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Saturday, 05/10/2025 8:30 PM (ET) 
Western Conference - Second Round - Best Of 7 - Game 3 - Golden State leads series 1 games to 0.
 Gm#RecordOpenLatestML1H
 MIN
 Minnesota (6)
56953-35
 GSW
 Golden State (7)
57054-37NLNLNL

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NBA Simulation & Power Ratings

This page features detailed power rating line projections alongside StatSharp's advanced game simulations, each offering precise projected scores and game statistics, estimated fair market lines, positive expected value percentages, and projected hit rates against both the side and total lines. Both sections clearly identify potential betting advantages by highlighting significant value edges when they occur. Use this comprehensive analysis to confidently identify the strongest wagering opportunities available.

Power Rating Projections

Compare team strength with power ratings based on recent results versus expectations. Identify potential advantages where ratings differ from the actual line.

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 Power Rating
TeamsRatingEstimateActualEdge
 MIN Minnesota120
 GSW Golden State120-2 

Game Simulation Results

This table shows projected scores and stats from simulations, including shooting, free throws, and rebounding. Edges highlight potential advantages versus the current line.

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Average projected scores and game statistics.
 Scores, EdgesShooting   3pt ShootingFree ThrowsRebounding 
TeamsScoreEdgeH1ScoreEdge3FGM-APct.3FGM-APct.FTM-APct.Tot.OFFTO
 MIN Minnesota110 55 40-8646.8%14-3836.7%16-2177.2%511215
 GSW Golden State113 57 39-8845.1%16-4337.4%18-2280.3%521414

Simulation Line Covers

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The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
In 1000 simulated games, Golden State covered the spread 0 times, while Minnesota covered the spread 0 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 0 games went over the total, while 0 games went under the total.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Golden State won the game straight up 548 times, while Minnesota won 429 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Golden State covered the first half line 0 times, while Minnesota covered the first half line 0 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 0 games went over the first half total, while 0 games went under the first half total.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Golden State covered the 4 point teaser line 0 times, and failed to cover 0 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Minnesota covered the 4 point teaser line 0 times, and failed to cover 0 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 0 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 0 failed to go over.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 0 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 0 failed to go under.
No Edge.

Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection

Trends Favoring Under.
Bet under the 1st half total in Minnesota away or neutral games when they make 32% to 38% of their three point attempts in a game.
The 1st half Under's record during the 2025 season: 14-2 (88%) with an average 1st half over/under of 111.5. (+11.8 unit$, ROI=67.0%)
The average score of these games was Timberwolves 53.1, Opponents 48.4.
Bet under the 1st half total in Golden State games when they attempt 21 to 26 free throws in a game.
The 1st half Under's record since the 2024 season: 35-10 (78%) with an average 1st half over/under of 115.0. (+24.0 unit$, ROI=46.4%)
The average score of these games was Warriors 55.4, Opponents 53.8.
Bet under the 1st half total in Golden State away or neutral games when their opponents make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game.
The 1st half Under's record during the 2025 season: 13-2 (87%) with an average 1st half over/under of 113.0. (+10.8 unit$, ROI=65.5%)
The average score of these games was Warriors 50.5, Opponents 54.3.
Glossary of Terms

Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.

Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.

Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.

Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.

Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.

H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.

3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.

Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.

FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.

Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.

Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.

OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.

TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.