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| Wednesday, 04/16/2025 7:07 PM | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record | Starter | Open | Latest | ||||
| Gm# | W-L-OTL PTS | Goalie | ML | O/U | ML | O/U | |
 CAR | 73 | 47-30-5, 99 pts. | KOCHETKOV | -120 | 6e-10 | +125 | 6e-10 |
 MON | 74 | 40-31-11, 91 pts. | MONTEMBEAULT | +100 | 6u-20 | -145 | 6u-20 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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NHL Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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| Teams | Actual Line | Estimated Line | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rating | Goalie | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge% | |
| CAR | 3.03 | KOCHETKOV | +125 | 44.4% | +105 | 48.7% | CAR (+4.3%) |
| MON | 3.11 | MONTEMBEAULT | -145 | 59.2% | -105 | 51.3% | |
Game Simulation Results |
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | ||||||||||
| Teams | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST |
| CAR | KOCHETKOV | 2.30 | +125 | 44.4% | -101 | 50.3% | CAR (+5.8%) | 6e-10 | 4.6 | 33 | 4-1 | 4 | |
| MON | MONTEMBEAULT | 2.28 | -145 | 59.2% | +101 | 49.7% | 6u-20 | 4.6 | UN (+1.4) | 25 | 4-1 | 4 | |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
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| Trends Favoring Carolina | |
|---|---|
 | Bet on Carolina on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Carolina record during the 2025 season: 35-1 (97%) with an average money line of -219. (+33.2 unit$, ROI=42.1%) The average score of these games was Hurricanes 3.8, Opponents 1.3. |
| Bet against Montreal in home games on the money line when they score 2 goals. Montreal record since the 2024 season: 1-16 (6%) with an average money line of +141. (-15.4 unit$, ROI=-90.6%) The average score of these games was Canadiens 2.0, Opponents 4.6. |
| Bet against Montreal on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Montreal record during the 2025 season: 4-25 (14%) with an average money line of +147. (-20.0 unit$, ROI=-68.8%) The average score of these games was Canadiens 1.4, Opponents 3.7. |
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| Trends Favoring Montreal | |
|---|---|
| Bet against Carolina on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Carolina record during the 2025 season: 4-24 (14%) with an average money line of -191. (-42.2 unit$, ROI=-78.6%) The average score of these games was Hurricanes 1.3, Opponents 3.4. |
| Bet against Carolina on the money line when they score 2 goals. Carolina record since the 2024 season: 6-20 (23%) with an average money line of -171. (-27.4 unit$, ROI=-61.6%) The average score of these games was Hurricanes 2.0, Opponents 3.4. |
| Bet on Montreal on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Montreal record during the 2025 season: 28-3 (90%) with an average money line of +140. (+38.7 unit$, ROI=124.8%) The average score of these games was Canadiens 3.3, Opponents 1.3. |
| Bet on Montreal on the money line when they allow 2 goals. Montreal record during the 2025 season: 12-1 (92%) with an average money line of +140. (+16.6 unit$, ROI=127.3%) The average score of these games was Canadiens 3.5, Opponents 2.0. |
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| Trends Favoring Under | |
|---|---|
 | Bet under the total in Carolina games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 21-4 (84%) with an average over/under of 5.9, money line=-113. (+16.2 unit$, ROI=51.3%) The average score of these games was Hurricanes 1.3, Opponents 3.4. |
| Bet under the total in Carolina games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 25-7 (78%) with an average over/under of 5.9, money line=-107. (+17.9 unit$, ROI=46.3%) The average score of these games was Hurricanes 3.8, Opponents 1.3. |
| Bet under the total in Montreal games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 24-6 (80%) with an average over/under of 6.1, money line=-110. (+17.6 unit$, ROI=51.5%) The average score of these games was Canadiens 3.3, Opponents 1.3. |
| Bet under the total in Montreal away or ne games when they allow 2 goals. The Under's record since the 2024 season: 12-1 (92%) with an average over/under of 6.2, money line=-115. (+10.9 unit$, ROI=63.2%) The average score of these games was Canadiens 2.6, Opponents 2.0. |
Teams: The competing teams in the matchup.
Goalies: The starting goaltenders for each team.
Betting Lines
ML (Money Line): The odds for each team to win the game outright.
B.E. (Break-Even %): The implied probability of winning based on the money line.
Estimated ML: The projected money line based on power ratings and goaltender performance.
Win%: The projected win probability for each team based on simulations.
Edge%: The difference between the estimated and actual betting line, indicating potential value.
Game Simulation
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on simulations.
Over/Under (O/U): The projected total goals scored in the game.
Est. O/U: The estimated over/under based on simulations.
O/U Edge: The difference between the estimated and actual over/under total.
Projected Game Stats
SOG (Shots on Goal): The projected total number of shots on goal for each team.
PP (Power Play Goals): The projected number of power play goals scored by each team.
AST (Assists): The projected total assists for each team.
Trends & Insights
Trends Favoring Team: Historical betting trends that support one team based on past performance in similar matchups.
Trends Favoring Over/Under: Historical trends indicating whether games involving these teams tend to go over or under the total.