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| Wednesday, 04/16/2025 7:30 PM (ET) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eastern Conference - Play-In Game | ||||||
| Gm# | Record | Open | Latest | ML | 1H | |
 MIA | 583 | 39-45 | 224.5 | 220 | +105 | 111 |
 CHI | 584 | 39-44 | PK | -2 | -125 | -1 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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NBA Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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| Power Rating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teams | Rating | Estimate | Actual | Edge |
| MIA | 118 | -1 | MIA (+3) | |
| CHI | 115 | -2 | ||
Game Simulation Results |
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores, Edges | Shooting | 3pt Shooting | Free Throws | Rebounding | |||||||||||
| Teams | Score | Edge | H1Score | Edge | 3FGM-A | Pct. | 3FGM-A | Pct. | FTM-A | Pct. | Tot. | OFF | TO | ||
| MIA | 114 | Ov (+10.4) | 57 | Ov (+4.6) | 43-92 | 47.4% | 13-37 | 36.6% | 13-17 | 78.8% | 51 | 10 | 12 | ||
| CHI | 117 | CHI (+1) | 59 | CHI (+1) | 44-91 | 48.0% | 14-40 | 36.1% | 15-18 | 82.7% | 54 | 11 | 13 | ||
Simulation Line Covers |
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| The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total. | |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Chicago covered the spread 510 times, while Miami covered the spread 468 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 710 games went over the total, while 266 games went under the total. Edge against the total=Over. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Chicago won the game straight up 553 times, while Miami won 428 times. No Edge. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Chicago covered the first half line 521 times, while Miami covered the first half line 437 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 628 games went over the first half total, while 348 games went under the first half total. Edge against the first half total=Over. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Chicago covered the 4 point teaser line 594 times, and failed to cover 384 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, Miami covered the 4 point teaser line 562 times, and failed to cover 422 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 794 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 198 failed to go over. Edge against the 4 point teaser total=Over. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 342 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 639 failed to go under. No Edge. |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
| Trends Favoring Miami. | |
|---|---|
| Bet on Miami on the 1st half line when they attempt 16 to 20 free throws in a game. Miami record on the 1st half line since the 2024 season: 35-11 (76%) with an average 1st half line of 0.0. (+22.9 unit$, ROI=43.4%) The average 1st half score of these games was Heat 57.2, Opponents 51.4. |
| Trends Favoring Chicago. | |
|---|---|
| Bet against Miami on the money line when they allow 115 to 120 points in a game. Miami record during the 2025 season: 3-16 (16%) with an average money line of -118. (-21.8 unit$, ROI=-96.9%) The average score of these games was Heat 111.0, Opponents 117.7. |
| Bet against Miami on the money line when their opponents make 48% to 51% of their shots in a game. Miami record since the 2024 season: 10-31 (24%) with an average money line of -125. (-37.2 unit$, ROI=-72.4%) The average score of these games was Heat 109.0, Opponents 113.4. |
| Trends Favoring Over. | |
|---|---|
| Bet over the total in Miami games when they allow 115 to 120 points in a game. The Over's record during the 2025 season: 19-1 (95%) with an average over/under of 218.3. (+17.9 unit$, ROI=81.4%) The average score of these games was Heat 111.0, Opponents 117.7. |
| Trends Favoring Under. | |
|---|---|
| Bet under the total in Chicago games when they allow 109 to 114 points in a game. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 13-2 (87%) with an average over/under of 233.4. (+10.8 unit$, ROI=65.5%) The average score of these games was Bulls 111.7, Opponents 111.3. |
| Bet under the 1st half total in Chicago away or neutral games when they make 32% to 38% of their three point attempts in a game. The 1st half Under's record during the 2025 season: 13-2 (87%) with an average 1st half over/under of 118.5. (+10.8 unit$, ROI=65.5%) The average score of these games was Bulls 57.1, Opponents 58.1. |
Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.
Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.
Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.
Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.
H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.
3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.
FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.
Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.
OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.
TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.