Swipe left to see more →
| Saturday, 04/19/2025 8:30 PM (ET) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 1 | ||||||
| Gm# | Record | Open | Latest | ML | 1H | |
 MIN | 507 | 54-35 | 219.5 | 216.5 | +170 | 109 |
 LAL | 508 | 51-36 | -5.5 | -4.5 | -200 | -2.5 |
Matchup Content Menu |
Swipe left to see more →
NBA Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
Swipe left to see more →
| Power Rating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teams | Rating | Estimate | Actual | Edge |
| MIN | 122 | -4 | MIN (+8.5) | |
| LAL | 116 | -4.5 | ||
Game Simulation Results |
Swipe left to see more →
| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores, Edges | Shooting | 3pt Shooting | Free Throws | Rebounding | |||||||||||
| Teams | Score | Edge | H1Score | Edge | 3FGM-A | Pct. | 3FGM-A | Pct. | FTM-A | Pct. | Tot. | OFF | TO | ||
| MIN | 115 | MIN (+3.5) | Ov (+13.7) | 58 | MIN (+1.5) | Ov (+6.6) | 42-90 | 46.0% | 15-41 | 35.6% | 17-22 | 78.3% | 52 | 13 | 13 |
| LAL | 116 | 58 | 41-87 | 47.1% | 16-41 | 38.5% | 18-23 | 77.2% | 53 | 12 | 15 | ||||
Simulation Line Covers |
Swipe left to see more →
| The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total. | |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Minnesota covered the spread 584 times, while LA Lakers covered the spread 416 times. Edge against the spread=Minnesota. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 784 games went over the total, while 216 games went under the total. Edge against the total=Over. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, LA Lakers won the game straight up 497 times, while Minnesota won 485 times. Edge on the money line=Minnesota. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Minnesota covered the first half line 565 times, while LA Lakers covered the first half line 435 times. Edge against the first half line=Minnesota. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 693 games went over the first half total, while 280 games went under the first half total. Edge against the first half total=Over. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, LA Lakers covered the 4 point teaser line 497 times, and failed to cover 503 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, Minnesota covered the 4 point teaser line 683 times, and failed to cover 317 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 833 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 167 failed to go over. Edge against the 4 point teaser total=Over. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 295 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 705 failed to go under. No Edge. |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
| Trends Favoring LA Lakers. | |
|---|---|
| Bet against Minnesota on the money line when they allow 115 to 120 points in a game. Minnesota record during the 2025 season: 4-11 (27%) with an average money line of -259. (-24.5 unit$, ROI=-63.0%) The average score of these games was Timberwolves 113.8, Opponents 117.3. |
| Bet on LA Lakers in home games on the 1st half line when they commit around the same number of turnovers as opponents. LA Lakers record on the 1st half line during the 2025 season: 11-0 (100%) with an average 1st half line of -2.5. (+11.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average 1st half score of these games was Lakers 60.7, Opponents 49.8. |
| Trends Favoring Over. | |
|---|---|
| Bet over the total in Minnesota games when they allow 115 to 120 points in a game. The Over's record since the 2024 season: 24-4 (86%) with an average over/under of 219.3. (+19.6 unit$, ROI=63.6%) The average score of these games was Timberwolves 113.2, Opponents 117.1. |
| Trends Favoring Under. | |
|---|---|
| Bet under the total in Minnesota games when they make 32% to 38% of their three point attempts in a game. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 18-4 (82%) with an average over/under of 220.8. (+13.6 unit$, ROI=56.2%) The average score of these games was Timberwolves 110.5, Opponents 105.5. |
| Bet under the 1st half total in Minnesota away or neutral games when they make 32% to 38% of their three point attempts in a game. The 1st half Under's record during the 2025 season: 14-2 (88%) with an average 1st half over/under of 111.5. (+11.8 unit$, ROI=67.0%) The average score of these games was Timberwolves 53.1, Opponents 48.4. |
Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.
Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.
Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.
Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.
H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.
3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.
FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.
Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.
OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.
TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.