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Saturday, 08/30/2025 7:30 PM 
 Gm#RecordOpenLatestML1H
 MIZZS
 Missouri State
2170-159.559.530
 USC
 USC
2187-6-31.5-32.5-18.5

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Tip SheetSimulation & Ratings🔒Betting Systems🔒Trends & Betting Records🔒Team StatsPlayers Stats & Injuries🔒Schedule & ResultsHead-to-Head🔒Coaches🔒

NCAAF Tip Sheet

Your one-stop tip sheet for all the key information you need: top systems, team and coaching trends, expert simulations with value-based ratings, plus key stats, injuries, and more. Click the matchup content menu links above to dig deeper!

Game Betting Records

This section presents season-long betting performance across multiple wager types—spread, money line, over/under, team totals, and teaser outcomes—grouped by game conditions relevant to the current matchup. It includes win‑loss‑tie and unit‑profit metrics for each category under scenarios such as all games, home and away games, and non‑conference matchups. By summarizing these key performance metrics, it helps bettors understand how past trends inform their current wagering decisions.

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 Missouri State 2024 Game Betting Records
  Game ATS Money Line Over/Under Team Total 6 Point Teaser W-L 7 Point Teaser W-L 10 Point Teaser W-L
Game Condition W-L-T Unit$ W-L-T Unit$ O-U-T Ov$ Un$ Ov-Un Ov$ Un$ Side Over Under Side Over Under Side Over Under
All Games 5-7-0 -0.3 8-4-0 +0.3 6-6-0 -0.1 -0.1 0-0 0.0 0.0 9-3 11-1 6-6 9-3 11-1 6-6 9-3 11-1 6-6
Away Games 4-3-0 +0.1 4-3-0 +0.2 4-3-0 +0.1 -0.2 0-0 0.0 0.0 6-1 7-0 3-4 6-1 7-0 3-4 6-1 7-0 3-4
NonConference Games 2-2-0 0.0 2-2-0 0.0 1-3-0 -0.6 +0.5 0-0 0.0 0.0 3-1 3-1 3-1 3-1 3-1 3-1 3-1 3-1 3-1
Over the past 2 months 0-0-0 0.0 0-0-0 0.0 0-0-0 0.0 0.0 0-0 0.0 0.0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Over the last month 0-0-0 0.0 0-0-0 0.0 0-0-0 0.0 0.0 0-0 0.0 0.0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0

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 USC 2024 Game Betting Records
  Game ATS Money Line Over/Under Team Total 6 Point Teaser W-L 7 Point Teaser W-L 10 Point Teaser W-L
Game Condition W-L-T Unit$ W-L-T Unit$ O-U-T Ov$ Un$ Ov-Un Ov$ Un$ Side Over Under Side Over Under Side Over Under
All Games 8-5-0 +0.2 7-6-0 -0.2 6-6-1 0.0 0.0 6-7 -0.2 0.0 8-5 9-4 8-5 9-2 9-4 8-4 12-1 10-3 10-2
Home Games 5-1-0 +0.6 4-2-0 +0.3 4-2-0 +0.3 -0.4 5-1 +0.6 -0.8 5-1 5-1 3-3 6-0 5-1 3-3 6-0 5-1 4-2
NonConference Games 3-1-0 +0.4 3-1-0 +0.8 2-2-0 -0.1 0.0 3-1 +0.4 -0.6 3-1 2-2 2-2 4-0 2-2 2-2 4-0 2-2 2-1
Over the past 2 months 0-0-0 0.0 0-0-0 0.0 0-0-0 0.0 0.0 0-0 0.0 0.0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Over the last month 0-0-0 0.0 0-0-0 0.0 0-0-0 0.0 0.0 0-0 0.0 0.0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0

Team Scoring and Summary Stats

Get a detailed breakdown of the latest performance metrics, including scoring averages for the game, halves, and quarters, along with key summary stats with all data reflecting current game conditions.

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 Missouri State 2024 Season Performance Summary
    Game 1st Half 2nd Half 1st Qtr. 2nd Qtr. 3rd Qtr. 4th Qtr. Team Statistics Opponent Statistics  
Condition W-L PF PA PF PA PF PA PF PA PF PA PF PA PF PA Plays-TY YPP TO Plays-TY YPP TO TOD
All Games 8-4 34.8 30.2 17.4 13.8 17.4 14.5 6.9 5.8 10.5 8.1 9.1 7.3 8.3 9.1 63.3-424.8 6.7 1.1 67.5-391.8 5.8 1.7 +0.6
Away Games 4-3 37.0 33.4 16.3 14.1 20.7 18.0 6.4 6.7 9.9 7.4 11.4 9.0 9.3 10.3 64.9-440.4 6.8 1.0 68.3-416.3 6.1 1.6 +0.6
NonConference Games 2-2 29.3 27.3 12.0 8.3 17.3 10.5 7.0 3.3 5.0 5.0 8.8 5.3 8.5 13.8 65.5-388.8 5.9 0.8 63.8-354.8 5.6 1.8 +1.0
Over the past 2 months 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0-0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0-0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Over the last month 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0-0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0-0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

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 USC 2024 Season Performance Summary
    Game 1st Half 2nd Half 1st Qtr. 2nd Qtr. 3rd Qtr. 4th Qtr. Team Statistics Opponent Statistics  
Condition W-L PF PA PF PA PF PA PF PA PF PA PF PA PF PA Plays-TY YPP TO Plays-TY YPP TO TOD
All Games 7-6 30.2 24.1 13.8 10.6 16.3 14.8 4.2 4.4 9.6 6.2 7.5 7.4 8.8 5.8 68.7-438.2 6.4 1.6 64.7-377.1 5.8 1.4 -0.2
Home Games 4-2 36.8 23.8 18.8 11.2 18.0 16.3 7.5 4.5 11.3 6.7 8.7 8.2 9.3 4.0 68.5-477.8 7.0 1.5 64.8-362.3 5.6 1.7 +0.2
NonConference Games 3-1 36.3 25.0 14.5 7.8 21.8 22.5 2.5 3.5 12.0 4.3 6.0 11.3 15.8 6.0 70.3-488.8 7.0 1.5 61.8-372.5 6.0 1.5 0.0
Over the past 2 months 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0-0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0-0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Over the last month 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0-0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0-0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Offensive and Defensive Statistics

Get comprehensive offensive and defensive football stats, including scoring, rushing, passing, and total offense, all updated to reflect current game conditions.

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 Missouri State 2024 Offensive and Defensive Statistics
    Rushing Passing Total 3rd Down Conv. 4th Down Conv.
Condition PPG FD TOP RA-RY YPR PC-PA Pct PY YPC YPA #-YDS YPP YPPT Conv-# Pct. Conv-# Pct.
Offense - All Games 34.8 21.6 29.65 31.3 -118.6 3.8 22.3-32.0 69.5% 306.2 13.8 9.6 63.3-424.8 6.7 12.2 5.1-11.7 43.6% 0.5-1.1 46.2%
vs. Opponents Avg. Defense 29.5 20.4 29.55 34.3-160.2 4.6 19.3-30.4 63.6% 236.5 7.8 7.8 64.8-396.6 6.1 14.1 12.8-5.3 42.3% 1.6-0.8 51.7%
Defense - All Games 30.2 22.0 30.35 36.8-178.0 4.8 18.6-30.8 60.4% 213.8 7.0 7.0 67.5-391.8 5.8 13.0 5.7-13.0 43.6% 1.2-1.8 66.7%
vs. Opponents Avg. Offense 27.2 19.6 30.44 36.8-168.3 4.6 17.8-28.6 62.3% 203.2 11.5 7.1 65.4-371.5 5.7 14.1 13.7-5.8 42.3% 1.7-0.9 51.7%

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 USC 2024 Offensive and Defensive Statistics
    Rushing Passing Total 3rd Down Conv. 4th Down Conv.
Condition PPG FD TOP RA-RY YPR PC-PA Pct PY YPC YPA #-YDS YPP YPPT Conv-# Pct. Conv-# Pct.
Offense - All Games 30.2 23.3 30.37 27.7 -146.2 5.3 25.8-41.0 62.9% 291.9 11.3 7.1 68.7-438.2 6.4 14.5 5.7-12.7 44.8% 0.6-1.3 47.1%
vs. Opponents Avg. Defense 23.1 18.9 29.22 33.3-135.3 4.0 18.5-30.7 60.3% 211.1 6.9 6.9 64.0-346.4 5.4 15.4 13.5-5.4 42.2% 1.7-0.8 57.3%
Defense - All Games 24.1 20.2 29.63 31.1-141.2 4.5 22.8-33.6 67.7% 235.8 7.0 7.0 64.7-377.1 5.8 15.7 4.3-12.8 33.5% 1.5-2.7 57.1%
vs. Opponents Avg. Offense 27.0 20.8 30.78 34.4-151.9 4.4 20.5-32.2 63.7% 229.5 11.2 7.1 66.6-381.5 5.7 14.4 13.4-5.7 42.2% 1.7-1.0 57.3%

Returning Player and Coach Info

This table provides a summary of returning players and coaches from last season, including the number of starters and lettermen returning, as well as the tenure of each team's head coach.

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 Starters ReturningTotal Lettermen ReturningHead Coach
TeamsTotalOffenseQBDefenseNumberPct. Since
 MIZZS Missouri State94Y52655.3%Ryan Beard2023
 USC USC169Y73141.3%Lincoln Riley2022

Stadium Weather Forecast

Stay informed with comprehensive stadium weather forecasts for all football games, highlighting temperature, wind, and precipitation details—essential insights for fans and bettors seeking an edge in game-day decision-making.

Key Player Injuries

Stay updated with each college football team's key impact player injury details. Find statuses, injury types, and game effect for a competitive edge in football insights.

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There are no current NCAAF injuries of significance for this game.

2025 Season Player Statistics

Explore a complete breakdown of key football player stats, including rushing, passing, and receiving. Identify trends in performance and uncover strategic insights to enhance your handicapping or DFS analysis. Stay ahead of the game with real-time data and in-depth player metrics.

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 Missouri State - 2024 All Games QB Statistics
  Passing Stats Rushing Stats  
Player
Pos
Class CMP ATT CPCT YDS YPC YPA >300 TD Pct INT Pct RTG ATT YDS YPR Long TD PTS FUM FL
Jacob Clark
QB
SR 262 376 69.7% 3604 13.8 9.6 6 26 6.9% 6 1.6% 169.8 79 8 0.1 38 1 6 4 2
Brock Bagozzi
QB
SR 4 5 80.0% 30 7.5 6.0 0 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 130.4 2 -17 -8.5 0 0 0 1 1

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 Missouri State - 2024 All Games Top RB Statistics
  Rushing Stats Receiving Stats  
Player
Pos
Class ATT YDS YPR Long >100 >150 TD REC YDS YPC YPT Long TD PTS FUM FL
Jacardia Wright
RB
SR 182 824 4.5 37 2 0 14 35 403 11.5 0.0 60 2 96 1 0
Jayden Becks
RB
SO 68 460 6.8 59 2 0 7 20 235 11.8 0.0 57 2 54 3 1
Iverson Young
RB
SO 8 59 7.4 28 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0 0

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 Missouri State - 2024 All Games Top Receiver Statistics
  Receiving Stats Rushing Stats  
Player
Pos
Class REC YDS YPC Long >100 >150 TD ATT YDS YPR Long TD PTS FUM FL
Hunter Wood
WR
SR 63 770 12.2 35 1 0 3 0 0 0.0 0 0 18 0 0
Jmariyae Robinson
WR
JR 38 585 15.4 44 3 0 4 8 47 5.9 23 3 42 2 2
Lance Mason
TE
JR 34 590 17.4 82 1 0 6 0 0 0.0 0 0 36 0 0
DVontae Key
WR
SR 25 406 16.2 62 0 0 3 2 21 10.5 14 0 18 1 1
James BlackStrain
WR
SR 24 368 15.3 37 0 0 3 0 0 0.0 0 0 18 0 0

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 USC - 2024 All Games QB Statistics
  Passing Stats Rushing Stats  
Player
Pos
Class CMP ATT CPCT YDS YPC YPA >300 TD Pct INT Pct RTG ATT YDS YPR Long TD PTS FUM FL
Miller Moss
QB
JR 233 362 64.4% 2555 11.0 7.1 4 18 5.0% 9 2.5% 135.1 21 -18 -0.9 9 2 12 3 2
Jayden Maiava
QB
SO 101 169 59.8% 1201 11.9 7.1 1 11 6.5% 6 3.6% 133.8 20 45 2.3 13 4 24 2 1
Jake Jensen
QB
JR 0 0 0.0% 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.0 1 -1 -1.0 0 0 0 0 0

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 USC - 2024 All Games Top RB Statistics
  Rushing Stats Receiving Stats  
Player
Pos
Class ATT YDS YPR Long >100 >150 TD REC YDS YPC YPT Long TD PTS FUM FL
Jo'Quavious Marks
RB
SR 198 1133 5.7 34 6 0 9 47 321 6.8 0.0 19 0 54 1 0
Quinten Joyner
RB
FR 63 478 7.6 15 0 0 3 12 89 7.4 0.0 10 1 24 2 1
Bryan Jackson
RB
FR 36 188 5.2 12 0 0 1 1 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 6 0 0

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 USC - 2024 All Games Top Receiver Statistics
  Receiving Stats Rushing Stats  
Player
Pos
Class REC YDS YPC Long >100 >150 TD ATT YDS YPR Long TD PTS FUM FL
Makai Lemon
WR
SO 52 764 14.7 70 2 0 3 0 0 0.0 0 0 18 0 0
Zachariah Branch
WR
JR 47 503 10.7 25 1 0 1 2 17 8.5 15 0 6 1 1
Ja'Kobi Lane
WR
SO 43 525 12.2 33 2 0 12 0 0 0.0 0 0 72 0 0
Kyron Ware-Hudson
WR
JR 38 462 12.2 21 0 0 3 0 0 0.0 0 0 18 0 0
Kyle Ford
WR
SR 26 317 12.2 23 0 0 3 0 0 0.0 0 0 18 1 0

Recent Results and Upcoming Schedule

This table displays the full season schedule, results, and betting outcomes for each game, along with team and opponent statistics for completed matchups and starting times for upcoming games.

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Missouri State - Recent Results
 Team Game StatsOpponent Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
08/30/2025 @USC @USC7:30p+32.559.5
09/06/2025 @MAR @Marshall12:00p
09/13/2025 SMU SMU12:00p
09/20/2025 UTMAR Tennessee Martin12:00p

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USC - Recent Results
 Team Game StatsOpponent Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
08/30/2025 MIZZS Missouri State7:30p-32.559.5
09/06/2025 GASO Georgia Southern12:00p
09/13/2025 @PUR @Purdue12:00p
09/20/2025 MSU Michigan State12:00p

Top Betting Systems

Betting Systems Favoring Over
Bet over - Road teams where the first half total is between 25 and 31.5 - poor passing defense from last season - allowed 255 or more passing yards/game, in weeks 0-3, with 4 or fewer defensive starters returning, in the first month of the season.
System applies to: Missouri State.

System's record since 2016: 120-64 (65.2%) with an average first half total of 28.3  (+49.6 unit$, ROI=24.5%)
The average score in these games was Team 7.2, Opponent 25.5
The system's record this season is: (0-0, 0.0 units).

Bet over - Road teams where the first half total is between 25 and 31.5 - poor passing defense from last season - allowed 255 or more passing yards/game, in weeks 0-3, with 4 or fewer defensive starters returning.
System applies to: Missouri State.

System's record since 2016: 120-64 (65.2%) with an average first half total of 28.3  (+49.6 unit$, ROI=24.5%)
The average score in these games was Team 7.2, Opponent 25.5
The system's record this season is: (0-0, 0.0 units).

Bet over - Home teams against the total - good passing team from last season - had a completion pct of 58% or better, in weeks 0-3, with 5+ more offensive starters returning than opponent, in the first month of the season.
System applies to: USC.

System's record since 2021: 158-92 (63.2%) with an average first half total of 28.2  (+56.8 unit$, ROI=20.7%)
The average score in these games was Team 25.3, Opponent 5.9
The system's record this season is: (0-0, 0.0 units).

Bet over - Home teams against the total - good passing team from last season - had a completion pct of 58% or better, in weeks 0-3, with 5+ more offensive starters returning than opponent.
System applies to: USC.

System's record since 2021: 158-92 (63.2%) with an average first half total of 28.2  (+56.8 unit$, ROI=20.7%)
The average score in these games was Team 25.3, Opponent 5.9
The system's record this season is: (0-0, 0.0 units).

Bet over - Home teams where the first half total is between 25 and 31.5 - in non-conference games, with 5+ more defensive starters returning than opponent.
System applies to: USC.

System's record since 2016: 385-233 (62.3%) with an average first half total of 28.1  (+128.7 unit$, ROI=18.9%)
The average score in these games was Team 24.1, Opponent 7.3
The system's record this season is: (0-0, 0.0 units).

Bet over - Road teams where the first half total is between 25 and 31.5 - in non-conference games, with 4 or fewer defensive starters returning.
System applies to: Missouri State.

System's record since 2016: 389-240 (61.8%) with an average first half total of 28.1  (+125 unit$, ROI=18.1%)
The average score in these games was Team 7.5, Opponent 24.0
The system's record this season is: (0-0, 0.0 units).

Bet over - Home teams where the first half total is between 25 and 31.5 - in non-conference games, with 5+ more defensive starters returning than opponent, in the first month of the season.
System applies to: USC.

System's record since 2016: 326-205 (61.4%) with an average first half total of 28  (+100.5 unit$, ROI=17.2%)
The average score in these games was Team 23.9, Opponent 7.4
The system's record this season is: (0-0, 0.0 units).

Bet over - All teams when the first half total is between 25 and 31.5 - in non-conference games, with 5+ more defensive starters returning than opponent.
System applies to: USC.

System's record since 2016: 443-280 (61.3%) with an average first half total of 28.1  (+135 unit$, ROI=17.0%)
The average score in these games was Team 22.7, Opponent 8.5
The system's record this season is: (0-0, 0.0 units).

Bet over - Road teams where the first half total is between 25 and 31.5 - in non-conference games, with 4 or fewer defensive starters returning, in the first month of the season.
System applies to: Missouri State.

System's record since 2016: 324-205 (61.2%) with an average first half total of 28.1  (+98.5 unit$, ROI=16.9%)
The average score in these games was Team 7.6, Opponent 23.8
The system's record this season is: (0-0, 0.0 units).

Bet over - Home teams where the first half total is between 25 and 31.5 - in non-conference games, with 5+ more offensive starters returning than opponent.
System applies to: USC.

System's record since 2016: 324-205 (61.2%) with an average first half total of 28.1  (+98.5 unit$, ROI=16.9%)
The average score in these games was Team 24.5, Opponent 6.9
The system's record this season is: (0-0, 0.0 units).

Bet over - Home teams where the first half total is between 25 and 31.5 - with 5+ more defensive starters returning than opponent, in the first month of the season.
System applies to: USC.

System's record since 2016: 332-213 (60.9%) with an average first half total of 28.1  (+97.7 unit$, ROI=16.3%)
The average score in these games was Team 23.7, Opponent 7.5
The system's record this season is: (0-0, 0.0 units).

Bet over - Home teams where the first half total is between 25 and 31.5 - in non-conference games, with 5+ more defensive starters returning than opponent.
System applies to: USC.

System's record since 2016: 437-284 (60.6%) with an average first half total of 28.1  (+124.6 unit$, ROI=15.7%)
The average score in these games was Team 23.4, Opponent 7.7
The system's record this season is: (0-0, 0.0 units).

Betting Systems Favoring Under
Bet under - Any team against the total - excellent offense from last season - averaged 6.1 or more yards/play, in weeks 0-3, with an experienced QB returning as starter, in the first two weeks of the season.
System applies to: USC.

System's record since 2016: 244-151 (61.8%) with an average total of 59.4  (+77.9 unit$, ROI=17.9%)
The average score in these games was Team 36.0, Opponent 18.6
The system's record this season is: (0-0, 0.0 units).

Top Team Trends

Explore top team betting trends for upcoming games, covering records vs. the spread, money line, over/under, 1st half odds, and 1st half totals. Trends displayed have a demonstrated edge against the line referenced.
Trends Favoring USC.
Bet on USC in games played on a grass field.
USC record since the 2024 season: 8-1 (89%) ATS with an average line of -5.9. (+6.9 unit$, ROI=69.7%).
The average score of these games was Trojans 33.6, Opponents 23.0.

Key Coaching Trends

Explore top team betting trends for upcoming games, covering records vs. the spread, money line, over/under, 1st half odds, and 1st half totals. Trends displayed have a demonstrated edge against the line referenced.
Key Coaching Trends Favoring Over.
Bet over the total in Lincoln Riley games when the total is between 56.5 and 63.
The Over's record as coach of USC: 8-1 (89%) with an average over/under of 60.3. (+6.9 unit$, ROI=62.7%)
The average score of these games was USC 38.1, Opponents 29.2

CFB Rating Score Projections

Explore game score projections using StatSharp's proprietary power ratings formula. Get insights on value edges against the spread, money line, over/under, and team totals.

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 Projected Score and Power RatingsAgainst SpreadMoney LineOver/Under
TeamsScoreOffRDefRLineATS%EdgeLineWin%EdgeTotalOU%Edge
 MIZZS Missouri State20361+32.556.8%MIZZS (+4.5)6.5%Over 59.560.0%OV (+8.5)
 USC USC484815-32.543.2%93.5%Under 59.540.0%

CFB Power Ratings

Compare team strength with power ratings based on recent results versus expectations. Identify potential advantages where ratings differ from the actual line.

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 Power Rating
TeamsRatingEstimateActualEdge
 MIZZS Missouri State19 MIZZS (+10.5)
 USC USC39-22-32.5