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MLB Top Starting Pitcher Trends

Explore top team and manager betting trends for upcoming games, covering records vs. the money line, run line, and over/under. Select records from various time windows.

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Team TrendsManager TrendsStarting Pitcher vs. Money LineStarting Pitcher vs. Run LineStarting Pitcher vs. Over/Under
Current View: Starting Pitcher trends, records vs. money line.
Wednesday, April 30, 2025
LA Angels at Seattle - Wednesday, 04/30/2025 4:10 PM - Matchup
Trends Favoring LA Angels
Bet on TYLER ANDERSON on the money line in all games.
ANDERSON's team record during the 2025 season: 5-0 (100%) with an average money line of +115.0. (+5.8 unit$, ROI=115.0%).
The average score of these games was ANDERSON's team 4.2, Opponents 2.0.
Bet on TYLER ANDERSON in away starts on the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season.
ANDERSON's team record in his career: 6-1 (86%) with an average money line of +156.0. (+8.4 unit$, ROI=119.4%).
The average score of these games was ANDERSON's team 7.4, Opponents 5.4.
Minnesota at Cleveland - Wednesday, 04/30/2025 6:10 PM - Matchup
Trends Favoring Cleveland
Bet on LUIS ORTIZ on the money line against division opponents.
ORTIZ's team record since the 2024 season: 5-0 (100%) with an average money line of +113.0. (+5.7 unit$, ROI=113.0%).
The average score of these games was ORTIZ's team 4.2, Opponents 2.0.
NY Yankees at Baltimore - Wednesday, 04/30/2025 6:35 PM - Matchup
Trends Favoring Baltimore
Bet against CARLOS CARRASCO on the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150.
CARRASCO's team record since the 2023 season: 1-10 (9%) with an average money line of +119.5. (-8.8 unit$, ROI=-80.0%).
The average score of these games was CARRASCO's team 3.1, Opponents 6.0.
Bet against CARLOS CARRASCO on the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher.
CARRASCO's team record since the 2023 season: 2-15 (12%) with an average money line of +137.1. (-12.3 unit$, ROI=-72.1%).
The average score of these games was CARRASCO's team 2.9, Opponents 5.5.
Bet against CARLOS CARRASCO on the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150.
CARRASCO's team record in his career: 16-44 (27%) with an average money line of +118.8. (-25.0 unit$, ROI=-41.7%).
The average score of these games was CARRASCO's team 4.0, Opponents 5.5.
Bet against CARLOS CARRASCO on the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher.
CARRASCO's team record in his career: 20-57 (26%) with an average money line of +132.0. (-30.6 unit$, ROI=-39.7%).
The average score of these games was CARRASCO's team 3.8, Opponents 5.4.
Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh - Wednesday, 04/30/2025 6:40 PM - Matchup
Trends Favoring Chicago Cubs
Bet on MATT BOYD in away starts on the money line in night games.
BOYD's team record since the 2023 season: 9-2 (82%) with an average money line of +148.8. (+11.4 unit$, ROI=103.6%).
The average score of these games was BOYD's team 5.6, Opponents 3.9.
Trends Favoring Pittsburgh
Bet against MATT BOYD in away starts on the money line vs. good baserunning teams - averaging 0.85 or more SB's/game.
BOYD's team record in his career: 0-6 (0%) with an average money line of +105.8. (-6.0 unit$, ROI=-100.0%).
The average score of these games was BOYD's team 1.5, Opponents 4.7.
Washington at Philadelphia - Wednesday, 04/30/2025 6:45 PM - Matchup
Trends Favoring Washington
Bet on JAKE IRVIN in away starts on the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game.
IRVIN's team record in his career: 5-0 (100%) with an average money line of +113.0. (+5.7 unit$, ROI=113.0%).
The average score of these games was IRVIN's team 5.6, Opponents 2.0.
Trends Favoring Philadelphia
Bet on CRISTOPHER SANCHEZ in home starts on the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse.
SANCHEZ's team record since the 2024 season: 13-0 (100%) with an average money line of -188.5. (+13.0 unit$, ROI=53.1%).
The average score of these games was SANCHEZ's team 5.7, Opponents 3.2.
Bet on CRISTOPHER SANCHEZ in home starts on the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse.
SANCHEZ's team record since the 2024 season: 12-0 (100%) with an average money line of -188.3. (+12.0 unit$, ROI=53.1%).
The average score of these games was SANCHEZ's team 5.4, Opponents 3.3.
Bet on CRISTOPHER SANCHEZ in home starts on the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse.
SANCHEZ's team record since the 2024 season: 11-0 (100%) with an average money line of -185.0. (+11.0 unit$, ROI=54.1%).
The average score of these games was SANCHEZ's team 5.5, Opponents 3.5.
Bet on CRISTOPHER SANCHEZ in home starts on the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse.
SANCHEZ's team record since the 2024 season: 11-0 (100%) with an average money line of -185.0. (+11.0 unit$, ROI=54.1%).
The average score of these games was SANCHEZ's team 5.5, Opponents 3.5.
Bet on CRISTOPHER SANCHEZ in home starts on the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game.
SANCHEZ's team record since the 2024 season: 14-1 (93%) with an average money line of -175.7. (+12.2 unit$, ROI=46.5%).
The average score of these games was SANCHEZ's team 5.4, Opponents 3.1.
Bet on CRISTOPHER SANCHEZ in home starts on the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse.
SANCHEZ's team record since the 2024 season: 9-0 (100%) with an average money line of -187.2. (+9.0 unit$, ROI=53.4%).
The average score of these games was SANCHEZ's team 5.8, Opponents 3.6.
Kansas City at Tampa Bay - Wednesday, 04/30/2025 7:05 PM - Matchup
Trends Favoring Kansas City
Bet against DREW RASMUSSEN on the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game.
RASMUSSEN's team record since the 2023 season: 0-6 (0%) with an average money line of -121.7. (-7.3 unit$, ROI=-100.0%).
The average score of these games was RASMUSSEN's team 3.8, Opponents 6.3.
Boston at Toronto - Wednesday, 04/30/2025 7:07 PM - Matchup
Trends Favoring Toronto
Bet against LUCAS GIOLITO on the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game.
GIOLITO's team record since the 2023 season: 0-6 (0%) with an average money line of +105.8. (-6.0 unit$, ROI=-100.0%).
The average score of these games was GIOLITO's team 3.8, Opponents 6.0.
Bet against LUCAS GIOLITO on the money line in April games.
GIOLITO's team record in his career: 4-17 (19%) with an average money line of +104.4. (-12.8 unit$, ROI=-61.1%).
The average score of these games was GIOLITO's team 3.3, Opponents 5.4.
Arizona at NY Mets - Wednesday, 04/30/2025 7:10 PM - Matchup
Trends Favoring Arizona
Bet on CORBIN BURNES on the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 62%).
BURNES' team record since the 2023 season: 6-0 (100%) with an average money line of -138.3. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=72.3%).
The average score of these games was BURNES' team 7.3, Opponents 3.5.
Thursday, May 01, 2025
Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh - Thursday, 05/01/2025 12:35 PM - Matchup
Trends Favoring Chicago Cubs
Bet on COLIN REA on the money line vs. good baserunning teams - averaging 0.85 or more SB's/game.
REA's team record in his career: 13-1 (93%) with an average money line of -115.0. (+11.9 unit$, ROI=73.6%).
The average score of these games was REA's team 5.9, Opponents 3.9.
Bet on COLIN REA in away starts on the money line against division opponents.
REA's team record in his career: 8-1 (89%) with an average money line of +116.1. (+8.3 unit$, ROI=92.1%).
The average score of these games was REA's team 6.2, Opponents 3.8.
Bet on COLIN REA in away starts on the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse.
REA's team record since the 2023 season: 10-2 (83%) with an average money line of +121.3. (+10.1 unit$, ROI=84.4%).
The average score of these games was REA's team 4.2, Opponents 3.2.
Bet on COLIN REA in away starts on the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse.
REA's team record since the 2023 season: 9-2 (82%) with an average money line of +123.6. (+9.1 unit$, ROI=83.0%).
The average score of these games was REA's team 3.6, Opponents 2.7.
Bet on COLIN REA in away starts on the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse.
REA's team record since the 2023 season: 9-2 (82%) with an average money line of +123.6. (+9.1 unit$, ROI=83.0%).
The average score of these games was REA's team 3.6, Opponents 2.7.
Bet on COLIN REA on the money line in day games.
REA's team record since the 2024 season: 12-3 (80%) with an average money line of +107.7. (+9.9 unit$, ROI=66.1%).
The average score of these games was REA's team 5.4, Opponents 3.7.
Bet on COLIN REA in away starts on the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game.
REA's team record since the 2023 season: 14-5 (74%) with an average money line of +127.1. (+12.8 unit$, ROI=67.3%).
The average score of these games was REA's team 4.7, Opponents 3.7.
Bet on COLIN REA on the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse.
REA's team record in his career: 30-14 (68%) with an average money line of +108.9. (+18.7 unit$, ROI=42.4%).
The average score of these games was REA's team 5.3, Opponents 4.5.
Minnesota at Cleveland - Thursday, 05/01/2025 1:10 PM - Matchup
Trends Favoring Cleveland
Bet on BEN LIVELY in home starts on the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse.
LIVELY's team record since the 2024 season: 9-1 (90%) with an average money line of -133.0. (+7.7 unit$, ROI=57.7%).
The average score of these games was LIVELY's team 5.8, Opponents 2.5.
Bet on BEN LIVELY in home starts on the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse.
LIVELY's team record since the 2024 season: 9-1 (90%) with an average money line of -133.0. (+7.7 unit$, ROI=57.7%).
The average score of these games was LIVELY's team 5.8, Opponents 2.5.
Bet on BEN LIVELY on the money line when playing against a team with a losing record.
LIVELY's team record in his career: 25-9 (74%) with an average money line of -105.9. (+15.5 unit$, ROI=43.0%).
The average score of these games was LIVELY's team 5.4, Opponents 3.4.
Kansas City at Tampa Bay - Thursday, 05/01/2025 1:10 PM - Matchup
Trends Favoring Kansas City
Bet on SETH LUGO on the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game.
LUGO's team record in his career: 28-8 (78%) with an average money line of -131.1. (+17.5 unit$, ROI=37.1%).
The average score of these games was LUGO's team 4.9, Opponents 2.9.
Bet on SETH LUGO on the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season.
LUGO's team record since the 2024 season: 13-2 (87%) with an average money line of -138.0. (+10.2 unit$, ROI=49.5%).
The average score of these games was LUGO's team 5.4, Opponents 1.9.
Detroit at LA Angels - Thursday, 05/01/2025 9:38 PM - Matchup
Trends Favoring Detroit
Bet against YUSEI KIKUCHI on the money line in May games.
KIKUCHI's team record since the 2024 season: 0-5 (0%) with an average money line of -141.0. (-7.1 unit$, ROI=-100.0%).
The average score of these games was KIKUCHI's team 3.6, Opponents 6.8.
Bet on CASEY MIZE on the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%).
MIZE's team record since the 2024 season: 5-0 (100%) with an average money line of +104.0. (+5.2 unit$, ROI=104.0%).
The average score of these games was MIZE's team 6.4, Opponents 4.4.
Bet on CASEY MIZE in away starts on the money line against AL West opponents.
MIZE's team record in his career: 6-1 (86%) with an average money line of +151.4. (+8.1 unit$, ROI=115.5%).
The average score of these games was MIZE's team 4.4, Opponents 3.3.
Glossary of Terms

Description: Provides context or specific conditions under which the team’s performance is being analyzed (e.g., "against NFC South division opponents").

ATS (Against the Spread): Indicates the team's win-loss record against the point spread. A record of 0-0 means the team has not covered or failed to cover the spread in any games under the specific trend.

O/U (Over/Under): Refers to the team's win-loss record in relation to the total points or runs line set by sportsbooks. "O/U" indicates whether the total points scored in the game were over or under the set line.

W-L (Win-Loss): The team's win-loss record for the specified trend or condition (e.g., as an underdog, in road games).

ML (Money Line): The win-loss record of the team on the money line, reflecting outright wins and losses without considering the point spread.

Game: Indicates performance over the entire game, as opposed to just a portion such as the first half.

1st Half: Indicates the team's performance specifically during the first half of the game, including ATS, O/U, and W-L records.

All Games: Refers to trends and records across all games played during the season, not limited to home or away games.

Road Games: Refers to trends and records specifically for games played away from the team’s home venue.

Trend: A historical pattern based on past betting results for a team, coach, or situation.

ATS (Against the Spread): A record of a team's performance relative to the point spread set by oddsmakers.

ML (Money Line): A record of a team's straight-up performance without consideration of the point spread.

O/U (Over/Under): A record of games going over or under the total points line set by oddsmakers.

1H ATS (1st Half Against the Spread): A record of a team's performance against the point spread for the first half only.

1H O/U (1st Half Over/Under): A record of a team’s first-half games going over or under the total first-half points line.

Betting Statistics

ROI (Return on Investment): A measure of profitability expressed as a percentage, showing how much profit was made per unit wagered.

Unit$: A measure of profit or loss in terms of betting units. A positive value indicates profit, while a negative value indicates loss.

Situational Trends

After a Win/Loss: Indicates how a team or coach performs in games following a win or loss.

Conference Game: A matchup between teams from the same conference.

Non-Conference Game: A matchup between teams from different conferences.

Home/Away Record: Performance records based on whether a team plays at home or on the road.

Neutral Site: A game played at a location that is not the home court of either team.

Performance-Based Trends

Revenging a Loss: A record of how a team performs when facing an opponent that previously defeated them.

Playing with Rest: Performance in games following a certain number of days of rest.

Off a High-Scoring Game: A trend based on performance in games following a game in which the team scored a large number of points.

After a Close Win/Loss: A trend measuring performance following a game decided by a small margin.

Coach-Based Trends

Coach ATS Record: The historical record of a coach’s teams against the spread.

Coach ML Record: The historical record of a coach’s teams in straight-up wins and losses.

Coach O/U Record: The historical record of a coach’s teams in relation to the total points line.

Team-Based Trends

Team ATS Record: The historical record of the team against the spread.

Team ML Record: The historical record of the team in straight-up wins and losses.

Team O/U Record: The historical record of the team in relation to the total points line.