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Thursday, 05/15/2025 9:30 PM | |||||||
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NHL Playoffs - Second Round - Best Of 7 - Game 5 - Dallas leads series 2 games to 1. | |||||||
Record | Starter | Open | Latest | ||||
Gm# | W-L-OTL PTS | Goalie | ML | O/U | ML | O/U | |
![]() | 7 | 56-30-6, 118 pts. | OETTINGER | ||||
![]() | 8 | 61-27-4, 126 pts. | HELLEBUYCK | NL | NL |
Matchup Content Menu |
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NHL Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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Teams | Actual Line | Estimated Line | |||||
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Rating | Goalie | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge% | |
![]() | 3.41 | OETTINGER | 0.0% | +116 | 46.2% | DAL (+46.2%) | |
![]() | 3.72 | HELLEBUYCK | 0.0% | -116 | 53.8% | WPG (+53.8%) |
Game Simulation Results |
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Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||
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Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | ||||||||||
Teams | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST |
![]() | OETTINGER | 1.55 | 0.0% | +260 | 27.8% | 4.3 | 26 | 3-1 | 3 | ||||
![]() | HELLEBUYCK | 2.78 | 0.0% | -260 | 72.2% | NL | 4.3 | 37 | 4-1 | 5 |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
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Trends Favoring Winnipeg | |
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![]() | Bet against Dallas on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Dallas record during the 2025 season: 7-23 (23%) with an average money line of -157. (-29.9 unit$, ROI=-63.6%) The average score of these games was Stars 1.5, Opponents 2.9. |
![]() | Bet on Winnipeg on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Winnipeg record during the 2025 season: 45-3 (94%) with an average money line of -166. (+41.9 unit$, ROI=52.7%) The average score of these games was Jets 3.7, Opponents 1.1. |
![]() | Bet on Winnipeg on the money line when they allow 2 goals. Winnipeg record since the 2024 season: 39-7 (85%) with an average money line of -155. (+28.0 unit$, ROI=39.2%) The average score of these games was Jets 3.7, Opponents 2.0. |
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Trends Favoring Under | |
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![]() | Bet under the total in Dallas games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 28-2 (93%) with an average over/under of 5.9, money line=-109. (+26.3 unit$, ROI=80.2%) The average score of these games was Stars 1.5, Opponents 2.9. |
![]() | Bet under the total in Dallas games when they score 2 goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 16-2 (89%) with an average over/under of 5.9, money line=-109. (+14.3 unit$, ROI=73.0%) The average score of these games was Stars 2.0, Opponents 2.4. |
![]() | Bet under the total in Winnipeg games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 34-11 (76%) with an average over/under of 5.7, money line=-110. (+22.2 unit$, ROI=42.0%) The average score of these games was Jets 3.7, Opponents 1.1. |
Teams: The competing teams in the matchup.
Goalies: The starting goaltenders for each team.
Betting Lines
ML (Money Line): The odds for each team to win the game outright.
B.E. (Break-Even %): The implied probability of winning based on the money line.
Estimated ML: The projected money line based on power ratings and goaltender performance.
Win%: The projected win probability for each team based on simulations.
Edge%: The difference between the estimated and actual betting line, indicating potential value.
Game Simulation
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on simulations.
Over/Under (O/U): The projected total goals scored in the game.
Est. O/U: The estimated over/under based on simulations.
O/U Edge: The difference between the estimated and actual over/under total.
Projected Game Stats
SOG (Shots on Goal): The projected total number of shots on goal for each team.
PP (Power Play Goals): The projected number of power play goals scored by each team.
AST (Assists): The projected total assists for each team.
Trends & Insights
Trends Favoring Team: Historical betting trends that support one team based on past performance in similar matchups.
Trends Favoring Over/Under: Historical trends indicating whether games involving these teams tend to go over or under the total.