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| Tuesday, 04/29/2025 10:00 PM (ET) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied 2 games to 2. | ||||||
| Gm# | Record | Open | Latest | ML | 1H | |
 LAC | 507 | 52-35 | -1 | -2 | -125 | -1 |
 DEN | 508 | 53-34 | 208 | 208.5 | +105 | 105 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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NBA Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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| Power Rating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teams | Rating | Estimate | Actual | Edge |
| LAC | 122 | -1 | -2 | |
| DEN | 119 | DEN (+1) | ||
Game Simulation Results |
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores, Edges | Shooting | 3pt Shooting | Free Throws | Rebounding | |||||||||||
| Teams | Score | Edge | H1Score | Edge | 3FGM-A | Pct. | 3FGM-A | Pct. | FTM-A | Pct. | Tot. | OFF | TO | ||
| LAC | 117 | LAC (+3) | Ov (+21.2) | 59 | LAC (+1) | Ov (+10.6) | 44-89 | 49.7% | 14-34 | 40.5% | 15-19 | 78.7% | 49 | 11 | 12 |
| DEN | 112 | 57 | 42-86 | 49.2% | 11-31 | 36.5% | 16-22 | 75.5% | 50 | 11 | 14 | ||||
Simulation Line Covers |
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| The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total. | |
 | In 1000 simulated games, LA Clippers covered the spread 553 times, while Denver covered the spread 428 times. Edge against the spread=LA Clippers. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 876 games went over the total, while 124 games went under the total. Edge against the total=Over. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, LA Clippers won the game straight up 602 times, while Denver won 380 times. Edge on the money line=LA Clippers. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, LA Clippers covered the first half line 508 times, while Denver covered the first half line 450 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 787 games went over the first half total, while 180 games went under the first half total. Edge against the first half total=Over. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Denver covered the 4 point teaser line 521 times, and failed to cover 451 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, LA Clippers covered the 4 point teaser line 645 times, and failed to cover 324 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 920 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 80 failed to go over. Edge against the 4 point teaser total=Over. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 173 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 827 failed to go under. No Edge. |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
| Trends Favoring LA Clippers. | |
|---|---|
| Bet against Denver in away or neutral games on the money line in games attempting around the same number of free throws as opponents. Denver record during the 2025 season: 1-7 (13%) with an average money line of -309. (-20.7 unit$, ROI=-83.8%) The average score of these games was Nuggets 116.8, Opponents 118.0. |
| Bet against Denver on the money line when their opponents make 48% to 51% of their shots in a game. Denver record during the 2025 season: 8-17 (32%) with an average money line of -197. (-33.1 unit$, ROI=-67.2%) The average score of these games was Nuggets 115.6, Opponents 120.7. |
Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.
Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.
Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.
Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.
H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.
3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.
FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.
Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.
OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.
TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.