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MLB Top Starting Pitcher Trends

Explore top team and manager betting trends for upcoming games, covering records vs. the money line, run line, and over/under. Select records from various time windows.

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Team TrendsManager TrendsStarting Pitcher vs. Money LineStarting Pitcher vs. Run LineStarting Pitcher vs. Over/Under
Current View: Starting Pitcher trends, records vs. run line.
Wednesday, April 30, 2025
Miami at LA Dodgers - Wednesday, 04/30/2025 3:10 PM - Matchup
Trends Favoring Miami
Bet on CAL QUANTRILL on the run line in April games.
QUANTRILL's team record since the 2024 season: 8-1 (89%) ATS with an average run line of +1.5, money line=-101. (+6.9 unit$, ROI=69.7%).
The average score of these games was QUANTRILL's team 5.6, Opponents 5.1.
San Francisco at San Diego - Wednesday, 04/30/2025 4:10 PM - Matchup
Trends Favoring San Francisco
Bet against MICHAEL KING on the run line as a favorite when the run line price is +115 to +160.
KING's team record in his career: 3-16 (16%) ATS with an average run line of -1.5, money line=+124. (-14.6 unit$, ROI=-69.9%).
The average score of these games was KING's team 4.6, Opponents 5.4.
Bet against MICHAEL KING in home starts on the run line when playing on Wednesday.
KING's team record in his career: 0-5 (0%) ATS with an average run line of -0.9, money line=-104. (-5.5 unit$, ROI=-100.0%).
The average score of these games was KING's team 2.4, Opponents 5.0.
Bet against MICHAEL KING on the run line when the run line is (+1.5, -155) to (-1.5, +135).
KING's team record in his career: 5-21 (19%) ATS with an average run line of -1.4, money line=+128. (-18.1 unit$, ROI=-63.3%).
The average score of these games was KING's team 4.1, Opponents 4.9.
Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh - Wednesday, 04/30/2025 6:40 PM - Matchup
Trends Favoring Pittsburgh
Bet against MATT BOYD on the run line vs. an NL team with they batting average of .250 or worse.
BOYD's team record in his career: 3-13 (19%) ATS with an average run line of 0.0, money line=+103. (-11.3 unit$, ROI=-64.2%).
The average score of these games was BOYD's team 4.1, Opponents 6.4.
Kansas City at Tampa Bay - Wednesday, 04/30/2025 7:05 PM - Matchup
Trends Favoring Kansas City
Bet against DREW RASMUSSEN on the run line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game.
RASMUSSEN's team record since the 2023 season: 0-6 (0%) ATS with an average run line of -0.5, money line=-108. (-6.6 unit$, ROI=-100.0%).
The average score of these games was RASMUSSEN's team 3.8, Opponents 6.3.
Arizona at NY Mets - Wednesday, 04/30/2025 7:10 PM - Matchup
Trends Favoring Arizona
Bet on CORBIN BURNES on the run line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 62%).
BURNES' team record since the 2023 season: 6-0 (100%) ATS with an average run line of -1.5, money line=+123. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%).
The average score of these games was BURNES' team 7.3, Opponents 3.5.
Thursday, May 01, 2025
Kansas City at Tampa Bay - Thursday, 05/01/2025 1:10 PM - Matchup
Trends Favoring Kansas City
Bet on SETH LUGO on the run line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season.
LUGO's team record since the 2024 season: 12-3 (80%) ATS with an average run line of -0.5, money line=-113. (+8.7 unit$, ROI=52.7%).
The average score of these games was LUGO's team 5.4, Opponents 1.9.
Washington at Philadelphia - Thursday, 05/01/2025 6:45 PM - Matchup
Trends Favoring Washington
Bet against TAIJUAN WALKER on the run line as a home favorite when the run line price is +115 to +160.
WALKER's team record in his career: 7-32 (18%) ATS with an average run line of -1.5, money line=+146. (-28.2 unit$, ROI=-65.7%).
The average score of these games was WALKER's team 3.6, Opponents 4.2.
Boston at Toronto - Thursday, 05/01/2025 7:07 PM - Matchup
Trends Favoring Boston
Bet on TANNER HOUCK on the run line when playing on Thursday.
HOUCK's team record since the 2023 season: 6-0 (100%) ATS with an average run line of -0.5, money line=-114. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%).
The average score of these games was HOUCK's team 9.0, Opponents 2.3.
Detroit at LA Angels - Thursday, 05/01/2025 9:38 PM - Matchup
Trends Favoring LA Angels
Bet on YUSEI KIKUCHI on the run line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%).
KIKUCHI's team record in his career: 30-11 (73%) ATS with an average run line of +0.5, money line=-118. (+17.9 unit$, ROI=39.7%).
The average score of these games was KIKUCHI's team 4.6, Opponents 3.9.
Colorado at San Francisco - Thursday, 05/01/2025 9:45 PM - Matchup
Trends Favoring Colorado
Bet on KYLE FREELAND on the run line vs. a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL).
FREELAND's team record in his career: 56-26 (68%) ATS with an average run line of +0.3, money line=-114. (+27.4 unit$, ROI=30.4%).
The average score of these games was FREELAND's team 4.9, Opponents 4.3.
Bet against JUSTIN VERLANDER on the run line in the first half of the season.
VERLANDER's team record since the 2023 season: 6-19 (24%) ATS with an average run line of -0.8, money line=-104. (-14.9 unit$, ROI=-54.2%).
The average score of these games was VERLANDER's team 4.1, Opponents 4.8.
Glossary of Terms

Description: Provides context or specific conditions under which the team’s performance is being analyzed (e.g., "against NFC South division opponents").

ATS (Against the Spread): Indicates the team's win-loss record against the point spread. A record of 0-0 means the team has not covered or failed to cover the spread in any games under the specific trend.

O/U (Over/Under): Refers to the team's win-loss record in relation to the total points or runs line set by sportsbooks. "O/U" indicates whether the total points scored in the game were over or under the set line.

W-L (Win-Loss): The team's win-loss record for the specified trend or condition (e.g., as an underdog, in road games).

ML (Money Line): The win-loss record of the team on the money line, reflecting outright wins and losses without considering the point spread.

Game: Indicates performance over the entire game, as opposed to just a portion such as the first half.

1st Half: Indicates the team's performance specifically during the first half of the game, including ATS, O/U, and W-L records.

All Games: Refers to trends and records across all games played during the season, not limited to home or away games.

Road Games: Refers to trends and records specifically for games played away from the team’s home venue.

Trend: A historical pattern based on past betting results for a team, coach, or situation.

ATS (Against the Spread): A record of a team's performance relative to the point spread set by oddsmakers.

ML (Money Line): A record of a team's straight-up performance without consideration of the point spread.

O/U (Over/Under): A record of games going over or under the total points line set by oddsmakers.

1H ATS (1st Half Against the Spread): A record of a team's performance against the point spread for the first half only.

1H O/U (1st Half Over/Under): A record of a team’s first-half games going over or under the total first-half points line.

Betting Statistics

ROI (Return on Investment): A measure of profitability expressed as a percentage, showing how much profit was made per unit wagered.

Unit$: A measure of profit or loss in terms of betting units. A positive value indicates profit, while a negative value indicates loss.

Situational Trends

After a Win/Loss: Indicates how a team or coach performs in games following a win or loss.

Conference Game: A matchup between teams from the same conference.

Non-Conference Game: A matchup between teams from different conferences.

Home/Away Record: Performance records based on whether a team plays at home or on the road.

Neutral Site: A game played at a location that is not the home court of either team.

Performance-Based Trends

Revenging a Loss: A record of how a team performs when facing an opponent that previously defeated them.

Playing with Rest: Performance in games following a certain number of days of rest.

Off a High-Scoring Game: A trend based on performance in games following a game in which the team scored a large number of points.

After a Close Win/Loss: A trend measuring performance following a game decided by a small margin.

Coach-Based Trends

Coach ATS Record: The historical record of a coach’s teams against the spread.

Coach ML Record: The historical record of a coach’s teams in straight-up wins and losses.

Coach O/U Record: The historical record of a coach’s teams in relation to the total points line.

Team-Based Trends

Team ATS Record: The historical record of the team against the spread.

Team ML Record: The historical record of the team in straight-up wins and losses.

Team O/U Record: The historical record of the team in relation to the total points line.