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| Tuesday, 04/15/2025 9:07 PM | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record | Starter | Open | Latest | ||||
| Gm# | W-L-OTL PTS | Goalie | ML | O/U | ML | O/U | |
 LVG | 69 | 54-25-10, 118 pts. | SAMSONOV | -120 | 5.5o-15 | -105 | 5.5o-15 |
 CGY | 70 | 41-27-14, 96 pts. | WOLF | +100 | 5.5u-05 | -115 | 5.5u-05 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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NHL Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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| Teams | Actual Line | Estimated Line | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rating | Goalie | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge% | |
| LVG | 3.53 | SAMSONOV | -105 | 51.2% | +105 | 48.8% | |
| CGY | 3.61 | WOLF | -115 | 53.5% | -105 | 51.2% | |
Game Simulation Results |
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | ||||||||||
| Teams | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST |
| LVG | SAMSONOV | 2.21 | -105 | 51.2% | -102 | 50.4% | 5.5o-15 | 4.4 | 30 | 3-1 | 4 | ||
| CGY | WOLF | 2.19 | -115 | 53.5% | +102 | 49.6% | 5.5u-05 | 4.4 | UN (+1.1) | 31 | 3-0 | 4 | |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
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| Trends Favoring Vegas | |
|---|---|
 | Bet on Vegas on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Vegas record during the 2025 season: 36-4 (90%) with an average money line of -170. (+30.7 unit$, ROI=45.2%) The average score of these games was Golden Knights 3.4, Opponents 1.4. |
| Bet against Calgary on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Calgary record during the 2025 season: 5-31 (14%) with an average money line of +138. (-26.0 unit$, ROI=-72.2%) The average score of these games was Flames 1.4, Opponents 3.3. |
| Bet against Calgary on the money line when they score 2 goals. Calgary record since the 2024 season: 6-33 (15%) with an average money line of +118. (-29.2 unit$, ROI=-74.9%) The average score of these games was Flames 2.0, Opponents 3.8. |
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| Trends Favoring Calgary | |
|---|---|
| Bet against Vegas on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Vegas record during the 2025 season: 3-19 (14%) with an average money line of -145. (-25.0 unit$, ROI=-78.4%) The average score of these games was Golden Knights 1.3, Opponents 3.0. |
| Bet against Vegas on the money line when they score 2 goals. Vegas record during the 2025 season: 2-10 (17%) with an average money line of -145. (-12.1 unit$, ROI=-69.5%) The average score of these games was Golden Knights 2.0, Opponents 3.3. |
| Bet on Calgary on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Calgary record during the 2025 season: 28-4 (88%) with an average money line of -107. (+30.6 unit$, ROI=89.5%) The average score of these games was Flames 2.9, Opponents 1.3. |
| Bet on Calgary in home games on the money line when they allow 2 goals. Calgary record since the 2024 season: 14-1 (93%) with an average money line of -136. (+13.5 unit$, ROI=66.0%) The average score of these games was Flames 3.7, Opponents 2.0. |
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| Trends Favoring Under | |
|---|---|
 | Bet under the total in Vegas games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 18-3 (86%) with an average over/under of 6.1, money line=-111. (+14.9 unit$, ROI=61.0%) The average score of these games was Golden Knights 1.3, Opponents 3.0. |
| Bet under the total in Vegas games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 32-7 (82%) with an average over/under of 6.0, money line=-108. (+25.9 unit$, ROI=60.1%) The average score of these games was Golden Knights 3.4, Opponents 1.4. |
| Bet under the total in Vegas away or ne games when they allow 2 goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 11-1 (92%) with an average over/under of 6.0, money line=-105. (+10.3 unit$, ROI=75.2%) The average score of these games was Golden Knights 3.2, Opponents 2.0. |
| Bet under the total in Calgary games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 28-4 (88%) with an average over/under of 6.0, money line=-105. (+24.7 unit$, ROI=73.0%) The average score of these games was Flames 2.9, Opponents 1.3. |
| Bet under the total in Calgary games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 26-7 (79%) with an average over/under of 5.8, money line=-105. (+19.4 unit$, ROI=51.5%) The average score of these games was Flames 1.4, Opponents 3.3. |
Teams: The competing teams in the matchup.
Goalies: The starting goaltenders for each team.
Betting Lines
ML (Money Line): The odds for each team to win the game outright.
B.E. (Break-Even %): The implied probability of winning based on the money line.
Estimated ML: The projected money line based on power ratings and goaltender performance.
Win%: The projected win probability for each team based on simulations.
Edge%: The difference between the estimated and actual betting line, indicating potential value.
Game Simulation
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on simulations.
Over/Under (O/U): The projected total goals scored in the game.
Est. O/U: The estimated over/under based on simulations.
O/U Edge: The difference between the estimated and actual over/under total.
Projected Game Stats
SOG (Shots on Goal): The projected total number of shots on goal for each team.
PP (Power Play Goals): The projected number of power play goals scored by each team.
AST (Assists): The projected total assists for each team.
Trends & Insights
Trends Favoring Team: Historical betting trends that support one team based on past performance in similar matchups.
Trends Favoring Over/Under: Historical trends indicating whether games involving these teams tend to go over or under the total.