between the estimated and actual over/under total.
Projected Game Stats
SOG (Shots on Goal): The projected total number of shots on goal for each team.
PP (Power Play Goals): The projected number of power play goals scored by each team.
AST (Assists): The projected total assists for each team.
Trends & Insights
Trends Favoring Team: Historical betting trends that support one team based on past performance in similar matchups.
Trends Favoring Over/Under: Historical trends indicating whether games involving these teams tend to go over or under the total.