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| Wednesday, 04/16/2025 10:37 PM | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record | Starter | Open | Latest | ||||
| Gm# | W-L-OTL PTS | Goalie | ML | O/U | ML | O/U | |
 EDM | 83 | 48-29-5, 101 pts. | SKINNER | -225 | 6.5o+05 | -230 | 6.5o-20 |
 SJS | 84 | 20-50-12, 52 pts. | GEORGIEV | +185 | 6.5u-25 | +190 | 6.5e-10 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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NHL Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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| Teams | Actual Line | Estimated Line | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rating | Goalie | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge% | |
| EDM | 3.41 | SKINNER | -230 | 69.7% | -419 | 80.7% | EDM (+11.0%) |
| SJS | 1.40 | GEORGIEV | +190 | 34.5% | +-419 | 19.3% | |
Game Simulation Results |
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | ||||||||||
| Teams | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST |
| EDM | SKINNER | 3.35 | -230 | 69.7% | -193 | 65.9% | 6.5o-20 | 5.6 | 36 | 4-1 | 6 | ||
| SJS | GEORGIEV | 2.24 | +190 | 34.5% | +193 | 34.1% | 6.5e-10 | 5.6 | UN (+0.9) | 30 | 4-1 | 4 | |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
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| Trends Favoring Edmonton | |
|---|---|
 | Bet on Edmonton on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Edmonton record during the 2025 season: 34-1 (97%) with an average money line of -190. (+33.8 unit$, ROI=50.8%) The average score of these games was Oilers 3.6, Opponents 1.5. |
| Bet on Edmonton on the money line when they allow 2 goals. Edmonton record during the 2025 season: 20-0 (100%) with an average money line of -225. (+20.5 unit$, ROI=45.5%) The average score of these games was Oilers 3.7, Opponents 2.0. |
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| Trends Favoring Under | |
|---|---|
 | Bet under the total in Edmonton games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 28-5 (85%) with an average over/under of 6.3, money line=-106. (+23.3 unit$, ROI=62.4%) The average score of these games was Oilers 3.6, Opponents 1.5. |
| Bet under the total in Edmonton games when they allow 2 goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 16-3 (84%) with an average over/under of 6.4, money line=-103. (+13.4 unit$, ROI=65.1%) The average score of these games was Oilers 3.7, Opponents 2.0. |
| Bet under the total in San Jose games when they allow 3 goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 16-2 (89%) with an average over/under of 6.1, money line=+101. (+15.4 unit$, ROI=85.3%) The average score of these games was Sharks 2.1, Opponents 3.0. |
| Bet under the total in San Jose games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 33-8 (80%) with an average over/under of 6.1, money line=-104. (+26.6 unit$, ROI=55.7%) The average score of these games was Sharks 1.5, Opponents 3.5. |
| Bet under the total in San Jose games when they score 2 goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 18-5 (78%) with an average over/under of 6.2, money line=-103. (+14.0 unit$, ROI=52.5%) The average score of these games was Sharks 2.0, Opponents 3.4. |
Teams: The competing teams in the matchup.
Goalies: The starting goaltenders for each team.
Betting Lines
ML (Money Line): The odds for each team to win the game outright.
B.E. (Break-Even %): The implied probability of winning based on the money line.
Estimated ML: The projected money line based on power ratings and goaltender performance.
Win%: The projected win probability for each team based on simulations.
Edge%: The difference between the estimated and actual betting line, indicating potential value.
Game Simulation
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on simulations.
Over/Under (O/U): The projected total goals scored in the game.
Est. O/U: The estimated over/under based on simulations.
O/U Edge: The difference between the estimated and actual over/under total.
Projected Game Stats
SOG (Shots on Goal): The projected total number of shots on goal for each team.
PP (Power Play Goals): The projected number of power play goals scored by each team.
AST (Assists): The projected total assists for each team.
Trends & Insights
Trends Favoring Team: Historical betting trends that support one team based on past performance in similar matchups.
Trends Favoring Over/Under: Historical trends indicating whether games involving these teams tend to go over or under the total.